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comingupthehill
27 Sep 24 12:54
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Jul 05
| Topic/replies: 6,829 | Blogger: comingupthehill's blog
may aswell jump in at the deep end,plus these 35 runner hcps are pretty easy anyway'

in racecard number order,saves typing out the names.

1- cant win ,up in weight,plus ground
2- not totally impossible,leads strongly, weight nice plus claimer,1 run at newmarket 1 win,good bet for traders then lay off in running,think ground against it.
3- won irish cam last year up 4,4th in this years stayed on up 1,slight ground doubt,might not win ,should place.
4- been running well staying on,weight good due to claim,win soon,not tomoz,0/5 at newmarket
5- on its weight,basic northern hcper,race to hot for this
6- fav,usa bred,hate the ground,runs like it wont like it aswell
7- chance,like the ground,improved run lto (tp),only up 3lb,ex group horse,started of off 95 so 102 seems fair.
8- no,couldnt win a 6 runner race lto off same mark.
9- non runner
10- a bit bland average,not won in this country since 2021 up 6lb,not good enough.
11- out of form ,changed stables, high enough in hcp
12- well beat last 4,last lto,god knows why its 11/1
13- distance and ground against it,won 2 back so up 7lb.its a no from me.
14- scraped home lto up 4lb class 3 dosent look good enough
15- too high in weight ,started off 67 now on 94,couldnt win last 3 off 95
16- might scrape a place,high in weights,couldnt win in may off less when drawn on good side.
17- 3rd last year down 6lb,but age and going against it.
18- all weather horse high in weights,well beat of less ,1lb more, 5 back, at newmarket
19- too high in weights
20- off 92,lost last 4 off 92 all up north,so no
21- again on a high ,not won last 3 off lower.
22- been on a winning spree this year but now weighted out of it
23- couldnt win last 2 off 91 ,off 92 today,so no
24- might have one here,3rd in the lincoln off 96 on soft ,88 today pulled hard last 3,tp fitted,last time tp1 it won.
25- looks out of form
26- couldnt win a class 3 at yarmouth lto,up 1lb,price 7/1 because gosdens.
27- well beat lto behind gosdens above,4th last year similiar weight,but that was g/f think wont like ground
28- and here we have it,dig enough youll find it,2nd to economics,2nd to lead artist,bred by wootton bassett,best run on vsoft in france.lost its 1 hcp at chester lto slow away ,so ignore.
29- ground ,won once on gs 5 years only won on good or better
30- couldnt win last time in a stakes race when best at weights,last time before in a hcp
31- 16th last year ,1lb higher
32- on a massive high in weights,so no
33- the furthest its ventured south is pontefract and thats up north,had a wind op,ran ok since but dosent look good enough.
34 - beat 5 times off similiar weight, i wouldnt do it with yours.
35- on a high ,couldnt win lto,so no
r36- class 4 /3 horse not good enough
r37- never won a hcp ,been gelded ,weakened lto

conclusion
in order
under siege
navagio
norwalk havoc
coeur dor

one of these should win.
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Report ImSoLuckyLucky! September 28, 2024 3:50 PM BST
Top hoss
ROMPS IN
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Report Facts September 28, 2024 4:51 PM BST
Cool
Report comingupthehill September 28, 2024 5:01 PM BST
The bookies love me,they ll be buying another few acres,so they can pretend they re farmers
Report comingupthehill September 28, 2024 9:45 PM BST
Going and draw out foxed my deep analysis.

But from 1pm till race time tomoz,heavy rain in Ireland.

So tashkan,should be well suited ,form figures outside France of 1113133,on soft ,heavy.in group races,even g1 behind kyprios.should see it run well.
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