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Credit Swap looks to have an excellent e/w chance in this & is a huge price.
Since being upped to 8f he has form figures of 11123 & I feel he hasn't stopped improving yet as he was going on strongly at the end of those two placed efforts.
The final 3rd to Elna Bright reads really well as Elna Bright has since gone on to win three class 2 races on the A/W over the winter.
Besides such excellent form at the distance a 5th to Captain Brilliance, the Bunbury Cup 2nd over an inadequate 7f for Credit Swap reads really well & I feel he is a class 2 winner in waiting.
He's yet to race in such a huge field but I feel it's just what he needs along with a strong pace which looks most likely & he is drawn close to what looks like the strongest pace side.
He has also ran in two 15 runner fields finishing 4th on his debut & winning last year over this trip at Ascot.
He is also a C/D winner & all his best efforts are on a straight track. He also goes very well on good ground (2/3) which looks likely. Despite being 5 he has had just 19 career starts so there is still room for further improvement, particularly now his best trip has been found.
Last year he was winning & placing in his races over this trip off some big weights so his 8.06 for this race could well see him in a even better light as he was finishing out his races very strongly.
With such good form at the distance & form that gives him a clear chance his price looks completely wrong to me.
Of course this will be his first run but you'd have to assume this is the aim & I feel he could be much better than his rating of 90 by the end of the season.
Having written all this he will probably finish last now !
Best of luck with your picks
Since being upped to 8f he has form figures of 11123 & I feel he hasn't stopped improving yet as he was going on strongly at the end of those two placed efforts.
The final 3rd to Elna Bright reads really well as Elna Bright has since gone on to win three class 2 races on the A/W over the winter.
Besides such excellent form at the distance a 5th to Captain Brilliance, the Bunbury Cup 2nd over an inadequate 7f for Credit Swap reads really well & I feel he is a class 2 winner in waiting.
He's yet to race in such a huge field but I feel it's just what he needs along with a strong pace which looks most likely & he is drawn close to what looks like the strongest pace side.
He has also ran in two 15 runner fields finishing 4th on his debut & winning last year over this trip at Ascot.
He is also a C/D winner & all his best efforts are on a straight track. He also goes very well on good ground (2/3) which looks likely. Despite being 5 he has had just 19 career starts so there is still room for further improvement, particularly now his best trip has been found.
Last year he was winning & placing in his races over this trip off some big weights so his 8.06 for this race could well see him in a even better light as he was finishing out his races very strongly.
With such good form at the distance & form that gives him a clear chance his price looks completely wrong to me.
Of course this will be his first run but you'd have to assume this is the aim & I feel he could be much better than his rating of 90 by the end of the season.
Having written all this he will probably finish last now !
Best of luck with your picks
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Great chance imo .
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cheers mr m..im on
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Of course this will be his first run but you'd have to assume this is the aim
Given the trainer, that's a bold assumption. |
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darkroom 16 Apr 16:12
Of course this will be his first run but you'd have to assume this is the aim Given the trainer, that's a bold assumption. Given this is a 35 grand Handicap, you'd have to think it is tbf. |
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Good luck Mr Moloko, always follow your selections with interest.
25s with VC at the mo.. |
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5 places with v/c as well
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amaru 16 Apr 16:22
darkroom 16 Apr 16:12 Of course this will be his first run but you'd have to assume this is the aim Given the trainer, that's a bold assumption. Given this is a 35 grand Handicap, you'd have to think it is tbf. The horse is rated 90, and if they don't want him to run under a big weight first time back he's almostobliged to run in a valuable handicap. Given his form is all on decent ground, the Spring Cup would have been an unlikely main target, though as it turns out he's likely to get his ground. I actually also have one eye very much on this horse, but I definitely wouldn't assume that he would have been aimed for this. If you could guarantee he would be fit, he'd be a really interesting bet at these sort of odds, and I was just pointing out that that was the main concern. |
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All fair points Darkroom, I suppose it's dangerous to assume either way! :)
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an amicable fred.
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Hopefully a profitable one as well.
25/1 well worth the risk. |
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Had a little extra at the 25/1 1st 5 as well.
Very unprofessional I know :( ;) |
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Good stuff Mr M good luck
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we tip cards.......i'm in an anagram mood today ;-)
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Ladbrokes go 14. THEY KNOW!
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25s
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korals 14...now they DO know
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33s @ s p orting
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well it was until my 5 ew went on, down to 25s now lol
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when is the race
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2:35 Newbury
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lol
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These things happen dde.
Certainly won't be discarding him on one run |
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Unlucky Mr M, keep up the good work as usual. Always enjoy a read of your thoughts.
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Im still punting the Vitznau winnings cheers Mr M
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Don't bother with 'lol' merchants Mr. M.
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