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LoyalHoncho
29 Apr 22 22:04
Joined:
Date Joined: 28 May 10
| Topic/replies: 21,258 | Blogger: LoyalHoncho's blog
How many of you ante-posters are happy with your draw?  Indeed, is it relevant?
How many are happy with the projected going?
I have no idea if the 15 draw suits Native Trail or otherwise but his two Gp 1 wins, his recent handling of the course and his seeming liking for the going make him my selection.
Pause Switch to Standard View 2,000 Guineas draw.
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Report Figgis April 29, 2022 10:42 PM BST
Indeed, is it relevant?

For me personally it has no relevance. I'll leave others to ponder over it (curious as to how they factor it into their actual betting on the race). If Native Trail is beaten it'll either be because he's not able to replicate his best 2yo form or another horse has improved past him. I won't be using the draw or ground as an excuse.
Report FELTFAIR April 30, 2022 6:54 AM BST
Backed Native Trail. A repeat of his Craven win time should be good enough.
Report FELTFAIR April 30, 2022 6:57 AM BST
Have also backed and traded Perfect Power.
Report Try My Best April 30, 2022 8:45 AM BST
Beautiful morning in Newmarket. All set for a great day and a fascinating 2000Guineas.
Report A_T April 30, 2022 2:19 PM BST
NT looks like a Zafonic to me - the other Appleby must be good too otherwise they wouldn't be running it
Report Figgis April 30, 2022 5:55 PM BST
I backed Native Trail and no excuse with the better horse winning. Time wise I can't rate it higher than just an average Guineas. Not too bothered about underrating Coroebus. He was lightly raced, wasn't fully extended last time so the potential was always there. Annoyed though that I overrated NT a few pounds. I thought he was already a few pounds better than an average winner, but he clearly isn't.
Report A_T April 30, 2022 7:00 PM BST
I disagree - the first 2 are both better than an average Guineas winner IMO. Noone knew how good Coroebus was - except the Appleby yard who had to run a horse they thought might be even better than NT.
Report Figgis April 30, 2022 7:17 PM BST
A_T, well I now believe I was wrong about NT at the Curragh (even more annoying as I originally had him on the same lower figure as I have him on today, then revised him upwards), so I could easily be wrong again. The more races a horse has under its belt though the less likely I am to be wrong, and I don't think I am here. There is enough solid information from the races on today's card to make reliable comparisons. I'm not saying Coroebus is a poor winner, we haven't really had an above average winner in the last few years, but I don't think he's any better than Kameko, Galileo Gold, etc.
Report LoyalHoncho April 30, 2022 7:25 PM BST
I thought the third, praised for making third, held it s head a bit high.  Wouldn;t be keen to play it next time until I see it go on and win.
Report penzance April 30, 2022 8:04 PM BST
The 1st 3 home today were probably the best 3 2yr olds
at the end of last season.Nothing wrong with todays race.
The Godolphin horses are top class milers.
Report Figgis April 30, 2022 8:10 PM BST
Native Trail in particular is a horse I'll be looking to oppose in future, regardless of whether he faces Coroebus or not. Hasn't improved a jot from 2 to 3 in my view and likely to regress.
Report Try My Best May 1, 2022 12:02 AM BST
NT is clearly not a top class miler.
Report Try My Best May 1, 2022 12:05 AM BST
His form was totally overrated and his price today ridiculous. The race was sub par. The horse with the best turn of foot and bred down the lines of a Guineas winner duly obliged and was well deserved.
Report A_T May 1, 2022 7:15 AM BST
TMB I hope you took my advice and prepared yourself for NT beating the Ballydoyle colts - I just didn't think they'd be looking at 2 godolphin backsides Grin
Report Try My Best May 1, 2022 7:31 AM BST
Had a great day thanks AT. It was obvious from the betting that Luxembourg wasn’t expected and there was plenty of 6/1 available. Had an each way bet to nothing so all good. I just feel sorry for the punters who ploughed in on NT. Forgive them as they know not what they do and I hope you took my advice. I think you will find breeding very relevant and hope you learned something.
Report A_T May 1, 2022 8:03 AM BST
thanks TMB I take it you don't fancy NT's chances at the Curragh?
Report penzance May 1, 2022 9:48 AM BST
I would'nt be so quick to dismiss Native Trail.
Report Try My Best May 1, 2022 11:28 PM BST
What's it running against AT. If it's Claymore it might scrape home. There doesn't seem much about over a mile so it will be a small field non event.
Report penzance May 2, 2022 10:45 AM BST
the 2 Godolphin horses are mediocre,yet the horse they
beat's going to hack up @Epsom.
Report A_T May 2, 2022 10:59 AM BST
this is the poster who thinks Kingman was nothing special - there are no good horses trained outside Ballydoyle
Report Try My Best May 2, 2022 1:20 PM BST
Don't try to put words in my mouth AT you are not worthy. Never said anything of the sort.My argument was about the sire Oasis Dream which was proved correct. Suck it up sucker.
Report Try My Best May 2, 2022 1:33 PM BST
When a horse bred for middle distances can fall out the traps, stumble badly and give away ground and can get within 2 lengths of the winner I put that down as a pretty good performance and an excellent trial for the Derby.
Report A_T May 2, 2022 2:02 PM BST
My argument was about the sire Oasis Dream which was proved correct.

well done for opposing one horse against the field. master tipster.
Report Try My Best May 2, 2022 2:27 PM BST
There was only 3 horses in contention to win the race. I think it was masterful tipping to opposes the jolly. Obviously you were balls deep on the Fav.
Report Try My Best May 2, 2022 2:32 PM BST
or am I clutching at straws.
Report A_T May 2, 2022 2:58 PM BST
don't worry TMB I was not "balls deep"
Report Try My Best May 4, 2022 10:14 PM BST
Good lad. At least you listened.
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