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erhaab1965
19 Mar 12 18:59
Joined:
Date Joined: 08 Oct 07
| Topic/replies: 361 | Blogger: erhaab1965's blog
According to Hills they took more individual bets on Kauto than Long Run.

I would imagine most serious punters were thinking alike and gave Kauto no chance so who exactly backed kauto and why was he forced into 3/1 befoe the off.

Was it just a con job by the bookies or is there anybody who actually believed he had a good chance.

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Replies: 13
By:
cardifffc
When: 19 Mar 12 19:27
loads backed it our shop..like you i thought it had very litle chance......
By:
JAFEICAagain
When: 19 Mar 12 20:12
The only con was the trainer convincing punters all was well with the horse a la Istabraq,many would have backed him through sentiment a la Istabraq.

I backed him AP and didnt lay off as it was more hope than expectation a la Istabraq.

Both had much in common not least a public following,on both occasions the trainers did the public,racing and the horses a dis-service.
By:
richgit
When: 19 Mar 12 20:19
Won't be posting for a good while now while I'm abroad, -----but on this particular subject, let's just say that down here in the West Country for many, it all went very much according to expectations.

You are all intelligent guys, let's just try to guess what the jockey's instructions were !!! ----what should you do if he isn't jumping well ?--what should you do if he isn't going well ?
Quite rightly, Kauto's welfare, and the deserved aura around him, was given absolute priority-----------------------------------therefore, a place lay par excellence !--------(ofcourse, if they could have won, they certainly would, but it was always going to be a hundred to one shot that all would go without fault,--- and therefore, we know the rest )
By:
JAFEICAagain
When: 19 Mar 12 20:31
No problem with your summary Rich but the fact is that Joe public never stood a chance and it is only the force of money from them that could have led to his shortening.Swings and roundabouts as no doubt a fair few backed AP,not many intelligent punters would have.

Last years GN was a good example of Joe publics money and then you have the reverse side of the coin with Binocular who was friendless prior to winning the CH.

No personal axe to grind as I had accepted my fate having backed KS before his gallops fall,however the majority of Joe public who backed him on the day trusted the trainer.

Not good.
By:
richgit
When: 19 Mar 12 20:37
Jaf------they were right to trust the trainer as far as thinking the horse was sound, and out to win (no dodgy stuff)===========But obviously, given the well publicised incidents leading up to the race,  ----the horse was going to be handled like fragile egg in the race,----and therefore it was either a)...a strong win bet, or b).. a strong place lay

Good luck anyway !
By:
erhaab1965
When: 19 Mar 12 20:46
Surely if the money for Kauto was from casual racing fans the weight of that money would have been relativly small.

The main bulk professional money would been on Long Run and others
By:
JAFEICAagain
When: 19 Mar 12 21:22
Only 3 horses for money in the race erhab,KS,LR and the winner.As you say most serious money for LR,dont see what others you can say would have attracted serious money from pros or serious punters.

Most serious punters would have laid KS after his fall,not backed him.

Bottom line is,had the trainer made the public aware of his instructions to Ruby..................the horse would have drifted not contracted.The contraction is not in any way similar to someone having a lump on..........it is shop based small punters X however many outlets X internet etc.

Even the small punters would have swerved had they known.
By:
erhaab1965
When: 19 Mar 12 21:37
According to the R P , Hills took 50,000 bets on Kauto , 30,000 bets on L Run , doesn't state the total amounts though.

I just find that hard to swallow  sounds like BS to me , think Kauto was artificially shortened in order to get more mug money. Just my thought.

It did occur to me before the race that they might do a " Istabraaq ".  Missed place lay opprtunity by me.
By:
braq98
When: 19 Mar 12 21:45
jaffacake you're a know-all bore.
By:
braq98
When: 19 Mar 12 21:46
oh sorry, forget the smiley Crazy
By:
JAFEICAagain
When: 19 Mar 12 21:47
And you are what exactly braq?LaughLaughWink
By:
JAFEICAagain
When: 19 Mar 12 21:48
You braq qualify as a watcher not a doer which is why the whole game is shot to bits,a critic with nothing to offer in any respect.NAPSad
By:
DOUBLED
When: 20 Mar 12 08:53
Lots of nice after timing on here !!! Would those of you who thought KS had no chance please post your MONSTER lay bets up on here to let us all see how many thousands you all won - thanks in advance Laugh
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