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Cracking The Placepot
INTRODUCTION
The Placepot is without doubt the best value bet in gambling. Just a £1.00 bet can return dividends in excess of several hundred pounds! To win the placepot you have to select a horse to be placed in each of the first six races at a meeting. As well as being great value it is an excellent "fun" bet as it gives you an interest in a large number of races for just a small investment. Placepots are run by the Tote, but most high street bookmakers will now accept placepot bets. Whether you bet most days or just on Saturdays, a Placepot bet is a smart investment to make!
Obviously finding a horse to place in six consecutive races is not easy. However this publication "Cracking The Placepot" with a new, updated version is a real winner. It really works! Using it will help you to win the Placepot dividends with great regularity, you are virtually guarantted a win every week. Not all placepot are in the £500+ region (although from time to time returns can be in four figures!), but compared with other tyes of race betting the "level-stakes" returns on a week to week basis are huge.
THE METHOD
Firstly, we must decide which meeting to use each day. It is best to stick to just one meeting per day. If there is a choice of meetings then it is usually best not to use the main meeting as this quite often contains races with big, competitive fields, and it makes our job of finding horses to place more difficult. Conversely, the lowest grade meeting of the day, particularly in the flat season, also has its problems. The horses here are often ridden by the poorest standard of jockeys which makes analysis hard. So when presented with a choice of meetings pick the second biggest meeting of the day to work on. If you are uncertain which one this is, then add together the prize values of each race at each meeting. The one with the second highest total will be the one to use.
Having selected our meeting, we now need to make our selections.
To capture the Placepot we are going to use a Placepot perm. This allows us to pick more than one horse in each race. Most bookmakers now supply Placepot perm slips which make entering easier.
To win the pot we need to select a placed horse in each race. Obviously if we had covered say, three horses in every race then our chances are greatly improved. Unfortunately it's not that easy! The more horses we cover in each race, the more costly our bet. To cover three in each of the six races would need 729 bets, ie. 729 times our stake. Too much.
The perm we use in this plan uses 36 lines, at 25p unit stake the bet costs just £9.00. It consists of a single selection in two of the races, two selections in another two races, and three selections in the remaining two races. 1x1x2x2x3x3=36 bets.
Now to make our selections for the perm. If you are an experienced student of form you can add your own knowledge to the selection process, but here we are going to base our selections on S.P. forecasts. Using the morning betting forecasts is a very reliable selection method to use with this plan. Here's what to do:
1. Look at the s.p. forecasts for the six races concerned. Look for the two races with the shortest priced favourites. These will be (hopefully) the most reliable favourites of the day, and even if they don't win, they should place. These act as our "single" entries in the perm.
2. Select the two races with the biggest fields, they are usually big handicap races, and are always the hardest to select winners in. Take the first three horses in the betting forecast in each of these races, they will be our "three" selections in the perm.
3. Obviously in the remaining two races, we use the first two in the betting forecast as our "two" selection elements in the perm.
We now have all the elements for our perm. Don't be fooled into thinking that because the selection method is quick and easy, it is ineffective. If you use it daily you should scoop the Placepot at least once a week.
One last note about which paper to use. I recommend using one of the specialist racing papers as their S.P. forecasts tend to be more accurate, but whichever you use, keep to the same one each day.
The Brown Jack
1. Results are obtained by use of the Daily Mail newspaper.
2. To obtain the one named horse for the day, proceed as follows:-
(a) Below each race the Daily Mail gives where the favourite finished in previous years (normally 7 years results). Go through each card and find the race that the favourite won most times. (b) Repeat the procedure and find the race where the favourite finished second most times.
3. The race for the day will be that with the highest figure ie. The race with the most wins for the favourite or the race with the most seconds. In the event of a race having an equal number of wins and seconds then discard that race. In the event of there being two races with an equal number of wins and seconds then give preference to the race with favourite wins.
4. The one named bet will be as follows:- If the selected race is that in which the favourite has won most times, then back the Named Forecast Favourite, if joint favourites then ignore that race and go on to the next qualifier.
If the selected race is that in which the favourite finished second most times then back the horse quoted as Clear Second Favourite, again if Joint Second Favourite then ignore that race. The reason for this bet is that in a good race for backers the most likely horse to beat the favourite is the second favourite and over the years the Daily Mail betting forecast has proved to be the most accurate.
5. The following exceptions must be adhered to:-
(a) No bet if less than 3 years results.
(b) No bet if less than 2 wins or 2 seconds.
(c) No bet if the horses has never run before.
(d) No bet if quoted at odds-on.
6. In the event of a tie, give preference to:-
(a) Non Handicap race over a Handicap race.
(b) The race with the lowest added prize money.
(c) The smallest field.
(d) The shortest price
Note, if you have discarded any race related to rule 5, then automatically go on to the next best race. Rule 2 should have a 'rider', in the event of a race having been split, then count each division as half a race, in other words if the favourite results were 0011101.0 the last race was split and so the total wins would be 3.1/2, this happens seldom and is easily picked out in the Daily Mail as when a race has missed a year they put a dash and when it is split they put a dot.
Addition to Rules
In the event of a selected race being run in two or more divisions then take the shortest priced horse provided it qualifies i.e. has run before. Should it not have run before then ignore all divisions of that particular race and go on to the next best race.
The Fineform Rating Formula, by Clive Holt
"The formula is both swift & effective in rating runners on the flat & over
the jumps. The combination of two positive potential winning factors - good
recent form & proven ability - is utilised in the ratings.
Points are awarded as listed below for each of the runners' previous TWO
OUTINGS OF THE CURRENT SEASON ONLY.:-
1st 5 points
2nd 3 points
3rd 2 points
4th 1 point
D (disqualified from 1st place) 5 points
Course & Distance (C&D)
C&D 3 points
C.D 3 points
D 2 points
C 1 point
All runners in the race are awarded points according to their previous
achievements, and the runner that is rated the highest TOTAL number of
points is the selection. The maximum total rating that can be achieved is
13 points.
If joint Top Rated an extra 1 point for a distance winner. If still even
the horse nearest the top/bottom of the card is the selection."
You can use the second(third) rated horse for forecasts.
If you are selective and factor in the selections ability to go on the
going, and its proven fitness with a recent run you should be in with a
chance at the finish. Clive Holt supports his formula with numerous
statistics. I find it is a good base to finalise selections., and it often
throws up decent price winners.
The Fineform Maximum Selection i.e. 13 points choices.
By just backing these selections only over the season, everything I have
read indicates you will come out on top. If have also seen this selection
criteria method known as the "Financial Security for Life Formula," amongst
others.
With regards to your betting strategy I would suggest you just do single
bets, although I am sure you have some very good days. Why? Because
professional gamblers only normally bet in singles (I assume they must know
something), and bookmakers are always encouraging multi-bets (I assume they
must know something). E.g. In a Yankee out of 11 bets , if your first horse
loses you lose out on 7 bets, leaving you only with 4 bets left for your
last 3 selections.
For staking I look at the amount I want to win and adjust my stake
accordingly. E.g. I want to win £20 - on a 4/1 chance I bet £5 & on a 2/1
chance I bet £10. I always respect the market so if a horse is a 5/1 - its
chance of winning should be around that, likewise an even money horse
should be 50/50. But then that's where we all look for value!
The Feelgood System
The system has been devised by using the country's most successful and consistent trainers and combining these with the best of current form.
The basis of this system is a MASTER LIST of TRAINERS and the current Season's list of Trainers is as follows:
TRAINER POINTS
Martin Pipe 20
David Nicholson 19
Paul Nicholls 18
Mary Reveley 17
Miss Venetia Williams 16
Nick Henderson 15
Nigel Twiston Davies 14
Kim Bailey 13
P. Hobbs 12
G. Richards 11
Mrs S.J. Smith 10
J.Old 9
Henrietta Knight 8
O. Sherwood 7
L. Lungo 6
M. Hammond 5
J.J. O`Neill 4
P. Bowen 3
R.H. Alner 2
Mrs J. Pitman 1
You will see that each Trainer is allocated a certain number of `points` - these play an important part in deciding which horses we back.
Before telling you how to decide which horse to back, we now come to the meeting to chose. Obviously, if only one meeting takes place that is the meeting for the day but if more than one takes place you back the day's PRINCIPLE MEETING. If this meeting is abandoned or if your particular Newspaper does not designate the PRINCIPLE MEETING then simply use the meeting with the highest total prize money on offer.
** PLEASE NOTE ** Whilst we state that you use just the one meeting per day many purchasers do actually operate the System on ALL the meetings that take place on the day; this is left to your own personal preference.
At the stipulated meeting examine each race and give appropriate points to horses trained by handlers in the master list above. For example, any horse trained by the Trainer at the top of the list receives 20 points whilst any runner trained by the Trainer at the bottom of the list will receive 1 point.
Add additional points to those horses which finished in the first four places on their most recent run PROVIDED IT TOOK PLACE THIS SEASON.
Allot 10 points to any runner which won last time out.
Allot 7 points to any runner which finished second last time out.
Allot 6 points to any runner who finished third last time out.
Allot 3 points to any runner which finished fourth last time out.
REMEMBER - ONLY PRESENT SEASON'S FORM !!!
The system horse is the one with the highest rating in each race.
If no horse in a race is trained by one of the Trainers in the MASTER LIST still allocate points for placings.
You then have your selections for the day.
You then back these on a staking plan of 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 points but stopping immediately you have a winner,
If you do not have a winner on any particular day simply revert back to 1 point the following day.
IMPORTANT: Any horse which is top rated and quoted odds on are discarded; simply omit that race.
RACEMASTER
Racemaster is a successful yet simple plan, which is based on sound principles and produces excellent results. All previous years results can be compiled from the RACEFORM FORM BOOK (Annual Part.) Selections for this year can be compiled from the RACEFORM UPDATE or the SPORTING LIFE WEEKENDER.
When a horse has won two handicaps, he is obviously a very useful horse, probably still improving and likely to finish the season as a multiple winner.
For the Racemaster system, we watch first for a horse to win its second handicap of the season. (Any two handicaps will do, and theses need not necessarily be in succession.) Next, we look at the horse that finished second to him. If the horse which finished second is giving weight, (at least 1 lb) to the winner and is not beaten by more than two lengths, we list this horse for three chances to win. As soon as it wins, and this need not necessarily be in a handicap, it is eliminated.
Racemaster, which is the most brilliant system ever devised for producing long priced winners, was first introduced to the sporting public over 40 years ago.
The principle behind Racemaster is that the runner up in these races has produced a useful piece of form in giving weight and getting close to an animal on the upgrade. Also, having been beaten, he will pick up no penalty and at the worst, will only suffer a slight rise in the handicap.
The winners under this system are at surprisingly high average prices, illustrating successfully the advantage of betting in handicaps, if you have an efficient method of dealing with them.
All selections indicated by Racemaster are backed on a level stakes basis and no staking plan is involved.
The Henderson Handicap System
The Henderson Handicap System concentrates solely on Handicap races. It will operate just as successfully for the National Hunt season as the Flat season, so you can now enjoy making profits right throughout the year.
You do not need a specialist Racing paper to operate it, an ordinary Daily newspaper with a Horse racing section will be adequate for your needs.
The Henderson Handicap System seeks to search out the quality horse in a Handicap race.
As far as Handicaps are concerned, it is general knowledge that the better a horse has been performing, the the more weight it has to carry. So therefore the better horses in a Handicap should be those with the most weight to carry. But statistics prove that simply by blindly backing the top weight in Handicap races will not provide you with profits over a long period of time.
The Henderson Handicap System will, however, show you just how to separate the top weights that are the genuine class animals, from the top weights that are just one of the bunch.
It is a fact, and one maybe not everyone is aware of, that there are some horses that run in Handicaps that are so far ahead of the rest of the animals in the race that even by being saddled with a thundering great weight, it will not stop them from winning.
In other words - THEY ARE JUST TOO GOOD!
It is these horses that we are seeking, and The Henderson Handicap System will provide them for you.
Selection Method
1. Go through the racecard of each meeting for that day, make a note of every Handicap race.
2. Make a note of the weight that the TOP WEIGHT is carrying.
3. Make a note of the weight that the SECOND TOP WEIGHT is carrying.
4. Subtract the second top weight from the top weight and make a note of the DIFFERENCE.
5. Repeat this procedure for every Handicap race of the day.
The system selection is the TOP WEIGHT that is set to carry the biggest margin of weight over its nearest (second top weight) rival.
In the unlikely event of two races producing the same result, select the race with the closest to 8 runners.
If there is still a tie, select the race with the most prize money.
This horse then is the system selection and is the one bet of the day.
STAKING ADVICE
Place your bet to win unless the price is better than 5/1, in which case, providing of course that there are sufficient runners, back your selection EACH WAY.
You will get some tremendous value animals running for you by using The Henderson Handicap System.
SUMMARY
Remember, the horse that the system selects for you is the class animal in the race, otherwise they would not be carrying top weight. By restricting our selections to those with the biggest weight difference, we are surely putting our money on the horse which is that much more superior to even its nearest rival.
The Mensa Systems
System 1 - The sure Fire Betting System
Type of racing : National Hunt only. Turf Only.
Type of races Handicap hurdles only, do NOT use novice or selling handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicap hurdles, basic bets are spotform top rated (indicated by black spot) and last time out winners (current season only), best bets are Strongly Fancied (indicated by SF). Recommended stakes, minimum 1 point, maximum 4 points as follows; add one point for each of the following tipsters; Newsboy, Bouverie, Northern Correspondant and Strongly Fancied.
Staking Basic bets and best bets to level stakes OR recommended stakes.
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 2 - The `Seller` Betting System
Type of racing Flat Racing only. Turf only.
Type of races All non handicap sellers, do NOT use handicaps. (Selling races indicated by (S))
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days non handicap sellers, bet on any horse that has a spotform TOP rating (indicated by a black spot) of 32 or higher.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4-6 or better
System 3 - The `Inside Info` Betting System
Type of racing Flat Racing only. Turf only.
Type of races All races containing two year olds
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check all 2yo`s, bet on any 2yo that is Strongly Fancied (indicated by SF), American bred (indicated by USA) and making its debut (first run in public). For extra selections use Fancied (indicated by F) as well as Strongly Fancied.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 4 - The `Fit And Fancied` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat; all handicaps except sellers. National Hunt; all handicaps except sellers.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicaps, bet on any horse that is Strongly Fancied (indicated by SF), a winner last time out and is carrying a penalty (indicated by 3lb ex, 5lb ex etc.).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 5 - The `On The Mark` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat and National Hunt; all handicaps.
Paper Needed Racing Post (use your bookmakers copy)
System Source Check `Postmarks` daily NAP selection, bet on `Postmarks NAP only if it is a winner last time out and carrying a penalty (indicated by 3lb ex, 5lb ex etc.).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 6 - The `Bottom Of The Class` Betting System
Type of racing : National Hunt only. Turf Only.
Type of races Handicap hurdle and Handicap Chases, do not use novice handicaps or selling handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicaps, bet on any horse that has a spotform TOP rating (indicated by black spot) of 41 or higher and is carrying only TEN STONE (10-00), also bet on any horse that has a SECOND rating (one away from top rating) of 40 or higher and is carrying only TEN STONE (10-00).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4/6 or better.
System 7 - The `Spot-On` Betting System
Type of races Flat racing only. All Weather only.
Type of races All handicaps except sellers.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicaps, bet on any horse that is spotform TOP rated (indicated by black spot) and last time out winners (current season only) and is a course and distance winner (indicated by CD).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 8 - The `Speedform One` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat; all non handicaps. National hunt; all non handicaps. Do NOT use handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the daily `Speedhorse` selection, bet on the `Speedhorse` only if it is spotform Top rated (indicated by black spot) in a non handicap.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4/6 or better.
System 9 - The `Speedform Two` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat; all non handicaps. National hunt; all non handicaps. Do NOT use handicaps.
Paper Needed Racing Post (use your bookmakers copy)
System Source Check Topspeeds daily NAP selection, bet on Topspeeds NAP only is also TOP rated (or joint top) by Postmark in a non handicap.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4/6 or better.
System 10 - The `On The Spot` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat and National Hunt; all handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the daily `Topspot` selection, bet on Topspot only if it is a last time out winner and carrying a penalty (indicated by 3lb ex, 5lb ex etc.).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
Channel 4 Yankee Dandy
This system is what the name of it suggests. It can be operated any day that Channel 4 covers four races on the television.
The reason we use only days when Channel 4 covers four races on the television is that the object of the system is to have a Lucky 15.
We therefore have 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 accumulator on the television races.
You will know from previous days that the television races are the hardest races to pick the winner. I agree with you, so this system relies on a gentleman who is paid a lot of money to just tip a horse in each of the television races.
So to find the four horses for your Lucky 15, you use the horses that the tipster in your daily newspaper expects to win.
I think I can hear you laughing at this system, that is up to you. All I can say is that you will be amazed at how many times he selects the winner in three of the four races, giving you a fantastic profit to your Lucky 15.
Because of the sort of racing now covered by television, just two winners will give a profit.
Dynamite Doubles
1. Select any race from the days meeting where the betting forecast points to a clear two horse race, i.e.. the first two in the betting must be at least two points clear of the third favourite. The favourite might be around 6/4 and the second favourite 2/1. The next horse in the betting might be around 4/1 or better.In essence we are looking for a race where the likely winner will be either of two horses with the remainder much less likely.
Avoid using odds on horses. We need two short priced horses, but not so short as to reduce the return.
Should more than one race look a likely prospect, use the one with fewest runners. This obviously reduces the danger of an outsider winning.
These horses we will call Horse A and Horse B.
2. The next step is a little easier. Locate the race with the fewest runners where the favourite is 9/4 or better. Most days you will find a race with between six and nine runners suitable. We will use the first three in the betting forecast for our bet. These may be priced at,say, 9/4, 3/1 and 7/2.
These we will call Horse C, Horse D and Horse E
3. We now combine our selections in six doubles, with an equal stake on each. The doubles are: AC, AD, AE, BC, BD, BE
To win, we obviously need one of our first two to win AND one of the other three. Remember that we have picked the most fancied horses (as defined by the true experts - the bookies) so we should see a winning bet most days.
How to write your bet
3.10 York Horse A
Horse B
4.25 Kempton Horse C
Horse D
Horse E
2 x 3 = 6 Doubles at £1.00 = £6.00 Staked Stake £6.00
Tax £0.54
Total £6.54
Precision Racing Systems - PJ1
Introduction
Precision Racing Systems - PJ1 is based on one of the more well known winner finding factors, that of beaten favourites. This may not at first sight seem an original idea, and you would think that it was unlikely to gain any sort of edge. However, by selecting only certain types of races, and applying a few simple qualifying measures to these races, vastly improves the `value` nature of the selections. This system comprises of slightly different rules for chase and hurdle races, although both types of races are utilized in the overall operation of PJ1.
Beaten Favourites
In utilizing beaten favourites last time out the system immediately focuses on horses which were either considered to be the `form` horse in its previous race, or had been made favourite by the weight of money placed (or obviously both.) A horse that won its last race as favourite also meets this criteria, but is generally well backed and starts at considerably lesser odds than a beaten favourite
In the case of hurdlers, the finishing positions in the qualifying last run does not seem to have any great effect on results. i.e.2nd, 3rd, 4th or unplaced. If the horse was favourite in its last race and the trainer runs him within 14 days, he obviously believes he is capable of going well again. Due to the competitive nature of the type of race used, value is obtainable about selections despite their previous finishing position.
In chase races, a marked value advantage was identified in selecting only horses that had finished 4th or worse in its last race. During testing, a similar percentage of winners were identified whether the finishing position as favourite in its last race was in the first three, or 4th or worse (26% winners in both cases.) However, betting beaten favourites placed in the first three last time made a small loss, whereas the horses beaten into 4th place or worse realized a tidy profit when backed next time out. These animals are not so attractive to the average punter, and start at better odds.
The difference between the two types of horses, their finishing positions, and the pattern of winners and starting prices is not one that is easily explained. All I will say is that the pattern has been noted over the past two seasons and should not be ignored.
Within 14 days
By limiting qualifiers to those who were beaten favourites in the last 14 days, the selection has good recent form. As we will be concentrating on handicap chases and hurdles, getting a quick run in before the a horse is re-handicapped is obviously a factor.
Handicaps Only
Initial tests were carried out on all types of races. Using beaten favourites running within 14 day, non handicaps for chasers produced 23% winners and a loss of more than £37 to £1 level stakes. Using handicap chases only, the percentage was less at 18%, but a profit in excess of £10 to the same stakes was realized. A similar picture was found in the case of hurdlers.
The only restriction is to avoid conditional jockeys races. It is hard enough to select a suitable horse, that will jump well, without worrying about the quality of the jockey.
Size of Field
Testing backed up the theory that handicap races with 12 runners or less were more predictable as a betting medium. The number of fallers and errors made increases in proportion to the number of runners in a field.
System Rules
INTRODUCTION
The Placepot is without doubt the best value bet in gambling. Just a £1.00 bet can return dividends in excess of several hundred pounds! To win the placepot you have to select a horse to be placed in each of the first six races at a meeting. As well as being great value it is an excellent "fun" bet as it gives you an interest in a large number of races for just a small investment. Placepots are run by the Tote, but most high street bookmakers will now accept placepot bets. Whether you bet most days or just on Saturdays, a Placepot bet is a smart investment to make!
Obviously finding a horse to place in six consecutive races is not easy. However this publication "Cracking The Placepot" with a new, updated version is a real winner. It really works! Using it will help you to win the Placepot dividends with great regularity, you are virtually guarantted a win every week. Not all placepot are in the £500+ region (although from time to time returns can be in four figures!), but compared with other tyes of race betting the "level-stakes" returns on a week to week basis are huge.
THE METHOD
Firstly, we must decide which meeting to use each day. It is best to stick to just one meeting per day. If there is a choice of meetings then it is usually best not to use the main meeting as this quite often contains races with big, competitive fields, and it makes our job of finding horses to place more difficult. Conversely, the lowest grade meeting of the day, particularly in the flat season, also has its problems. The horses here are often ridden by the poorest standard of jockeys which makes analysis hard. So when presented with a choice of meetings pick the second biggest meeting of the day to work on. If you are uncertain which one this is, then add together the prize values of each race at each meeting. The one with the second highest total will be the one to use.
Having selected our meeting, we now need to make our selections.
To capture the Placepot we are going to use a Placepot perm. This allows us to pick more than one horse in each race. Most bookmakers now supply Placepot perm slips which make entering easier.
To win the pot we need to select a placed horse in each race. Obviously if we had covered say, three horses in every race then our chances are greatly improved. Unfortunately it's not that easy! The more horses we cover in each race, the more costly our bet. To cover three in each of the six races would need 729 bets, ie. 729 times our stake. Too much.
The perm we use in this plan uses 36 lines, at 25p unit stake the bet costs just £9.00. It consists of a single selection in two of the races, two selections in another two races, and three selections in the remaining two races. 1x1x2x2x3x3=36 bets.
Now to make our selections for the perm. If you are an experienced student of form you can add your own knowledge to the selection process, but here we are going to base our selections on S.P. forecasts. Using the morning betting forecasts is a very reliable selection method to use with this plan. Here's what to do:
1. Look at the s.p. forecasts for the six races concerned. Look for the two races with the shortest priced favourites. These will be (hopefully) the most reliable favourites of the day, and even if they don't win, they should place. These act as our "single" entries in the perm.
2. Select the two races with the biggest fields, they are usually big handicap races, and are always the hardest to select winners in. Take the first three horses in the betting forecast in each of these races, they will be our "three" selections in the perm.
3. Obviously in the remaining two races, we use the first two in the betting forecast as our "two" selection elements in the perm.
We now have all the elements for our perm. Don't be fooled into thinking that because the selection method is quick and easy, it is ineffective. If you use it daily you should scoop the Placepot at least once a week.
One last note about which paper to use. I recommend using one of the specialist racing papers as their S.P. forecasts tend to be more accurate, but whichever you use, keep to the same one each day.
The Brown Jack
1. Results are obtained by use of the Daily Mail newspaper.
2. To obtain the one named horse for the day, proceed as follows:-
(a) Below each race the Daily Mail gives where the favourite finished in previous years (normally 7 years results). Go through each card and find the race that the favourite won most times. (b) Repeat the procedure and find the race where the favourite finished second most times.
3. The race for the day will be that with the highest figure ie. The race with the most wins for the favourite or the race with the most seconds. In the event of a race having an equal number of wins and seconds then discard that race. In the event of there being two races with an equal number of wins and seconds then give preference to the race with favourite wins.
4. The one named bet will be as follows:- If the selected race is that in which the favourite has won most times, then back the Named Forecast Favourite, if joint favourites then ignore that race and go on to the next qualifier.
If the selected race is that in which the favourite finished second most times then back the horse quoted as Clear Second Favourite, again if Joint Second Favourite then ignore that race. The reason for this bet is that in a good race for backers the most likely horse to beat the favourite is the second favourite and over the years the Daily Mail betting forecast has proved to be the most accurate.
5. The following exceptions must be adhered to:-
(a) No bet if less than 3 years results.
(b) No bet if less than 2 wins or 2 seconds.
(c) No bet if the horses has never run before.
(d) No bet if quoted at odds-on.
6. In the event of a tie, give preference to:-
(a) Non Handicap race over a Handicap race.
(b) The race with the lowest added prize money.
(c) The smallest field.
(d) The shortest price
Note, if you have discarded any race related to rule 5, then automatically go on to the next best race. Rule 2 should have a 'rider', in the event of a race having been split, then count each division as half a race, in other words if the favourite results were 0011101.0 the last race was split and so the total wins would be 3.1/2, this happens seldom and is easily picked out in the Daily Mail as when a race has missed a year they put a dash and when it is split they put a dot.
Addition to Rules
In the event of a selected race being run in two or more divisions then take the shortest priced horse provided it qualifies i.e. has run before. Should it not have run before then ignore all divisions of that particular race and go on to the next best race.
The Fineform Rating Formula, by Clive Holt
"The formula is both swift & effective in rating runners on the flat & over
the jumps. The combination of two positive potential winning factors - good
recent form & proven ability - is utilised in the ratings.
Points are awarded as listed below for each of the runners' previous TWO
OUTINGS OF THE CURRENT SEASON ONLY.:-
1st 5 points
2nd 3 points
3rd 2 points
4th 1 point
D (disqualified from 1st place) 5 points
Course & Distance (C&D)
C&D 3 points
C.D 3 points
D 2 points
C 1 point
All runners in the race are awarded points according to their previous
achievements, and the runner that is rated the highest TOTAL number of
points is the selection. The maximum total rating that can be achieved is
13 points.
If joint Top Rated an extra 1 point for a distance winner. If still even
the horse nearest the top/bottom of the card is the selection."
You can use the second(third) rated horse for forecasts.
If you are selective and factor in the selections ability to go on the
going, and its proven fitness with a recent run you should be in with a
chance at the finish. Clive Holt supports his formula with numerous
statistics. I find it is a good base to finalise selections., and it often
throws up decent price winners.
The Fineform Maximum Selection i.e. 13 points choices.
By just backing these selections only over the season, everything I have
read indicates you will come out on top. If have also seen this selection
criteria method known as the "Financial Security for Life Formula," amongst
others.
With regards to your betting strategy I would suggest you just do single
bets, although I am sure you have some very good days. Why? Because
professional gamblers only normally bet in singles (I assume they must know
something), and bookmakers are always encouraging multi-bets (I assume they
must know something). E.g. In a Yankee out of 11 bets , if your first horse
loses you lose out on 7 bets, leaving you only with 4 bets left for your
last 3 selections.
For staking I look at the amount I want to win and adjust my stake
accordingly. E.g. I want to win £20 - on a 4/1 chance I bet £5 & on a 2/1
chance I bet £10. I always respect the market so if a horse is a 5/1 - its
chance of winning should be around that, likewise an even money horse
should be 50/50. But then that's where we all look for value!
The Feelgood System
The system has been devised by using the country's most successful and consistent trainers and combining these with the best of current form.
The basis of this system is a MASTER LIST of TRAINERS and the current Season's list of Trainers is as follows:
TRAINER POINTS
Martin Pipe 20
David Nicholson 19
Paul Nicholls 18
Mary Reveley 17
Miss Venetia Williams 16
Nick Henderson 15
Nigel Twiston Davies 14
Kim Bailey 13
P. Hobbs 12
G. Richards 11
Mrs S.J. Smith 10
J.Old 9
Henrietta Knight 8
O. Sherwood 7
L. Lungo 6
M. Hammond 5
J.J. O`Neill 4
P. Bowen 3
R.H. Alner 2
Mrs J. Pitman 1
You will see that each Trainer is allocated a certain number of `points` - these play an important part in deciding which horses we back.
Before telling you how to decide which horse to back, we now come to the meeting to chose. Obviously, if only one meeting takes place that is the meeting for the day but if more than one takes place you back the day's PRINCIPLE MEETING. If this meeting is abandoned or if your particular Newspaper does not designate the PRINCIPLE MEETING then simply use the meeting with the highest total prize money on offer.
** PLEASE NOTE ** Whilst we state that you use just the one meeting per day many purchasers do actually operate the System on ALL the meetings that take place on the day; this is left to your own personal preference.
At the stipulated meeting examine each race and give appropriate points to horses trained by handlers in the master list above. For example, any horse trained by the Trainer at the top of the list receives 20 points whilst any runner trained by the Trainer at the bottom of the list will receive 1 point.
Add additional points to those horses which finished in the first four places on their most recent run PROVIDED IT TOOK PLACE THIS SEASON.
Allot 10 points to any runner which won last time out.
Allot 7 points to any runner which finished second last time out.
Allot 6 points to any runner who finished third last time out.
Allot 3 points to any runner which finished fourth last time out.
REMEMBER - ONLY PRESENT SEASON'S FORM !!!
The system horse is the one with the highest rating in each race.
If no horse in a race is trained by one of the Trainers in the MASTER LIST still allocate points for placings.
You then have your selections for the day.
You then back these on a staking plan of 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 points but stopping immediately you have a winner,
If you do not have a winner on any particular day simply revert back to 1 point the following day.
IMPORTANT: Any horse which is top rated and quoted odds on are discarded; simply omit that race.
RACEMASTER
Racemaster is a successful yet simple plan, which is based on sound principles and produces excellent results. All previous years results can be compiled from the RACEFORM FORM BOOK (Annual Part.) Selections for this year can be compiled from the RACEFORM UPDATE or the SPORTING LIFE WEEKENDER.
When a horse has won two handicaps, he is obviously a very useful horse, probably still improving and likely to finish the season as a multiple winner.
For the Racemaster system, we watch first for a horse to win its second handicap of the season. (Any two handicaps will do, and theses need not necessarily be in succession.) Next, we look at the horse that finished second to him. If the horse which finished second is giving weight, (at least 1 lb) to the winner and is not beaten by more than two lengths, we list this horse for three chances to win. As soon as it wins, and this need not necessarily be in a handicap, it is eliminated.
Racemaster, which is the most brilliant system ever devised for producing long priced winners, was first introduced to the sporting public over 40 years ago.
The principle behind Racemaster is that the runner up in these races has produced a useful piece of form in giving weight and getting close to an animal on the upgrade. Also, having been beaten, he will pick up no penalty and at the worst, will only suffer a slight rise in the handicap.
The winners under this system are at surprisingly high average prices, illustrating successfully the advantage of betting in handicaps, if you have an efficient method of dealing with them.
All selections indicated by Racemaster are backed on a level stakes basis and no staking plan is involved.
The Henderson Handicap System
The Henderson Handicap System concentrates solely on Handicap races. It will operate just as successfully for the National Hunt season as the Flat season, so you can now enjoy making profits right throughout the year.
You do not need a specialist Racing paper to operate it, an ordinary Daily newspaper with a Horse racing section will be adequate for your needs.
The Henderson Handicap System seeks to search out the quality horse in a Handicap race.
As far as Handicaps are concerned, it is general knowledge that the better a horse has been performing, the the more weight it has to carry. So therefore the better horses in a Handicap should be those with the most weight to carry. But statistics prove that simply by blindly backing the top weight in Handicap races will not provide you with profits over a long period of time.
The Henderson Handicap System will, however, show you just how to separate the top weights that are the genuine class animals, from the top weights that are just one of the bunch.
It is a fact, and one maybe not everyone is aware of, that there are some horses that run in Handicaps that are so far ahead of the rest of the animals in the race that even by being saddled with a thundering great weight, it will not stop them from winning.
In other words - THEY ARE JUST TOO GOOD!
It is these horses that we are seeking, and The Henderson Handicap System will provide them for you.
Selection Method
1. Go through the racecard of each meeting for that day, make a note of every Handicap race.
2. Make a note of the weight that the TOP WEIGHT is carrying.
3. Make a note of the weight that the SECOND TOP WEIGHT is carrying.
4. Subtract the second top weight from the top weight and make a note of the DIFFERENCE.
5. Repeat this procedure for every Handicap race of the day.
The system selection is the TOP WEIGHT that is set to carry the biggest margin of weight over its nearest (second top weight) rival.
In the unlikely event of two races producing the same result, select the race with the closest to 8 runners.
If there is still a tie, select the race with the most prize money.
This horse then is the system selection and is the one bet of the day.
STAKING ADVICE
Place your bet to win unless the price is better than 5/1, in which case, providing of course that there are sufficient runners, back your selection EACH WAY.
You will get some tremendous value animals running for you by using The Henderson Handicap System.
SUMMARY
Remember, the horse that the system selects for you is the class animal in the race, otherwise they would not be carrying top weight. By restricting our selections to those with the biggest weight difference, we are surely putting our money on the horse which is that much more superior to even its nearest rival.
The Mensa Systems
System 1 - The sure Fire Betting System
Type of racing : National Hunt only. Turf Only.
Type of races Handicap hurdles only, do NOT use novice or selling handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicap hurdles, basic bets are spotform top rated (indicated by black spot) and last time out winners (current season only), best bets are Strongly Fancied (indicated by SF). Recommended stakes, minimum 1 point, maximum 4 points as follows; add one point for each of the following tipsters; Newsboy, Bouverie, Northern Correspondant and Strongly Fancied.
Staking Basic bets and best bets to level stakes OR recommended stakes.
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 2 - The `Seller` Betting System
Type of racing Flat Racing only. Turf only.
Type of races All non handicap sellers, do NOT use handicaps. (Selling races indicated by (S))
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days non handicap sellers, bet on any horse that has a spotform TOP rating (indicated by a black spot) of 32 or higher.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4-6 or better
System 3 - The `Inside Info` Betting System
Type of racing Flat Racing only. Turf only.
Type of races All races containing two year olds
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check all 2yo`s, bet on any 2yo that is Strongly Fancied (indicated by SF), American bred (indicated by USA) and making its debut (first run in public). For extra selections use Fancied (indicated by F) as well as Strongly Fancied.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 4 - The `Fit And Fancied` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat; all handicaps except sellers. National Hunt; all handicaps except sellers.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicaps, bet on any horse that is Strongly Fancied (indicated by SF), a winner last time out and is carrying a penalty (indicated by 3lb ex, 5lb ex etc.).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 5 - The `On The Mark` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat and National Hunt; all handicaps.
Paper Needed Racing Post (use your bookmakers copy)
System Source Check `Postmarks` daily NAP selection, bet on `Postmarks NAP only if it is a winner last time out and carrying a penalty (indicated by 3lb ex, 5lb ex etc.).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 6 - The `Bottom Of The Class` Betting System
Type of racing : National Hunt only. Turf Only.
Type of races Handicap hurdle and Handicap Chases, do not use novice handicaps or selling handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicaps, bet on any horse that has a spotform TOP rating (indicated by black spot) of 41 or higher and is carrying only TEN STONE (10-00), also bet on any horse that has a SECOND rating (one away from top rating) of 40 or higher and is carrying only TEN STONE (10-00).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4/6 or better.
System 7 - The `Spot-On` Betting System
Type of races Flat racing only. All Weather only.
Type of races All handicaps except sellers.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the days handicaps, bet on any horse that is spotform TOP rated (indicated by black spot) and last time out winners (current season only) and is a course and distance winner (indicated by CD).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
System 8 - The `Speedform One` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat; all non handicaps. National hunt; all non handicaps. Do NOT use handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the daily `Speedhorse` selection, bet on the `Speedhorse` only if it is spotform Top rated (indicated by black spot) in a non handicap.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4/6 or better.
System 9 - The `Speedform Two` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat; all non handicaps. National hunt; all non handicaps. Do NOT use handicaps.
Paper Needed Racing Post (use your bookmakers copy)
System Source Check Topspeeds daily NAP selection, bet on Topspeeds NAP only is also TOP rated (or joint top) by Postmark in a non handicap.
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds 4/6 or better.
System 10 - The `On The Spot` Betting System
Type of racing Flat and National Hunt. Turf and All Weather
Type of races Flat and National Hunt; all handicaps.
Paper Needed Daily Mirror
System Source Check the daily `Topspot` selection, bet on Topspot only if it is a last time out winner and carrying a penalty (indicated by 3lb ex, 5lb ex etc.).
Staking Level stakes
Recommended Odds Evens or better.
Channel 4 Yankee Dandy
This system is what the name of it suggests. It can be operated any day that Channel 4 covers four races on the television.
The reason we use only days when Channel 4 covers four races on the television is that the object of the system is to have a Lucky 15.
We therefore have 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 accumulator on the television races.
You will know from previous days that the television races are the hardest races to pick the winner. I agree with you, so this system relies on a gentleman who is paid a lot of money to just tip a horse in each of the television races.
So to find the four horses for your Lucky 15, you use the horses that the tipster in your daily newspaper expects to win.
I think I can hear you laughing at this system, that is up to you. All I can say is that you will be amazed at how many times he selects the winner in three of the four races, giving you a fantastic profit to your Lucky 15.
Because of the sort of racing now covered by television, just two winners will give a profit.
Dynamite Doubles
1. Select any race from the days meeting where the betting forecast points to a clear two horse race, i.e.. the first two in the betting must be at least two points clear of the third favourite. The favourite might be around 6/4 and the second favourite 2/1. The next horse in the betting might be around 4/1 or better.In essence we are looking for a race where the likely winner will be either of two horses with the remainder much less likely.
Avoid using odds on horses. We need two short priced horses, but not so short as to reduce the return.
Should more than one race look a likely prospect, use the one with fewest runners. This obviously reduces the danger of an outsider winning.
These horses we will call Horse A and Horse B.
2. The next step is a little easier. Locate the race with the fewest runners where the favourite is 9/4 or better. Most days you will find a race with between six and nine runners suitable. We will use the first three in the betting forecast for our bet. These may be priced at,say, 9/4, 3/1 and 7/2.
These we will call Horse C, Horse D and Horse E
3. We now combine our selections in six doubles, with an equal stake on each. The doubles are: AC, AD, AE, BC, BD, BE
To win, we obviously need one of our first two to win AND one of the other three. Remember that we have picked the most fancied horses (as defined by the true experts - the bookies) so we should see a winning bet most days.
How to write your bet
3.10 York Horse A
Horse B
4.25 Kempton Horse C
Horse D
Horse E
2 x 3 = 6 Doubles at £1.00 = £6.00 Staked Stake £6.00
Tax £0.54
Total £6.54
Precision Racing Systems - PJ1
Introduction
Precision Racing Systems - PJ1 is based on one of the more well known winner finding factors, that of beaten favourites. This may not at first sight seem an original idea, and you would think that it was unlikely to gain any sort of edge. However, by selecting only certain types of races, and applying a few simple qualifying measures to these races, vastly improves the `value` nature of the selections. This system comprises of slightly different rules for chase and hurdle races, although both types of races are utilized in the overall operation of PJ1.
Beaten Favourites
In utilizing beaten favourites last time out the system immediately focuses on horses which were either considered to be the `form` horse in its previous race, or had been made favourite by the weight of money placed (or obviously both.) A horse that won its last race as favourite also meets this criteria, but is generally well backed and starts at considerably lesser odds than a beaten favourite
In the case of hurdlers, the finishing positions in the qualifying last run does not seem to have any great effect on results. i.e.2nd, 3rd, 4th or unplaced. If the horse was favourite in its last race and the trainer runs him within 14 days, he obviously believes he is capable of going well again. Due to the competitive nature of the type of race used, value is obtainable about selections despite their previous finishing position.
In chase races, a marked value advantage was identified in selecting only horses that had finished 4th or worse in its last race. During testing, a similar percentage of winners were identified whether the finishing position as favourite in its last race was in the first three, or 4th or worse (26% winners in both cases.) However, betting beaten favourites placed in the first three last time made a small loss, whereas the horses beaten into 4th place or worse realized a tidy profit when backed next time out. These animals are not so attractive to the average punter, and start at better odds.
The difference between the two types of horses, their finishing positions, and the pattern of winners and starting prices is not one that is easily explained. All I will say is that the pattern has been noted over the past two seasons and should not be ignored.
Within 14 days
By limiting qualifiers to those who were beaten favourites in the last 14 days, the selection has good recent form. As we will be concentrating on handicap chases and hurdles, getting a quick run in before the a horse is re-handicapped is obviously a factor.
Handicaps Only
Initial tests were carried out on all types of races. Using beaten favourites running within 14 day, non handicaps for chasers produced 23% winners and a loss of more than £37 to £1 level stakes. Using handicap chases only, the percentage was less at 18%, but a profit in excess of £10 to the same stakes was realized. A similar picture was found in the case of hurdlers.
The only restriction is to avoid conditional jockeys races. It is hard enough to select a suitable horse, that will jump well, without worrying about the quality of the jockey.
Size of Field
Testing backed up the theory that handicap races with 12 runners or less were more predictable as a betting medium. The number of fallers and errors made increases in proportion to the number of runners in a field.
System Rules
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Replies: 11
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longest post ever 8/11
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Lay Birchy selections (nap).
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Nice read couple there i have never heard off.
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the lay MONEY TREE systems a bit too modern for list
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the missus wont be getting sh$gged tonight.......cause ill be studying these!!!!!!!!!
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dont substitute g richards for n richards for goodness sake
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My Misses saids i bet shes happy^^^^
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the dr feelgood system just down ten pints of lager
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thanks for that really ejoyed it , always remember buying the old h/cap racing paper and going right to see what systems others used ,amazing considering i never use a system myself .
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by the way you should have charger £15 for thge fineform system
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you must pick horses that are trying , no system will highlight this, your horse could be a class above but if its not off bad luck.
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