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have put up a post on the king George thread on the horse racing forum ,looks a very open race . ? marks over all of em imoone way or another for what its worth the 2 I have backed are general en chief at 100/1 ew who has decent if not spectacular form in grade 1s in France so called 2nd strings of il est Francis but you don't know for sure what you will get with that one could be a bleeder . nothing was going better between the last 2 fences in the Hennessey but stamina ran out over the extended 3m2.5 furlongs the drop back should suit better and the 3rd in that race won at ascot on Saturday as the odds suggest has got plenty to find but ticks a few boxes will get the trip and a big price ,
the real whacker has very good form bt Gerri columbe at the festival a few seasons ago and ground should suit took the 33s ew .good luck Mac. |
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aye, TRW tempting at the price Foyles, being nibbled at today....
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Good to see a thread up
11/12 aged 6-8 8/12 top 3 betting 5/12 won lto 9/12 ran within 44 days 9/12 ran at kempton 6/12 won at kempton 10/12min 2 wins 23-25f 10/12 min 8 chase starts 9/12 rated 162 or above 11/12 won grade 1 race 12/12 min 1 run current season 6/12 won current season (The Stats Don't Lie) 4/1 The field as we speak,all sorts of angles into this one. Nothing stands out,the big french outsider has form with a horse called Gran Diose,so do the other two. Pace might be the key if the forecast conditions are correct,who sets those fractions just as important. Unique track in some ways,always seemingly on the turn,the ability to act right handed paramount. Track position hardly ever mentioned in the build -up. Time after time the winners come from a certain part of the track,the last few renewals no different. Be watching those early race times on the day,cracking renewal in prospect. |
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17/20 aged 6-8
3/18 Irish bred |
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If Il Est Francais is jumping like a stag upfront the rest can only pray he pulls up. Otherwise he'd romp home like a shortie.
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Had a good read of those French races noc, plenty to see...
3/18 Irish bred ^ Interesting stat this.... |
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Stat breaker ..Edredon Bleu ...11yo ...Only win at 3m ....good ground in 2003 .
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been looking back at some of the frenchies races and the 5yo juntos has drifted to a very backable 22/1 i know its dilluting it a bit but at big prices backing 2 or 3 can be worthwhile and gives ya a fair crack of the whip, in that race where il est francais pulled up he may have had excuses but to my way of thinking he wasnt allowed an easy lead juntos was always within a length or 2 behind and once he went past the fav the the writing was on the wall . dont think il est francais will be given an easy at kempton on boxing day and ive had to have a few quid ew at 22s . has never run on goodish ground but whos to say it wont suit .5 yos can win it long run being the last but not that many havee tried id imagine .comes into the could be anything and scope for plenty of improvement but has a fair bit of exp .
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writing was on the wall and was pulled up ^^^^^
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He's interesting all right, wouldn't worry about a young age for a French bred and plenty from the sire handled decent ground.
First time away from Auteuil.... |
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On all form the two fastest horses in the race are Bravemansgame and Il Est Francais but both appear to have regressed more recently. Probably will have a shilling on the former in the 4 place market and a shilling win the latter.
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long run a 6yo when he won but in a week or so juntos will be 6 may well get found out but as said could be anything and solid French form in the book.
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If Il Est Francais could reproduce his Kauto Star Chase winning form he'll be the winner. I'm sure his in-running performance will be closely watched.
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Ended up going with Envoi Allen....
Good luck with your bets gents. Cracking race in prospect... |
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For Edredon Bleu read Banbridge ....
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For Edredon Bleu read Banbridge ....
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Could Fact To File pitch up here in 2025 given he's JP owned? The owner had a couple of runners in 2024.
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