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whilst the festival has created more races, days to profit from and people to enjoy , they,ve created a situation where this years champion hurdle may well be a walkover .
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I think you have a fair point brandy, and may well be right. However, she has consistently been very good, and run to a consistently high level, but it has always been tricky to make a case for her being exceptional (in the open field; she is undoubtedly an exceptional mare).
Many figures people who know far more than me have her latest run within the bounds of a ratings band that covers the majority of her performances. She might not have underperformed much - or at all. I hate the "she came up against a soft generation" argument. She has been a winning machine. But you do get a natural fluctuation, which is often hard to measure, across time. Before she won her first CH many had been moaning about how awful the 2m hurdle division was. It might *just* be that she is not but that (i) she didn't quite stay the other day (ii) the Teahoopoo yeargroup will be a little bit stronger than the few before it and (iii) if constitution Hill doesn't make it for whatever reason, she may still have a wonderful chance of winning again. If we knew all the answers there wouldn't be much left to punt on! |
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Willie Mullins reports Sir Gerhard will not be making his chasing debuts over Christmas as hoped. And that he is still a fortnight away from getting to the track.
With that in mind, will they be tempted to remain over hurdles with him? |
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I hope your spot on with all of that Brandy, excellent write up.
Just the six go to post Sunday,with some serious question marks hanging over the Mare. The time difference in the three Hattons Grace runs were marked,the form from that latest defeat has been franked already. The other question would be .... Is she quite as effective right handed ? She might raise the roof Sunday,who knows,she has been a revelation regardless .... Wonderful Horse. |