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bagnall82
13 Oct 11 09:30
Joined:
Date Joined: 28 Dec 06
| Topic/replies: 130 | Blogger: bagnall82's blog
right i have been playing around with a place laying system for a while now, but i would like to know where i can get betfair sp prices for the lay of a place of a horse at the end of the day so i can keep a good record of whats happening and discount prices that are too high

thanks

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Replies: 140
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Oct 11 09:33
When on HORSE RACING page on BF ....click on the header ...Form / Results and TIMEFORM pops up etc etc GL
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 09:48
ok cheers,it only gives the back place sp though guess i will just have to add a point on and take that as the lay as a rough guide, not decided what my max lay will be yet, will be around 6-1 at a guess, here are todays selections:

13th oct

brighton
3.00 savior sand
4.00 methayel
4.30 buxton
5.00 magical speedfit

wincanton
2.20 moving wings
2.50 foreign king
3.20 falcon flight
3.50 lavenoak lad
4.20 dragons den

uttoxeter
3.10 nautical approach
4.10 always bold
4.40 red kingdom
17.10 ebony diamond

kempton
20.50 ballina blue

a lot of them are high prices but not all,lets see how it goes
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Oct 11 10:16
The back PLACE odds shown on TF site at BFSP include the 1....
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 10:29
yes but i want the lay place odds, sometimes there can be quite a big difference between back and lay on place markets due to them being so weak, i think maybe 4 or 5 of the ones i have put up today will be a bet, going past results i have found this system too be excellent with short price horses i.e under evens for the place although they dont spring up to often.
By:
The Knight
When: 13 Oct 11 10:35
The BFSP is the price that SP bets are settled whether they are Back or Lay - are they not?
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 10:41
im not sure about that, never used sp, not looked at it, if thats the case makes it a lot easier to work out what would have been a bet and what would not have
By:
The Knight
When: 13 Oct 11 10:43
The BFSP is definitely the settled price for all bets - Back or Lay.

I use them to research many a system, including a number on the Place market. But never found anything that offered any returns decent enough to justiy the time I would spend executing them, that is if they made any money at all.
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 10:46
ok thanks lets see how mine get on today then, from the limited research i have done it works well, watch them all place today now.ha
By:
onlooker
When: 13 Oct 11 10:48
Blimey, bagnall - If you did not already know that - or had not even sussed it  - the clue being SP .... it don't augur  too  well for the rest of your research.Blush
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 11:02
i know onlooker very poor on my part, feel free to hurl abuse when it looks like a crock of s**t later
By:
onlooker
When: 13 Oct 11 11:19
bagnall - I have probably done you a favour.

The reverse scenario is probably more  likely, now.Blush
By:
Slicer
When: 13 Oct 11 13:07
Mr 82-I totally agree with one of your lay selections but have no opinion on any of the others.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Oct 11 13:21
Pos     (draw)     Dist     Horse     Age     Weight     Eqp    
Jockey
Trainer
    In-play price     SPs and Advantage
High     Low     BSP     ISP     +/−     Place
1             Merigo (FR)     7     10-0         Timmy Murphy Andrew Parker     8.60     -     8.46     7.50     9%     2.42

If you layed above one, as shown on TF results .......the odds would have been 1.42-1 in PLACE market.

The 1 is always shown on ALL the above odds shown on TF site......ISP shown as 7 is 6-1 etc etc
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 13:38
thanks ppl, the first one was unplaced, but think the price would have been too big to be a selection
By:
onlooker
When: 13 Oct 11 14:23
The first one was 28/1 industry SP -

8.69 PLACE SP on Betfair - in the lowest possible grade Handicap Hurdle.

Your second one was industry  SP 18/1
-------------------------------------
Doubt you will have many 'following you in' at those prices.

You only need one to 'creep into the frame' at those prices - which can easily happen in this type of low grade racing ...  a 100/1 shot PLACED in the first at Uttoxeter - and it will swipe ALL of any profit you have built up.
By:
onlooker
When: 13 Oct 11 14:37
Pity they don't have a market on - 'Which horses will be non-runners'

You've found 3 already.Blush
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 14:39
i realise this, im just putting up all the selections for now, if you look at the rest there are at least 4 that will be small odds
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 14:40
noticed that im picking a lot of N/R
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 14:42
3.50 lavenoak lad should be a more interesting selection
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 16:28
13th oct

brighton
3.00 savior sand N/R
4.00 methayel placed 2.84
4.30 buxton unplaced 5.01
5.00 magical speedfit unplaced

wincanton
2.20 moving wings unplaced 8.69
2.50 foreign king unplaced 9.22
3.20 falcon flight N/R
3.50 lavenoak lad unplaced 4.91
4.20 dragons den unplaced 6.65

uttoxeter
3.10 nautical approach N/R
4.10 always bold unplaced 2.56
4.40 red kingdom unplaced 20.22- this is far to big for my liking wont be anymore this big
17.10 ebony diamond N/R

kempton
20.50 ballina blue

6.16pts up with 1 runner to go
By:
smokie
When: 13 Oct 11 16:43
thats not bad mate i dont mind place laying and was doing ok with it for a while
then it went t@ts up! How do you get your selections if you dont mind me asking?
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 16:48
i will go into a bit more in a week or so after i have had a few days posting selections, i only do handicaps jumps or flat, as weight is a big part of the system
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 17:38
tommorrows selections:

14th oct

cheltenham
3.20 raslan
5.40 rock of deauville

haydock
5.20 frontline girl
5.55 nezhenka

redcar
4.20 chookie hamilton
5.30 breezolini

wolverhampton
21.20 ace master
By:
smokie
When: 13 Oct 11 17:44
cheers gud luck mate i will keep an eye on how you do
By:
bagnall82
When: 13 Oct 11 19:56
good finish to the day ballina blue well beaten place sp odds (6.16) 7.16pts up
By:
bonscott
When: 13 Oct 11 20:15
hi bag, thx for tips & well done.
bon
By:
madhatters
When: 13 Oct 11 21:58
Good first day at the office Bagsy Grin
Keep it up ! Laugh
By:
smokie
When: 14 Oct 11 16:26
hi bags hows it goin? Just in from work and layed that last one front line girl! cheers
havent checked how rest have done yet?
By:
smokie
When: 14 Oct 11 16:49
just checked good work mate! any chance you could post tommorows
selections tonight as im working tommorow? Cheers  Happy
By:
bagnall82
When: 14 Oct 11 17:25
yeah will do was really happy with turning over the nicholls hot pot, 1.41 to place!
still a working progress this, but looking good so far but plenty of time for the bubble to burst
By:
smokie
When: 14 Oct 11 17:37
cheers mate, i had a really silly big win bet on that hobbs horse
that got turned over which has screwed up my week!! I never learn
il try followin urs tomorrow and be disciplined for a change!!!!
By:
bagnall82
When: 14 Oct 11 17:42
14th oct

cheltenham
3.20 raslan unplaced 2.30
5.40 rock of deauville unplaced 1.46

haydock
5.20 frontline girl unplaced 4.01
5.55 nezhenka unplaced 8

redcar
4.20 chookie hamilton unplaced 3.13
5.30 breezolini unplaced 2.86

wolverhampton
21.20 ace master

so 13.16 pts up so far good stuff will post tomorrows selections shortly
By:
bagnall82
When: 14 Oct 11 17:57
15th oct

catterick
2.55 cocktail charlie
4.00 malcheek
5.15 osgood

cheltenham
3.50 north island
4.25 ikorudu road
tomorrows selections

kelso
2.10 blue shark
3.55 beidh tine anseo
5.05 justtheoneforyou

wolverhampton
5.25 red yarn
6.00 true to form
8.00 kingsdale orion
9.00 qeethaara
By:
yeahyeahwhatever
When: 14 Oct 11 18:09
I place lay... the odds on win lay just aren't worth it when you move outside the top 3 in the betting.
It can be hard getting decent amounts on when you move outside the top 50% favs... A strategy that works for me is to take the number of betfair places + 2 and just rate that number of horses (in odds order).  They can't all place can they!? Happy
By:
Lotone
When: 14 Oct 11 21:18
I would really like to see the IR prices published in the place market,not just the win market on TF
By:
madhatters
When: 14 Oct 11 21:23
Day 2 Bagsy
Another 6 pts in the bag Grin

Ditto ish Yeah Grin
By:
IwonIwon
When: 14 Oct 11 22:03
Hi guys ('n gals ?), I just joined the forum & looking forward to making some £££'s from some of your posts which look very interesting. bagnall82  deffo looks promising so will put some  SMALL bets on his. Thanks in advance to all & hoping to add my tuppence worth shortly. Good luck all,  David.
By:
IwonIwon
When: 14 Oct 11 22:16
I seem to have made my 1st post as IwonIwon & it's this name I seem to be automatically logged in as...sorry,  I am actually The Tattie howker. Can you tell me how to log in under my own name? Thanks.
By:
Lotone
When: 14 Oct 11 22:59
you are stuck with it........imo
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