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Alainmaar in the 4.05 Epsom is 6/4 to lay in this class 2 handicap . Now this coulb be the proverbial good thing / group horse in a handicap , but at the price it must be a lay . Quirky track ( only previous winning form on stiff flatish tracks ) drawn 12 of 15 a definite minus . I am not one of R Hills' critics nor am I his biggest fan , certainly wouldn't punnish the horse to win first time out , especially if there were bigger fish to fry later on in the season , and finally 1st time out , how fit is the horse ( Jarvis' 3yr old maidens have been doing ok ) and will it run too fresh , not good at Epsom .
At the price , a must lay . Greylami eah way for me .
At the price , a must lay . Greylami eah way for me .
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Replies: 17
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i got 2/1 last night, looked great value
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Why is it a must lay?
Surely you just treat it as a nice and tasty ew race if you not fancy the fav. |
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365 were 9/4 I think opening show last night on this animal.
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16 runners and I would have agreed with the EW , and as said I think Greylami is fair e/ w bet . But with 3 places and the fav likely to fill one of them , I think the value is to lay the jolly at the price .
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Bookmakers love to lay 6/4 first time out in a handicap at places like Epsom . I agree and have laid the Favourite accordingly , not too much damage if it wins , and lots of runners on my side . Oh and track also !
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Win draw or lose , Im a layer at those prices . As you say cant do much damage .
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Jarvis M A
Epsom Hcps 1 win 10f Epsom Hcps no wins 10f B hcp in April months no wins |
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lol ! I remember the Class A,B,C,D etc races. better than 1,2,3,4 etc nowadays !
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Obviously a good horse , wd winners , commisiration losers .
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Facts
I still prefer the letters The numbers confuse especially with Group races in a database |
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Pinza 21 Apr 15:53
Jarvis M A Epsom Hcps 1 win 10f Epsom Hcps no wins 10f B hcp in April months no wins ---------------------------------------- There are STATS, STATS, and STATS ... and then there are certain racehorses. |
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Mick Jarvis getting the races picked right now
Last year he was away with his heart problem for a while. He is the master at selecting right races for his horses |
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wouldnt say either newmarket courses are flattish.
by the way- how can you have a stiff flattish track? |
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a galloping track, as opposed to a flat tight track like catterick or chester.
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Apart from the dip , Newmarket is quite flat .
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its uphill for 2 furlongs and had quite a few undulations
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Ralph Malph 21 Apr 16:37
its uphill for 2 furlongs and had quite a few undulations Newmarket ? If you think that you have never been there Slightly downhill until the turn in 1 mile plus from home . Dip is about 13/4 furlongs from home meets rising ground less than a furlong out |