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Tomorrows selections for race 2 to get you off to a good start are Snap Tie ,the best handicapped horse in the race,Dirar,Olafi and Raya Star.The race has 28 runners so there is no point in backing just one or two horses.You need about 4 or 5 for this race.Backing all four on Betfair will return minimum odds of about 9/1.
Finally for tomorrows Gold Cup if you think its a two horse race between Long Run and Kauto Star but cannot decide between then make sure you read James Willoughbys article inRacingPlus.Willow is a brilliant writer but has an unlucky trait.He has produced 3 articles this week supporting chances of Hurricane Run,Sizing Europe and playing down chances today of Big Bucks in favour of OscarWhisky(never in the race).Its spooky I know and is not rationale but whichever one he recommends tomorrow has no chance of winning .Dont say you have not you have been warned!
Finally for tomorrows Gold Cup if you think its a two horse race between Long Run and Kauto Star but cannot decide between then make sure you read James Willoughbys article inRacingPlus.Willow is a brilliant writer but has an unlucky trait.He has produced 3 articles this week supporting chances of Hurricane Run,Sizing Europe and playing down chances today of Big Bucks in favour of OscarWhisky(never in the race).Its spooky I know and is not rationale but whichever one he recommends tomorrow has no chance of winning .Dont say you have not you have been warned!
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I see the argument with Snap Tie - if he can run near his best he looks extremely well weighted - never been in a handicap though which is my worry plus the stable form
Was mad keen on Clerks Choice until COC watered.
Loves fast pace & sound surface but the likelyhoood of quick ground appears to have been removed
Loves fast pace & sound surface but the likelyhoood of quick ground appears to have been removed
narrowed down to ubi ace,moon dice,sailors warn,local hero,snap tie,olofi and citizenship.
If you fancy Moon dice then logically you have to fancy Dirar? 15lbs better off for a 7 length beating in the Galway hurdle.
Given too much to do in this race last year, finished respectable 8th 4.5 lens behind Great Approach...
Freshened up by Gordon Elliot and ridden by Condon this time...
Given too much to do in this race last year, finished respectable 8th 4.5 lens behind Great Approach...
Freshened up by Gordon Elliot and ridden by Condon this time...
yeah good logic - could well win ,ebor winner isnt it ,think the ups and downs might hinder it.
Local Hero is the best handicapped horse in the race IMO OP not the ones you have mentioned. Here is why....
- 8TH in what is looking a decent enough Triumph last year before appearing over the top at aintree. The Triumph was it's 7th race last year coming after a tough race on heavy at Haydock 4 weeks before so it's possible even in the Triumph it didn't run to it's best. That is a tough schedule for a 4yo.
- Last Jan it beat Third Intention off levels and that is now rated 153 (Local Hero is 140)
- First time cheekpeices may sharpen it up a little more.
- Best of all IMO it was 3.5 lengths behind Simonsig last time out coming back from a 10 month lay off and conceding 4lbs on ground softer than ideal.
When you add all of that up I think 20/1 looks amazing value atm!!! If it runs like the form reads (which we all know they don't always do) it should have a great chance of winning this.
- 8TH in what is looking a decent enough Triumph last year before appearing over the top at aintree. The Triumph was it's 7th race last year coming after a tough race on heavy at Haydock 4 weeks before so it's possible even in the Triumph it didn't run to it's best. That is a tough schedule for a 4yo.
- Last Jan it beat Third Intention off levels and that is now rated 153 (Local Hero is 140)
- First time cheekpeices may sharpen it up a little more.
- Best of all IMO it was 3.5 lengths behind Simonsig last time out coming back from a 10 month lay off and conceding 4lbs on ground softer than ideal.
When you add all of that up I think 20/1 looks amazing value atm!!! If it runs like the form reads (which we all know they don't always do) it should have a great chance of winning this.
and as sooty said to sweep, hats he hay wo wuy it.(thats the way to do it).
think i ll back local - dont mind if it looses ,as you say on the book it seems one of the better ones,but there is some big stables who might have ,a sir des champs/thousand stars type lurking unexposed.
think i ll back local - dont mind if it looses ,as you say on the book it seems one of the better ones,but there is some big stables who might have ,a sir des champs/thousand stars type lurking unexposed.
Alderwood - will love this better ground and if over the problem that hindered him last time will run a big race
^agree about Alderwood. Also backed redera. Blatant non trier last time and still finished 3rd. Held up miles out back and went half way round the county on the route it took. Will like better ground and quicker run race.
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