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FELTFAIR
22 Mar 21 19:57
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Date Joined: 01 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 6,801 | Blogger: FELTFAIR's blog
Took the 28 Man of The Night. Had a pipe opener at Wolverhampton and hoping he turns up and for  for a big run.
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Report unclepuncle March 22, 2021 9:08 PM GMT
Not a strong renewal and if he's ready, and not scuppered by the draw,  Haqeeqy looks like he will be very hard to beat - but at 7/2 he is hardly an attractive betting proposition. Probably just have a stakes saver on him.

Brentford Hope is fascinating and trainer is in form - not sure he is one to trust though with the ground drying out. Be interesting to see how he goes in the market.

My first bet is on Danyah at 12/1 (plus Billies boost) who is very lightly raced and won at the track first time out last season. Haven't seen any bullish trainer quotes so not 100% sure he is running but if he is still around that price at the weekend with extra places on offer I'll also do an e/w bet.

Looking for a big price e/w alternative I thought Anythingtoday looked vaguely interesting at 50/1 - but as a 7 year old he would not fit the trends. Again if he is still that price at the weekend I'll have a small e/w on him with 6/7 places.
Report SEATHESTARS....NO1 March 22, 2021 10:02 PM GMT
Saturday 27th March 2021

Sat 15:10

Haqeeqy @ 9/1
Antepost

Lincoln Handicap - Paying 5 Places
EW Terms1/5 for the first 5 places

Saturday 27th March 2021

Sat 15:10

King Ottokar @ 10/1
Antepost

Lincoln Handicap - Paying 5 Places

Also smaller bets on: DANYAH @ 12s & MAN OF THE NIGHT @ 22/1 PP 5p

for me antepost. Laid a bit off Haqeeqy seeing as it collapsed soon after i bet it.
Report SEATHESTARS....NO1 March 23, 2021 10:37 AM GMT
RIVER NYMPH just got the Hugh Taylor cull
Report Facts March 23, 2021 3:41 PM GMT
Agree with Danyah  uncle Cool
Report SEATHESTARS....NO1 March 23, 2021 10:38 PM GMT
Unfortunately for myself and uncle above DANYAH looks a nr if the market is anything to go by also Man of the Night Cry
Report unclepuncle March 24, 2021 6:30 AM GMT
I did fear as much - the price of 12/1 looked way too big given his profile and the lack of any positive comments in the press regarding his participation over the last month was a worry.
Only had a small win bet so not the end of the world - still annoying though.Cry

Even the Gosden horse has drifted a fair bit to nearly 5/1 - is that just down to the jockey booking or something else?
Report Facts March 24, 2021 7:10 AM GMT
I see the big prices have all been taken on the exchange. So maybe all is not lost ?
Report SEATHESTARS....NO1 March 24, 2021 8:50 AM GMT
I'm not sure it just isn't markets adjusting. 3/1 joint fav's in what is a 24 runner cavalry charge is woefully short! Imo the top two are about right on here.

It was me who put the £2 up at 46 yesterday and someone took it hence the comment above but i laid it at fooken 36 afterwards Laugh I suppose i can't complain my book is ok. ish
Report paulo47 March 24, 2021 9:54 AM GMT
I was hoping the ' chop ' might have helped Johan , like Danyah ,  but it was done in early January so not sure  , plus its drifting .
Report unclepuncle March 24, 2021 2:09 PM GMT
Presumably the death of Sheik Hamdan is behind Danyah not running.Cry
Report bigbillbovington March 24, 2021 4:08 PM GMT
ORBAAN  is interesting, having won a good handicap at york last year very easily off a mark of 100, he looks to have been campaigned after to keep its mark down, getting down to 102, the trainer has won and been 2nd in this race recently, orbaan looks to have been saved for this, getting within
2 lengths of 115 rated Barney Roy reeds well, he looks cracking value at 25/1.
Report Facts March 24, 2021 4:30 PM GMT
Where does it state Danyah is a non runner ?
Report unclepuncle March 24, 2021 6:52 PM GMT
The market on here if you believe in the old adage 'money talks'.
He was matched at a high of 46 yesterday and plenty more at 16/1-40/1 so why would that happen unless the layer(s) was pretty sure he wasn't running, and he is still well above the price he was two days ago so things look bleak.

Really hope I'm wrong - though I'll be gutted I didn't take some of the fancy prices.Laugh
Report unclepuncle March 25, 2021 11:22 AM GMT
Well glad to say Danyah has been declared as has Man Of The Night - SeaTheStars has put us all away.Devil
Report harry callaghan March 25, 2021 11:49 AM GMT
Interesting runner danyah for sure, however not sure I get the pricing of the horse, I’ve put him in at 16/1 for this...I maybe wrong but I’d want that to consider betting him myself and his price on Betfair the last few days was about right imo

Anyway seems a good few are on him it seems, so all the best with the wagers placed
Report Facts March 25, 2021 12:26 PM GMT
Just has to win now ! Cool
Report unclepuncle March 25, 2021 12:41 PM GMT
I'd have him as 3rd favourite myself (4 year old, top connections, lightly raced and seemingly progressive, course form etc) hence thinking he was worth an antepost bet at 12/1.

If anything the price being so big is worrying me? Hasn't been a single comment from his trainer in all the build up?

Now he is declared I have backed him again e/w at 13/1 with 6 places at Unibet though it sounds like a few may pull out if the rain doesn't arrive. Very little forecast according to BBC website and so a Rule 4 is likely.
Even Danyah has only ever raced on good or softer so with the well highlighted lack of grass cover and drying ground he may yet end up a nr.Cry
Report Facts March 25, 2021 5:49 PM GMT
Are you always this optimistic uncle ?!!
Report unclepuncle March 25, 2021 9:14 PM GMT
I live by the motto ' if it can go wrong, it will go wrong'.Laugh

If I'd been alive at the time no doubt I'd have my life savings on Devon Loch.LaughSad
Report SEATHESTARS....NO1 March 25, 2021 11:50 PM GMT
I wasn't trying to put anyone away, not my thing! My bet is below, i put £2 up at 46 and it got matched almost straight away so i laid it off again at 36! Then loads got done at 30+ and so I thought of the old days of the exchange where market vibes on here literally always told you what was happening behind closed doors so to speak.

Bet below
Matched bets
Order by matched date
Back (Bet For)
Odds
Stake
Profit
Danyah
25
£10.00
£240.00
Ref: 228046043761
Matched: 21:28 23-Mar-21
Danyah
46
£2.00
£90.00
Ref: 228048377537
Matched: 22:29 23-Mar-21

Lay (Bet Against)
Backer's odds
Backer's stake
Payout
Liability
Danyah
36
£1.00
£35.00
Ref: 228048502647
Matched: 23:34 23-Mar-21
Danyah
36
£3.00
£105.00
Ref: 228048497098
Matched: 23:04 23-Mar-21
Danyah
36
£3.00
£105.00
Ref: 228048497098
Matched: 23:10 23-Mar-21
Danyah
36
£4.00
£140.00
Ref: 228048497098
Matched: 23:14 23-Mar-21

I am red on it on here obv but backed it with traditional at 12/1 as uncle did also. My other bets are posted above. My book isn't as bad as those posted above look though i am glad to say i'm sure some people have some fairly red looking messes CrazyLoveMischief
Report unclepuncle March 26, 2021 7:39 PM GMT
Have added Ouzo e/w @ 25/1 7 places and River Nymph win only @ 16/1.

See Danyah has shortened up this evening - has he been Pricewised?Cry
Report Facts March 26, 2021 7:44 PM GMT
God, please no ! That's an utter kiss of death Cry
Report unclepuncle March 26, 2021 7:59 PM GMT
Owen Burrows reports Danyah to have done well during the winter and is looking forward to saddling the four-year-old in the Unibet Lincoln Handicap at Doncaster.

The son of Invincible Spirit showed progressive form last term, topping and tailing his season with victories on Town Moor and at Haydock.

Burrows is optimistic Danyah can put up a good show on Saturday, on the evidence of his home work.

The Lambourn trainer said: “We’ve been pleased with him. He’s done well through the winter.

“He’s pleased me in his work leading up to this. Conditions look to suit, so fingers crossed.

“He’s won over the course and at Haydock over a mile on good ground. I’m expecting the ground to be similar to Haydock – so no excuses there.

“We’re going there ticking a few boxes. We’re hopeful.”

The draw is always a talking point over the straight mile on Town Moor, and Burrows is happy enough with stall nine.

“I wouldn’t have wanted to be drawn much lower. We’ll take that,” he said.

“It depends how it pans out. We’ll just have to see what happens.”


Just needs to win now.Laugh
Report Facts March 26, 2021 10:01 PM GMT
Facts    25 Mar 21 13:26 
Just has to win now ! Cool



Report harry callaghan March 27, 2021 12:53 PM GMT
Just out of interest...

quick question as I don’t do trends

is this danyah a trends horse for anyone that does trends? Just want to see the thinking for market reasons tbh and future?
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! March 27, 2021 1:01 PM GMT
lAST 10 YEARS-4 years old
4-41

and the 4 years old have wun the last 4!!!

Devil
Report harry callaghan March 27, 2021 1:07 PM GMT
Just wondering nothing sinister

If it is trends based analysis, every trends follower in the country is on this danyah

If you are a trends man, I’d be interested to know how he comes out for you out of interest, just want the data tbh
Report Millerracing67 March 27, 2021 1:09 PM GMT
Little bit W&P Waqeeqy for me, like the Gd 7lbs angle, Gd ground also a plus.
Report FELTFAIR March 27, 2021 2:34 PM GMT
Traded Man of The Night and got involved in the seven place market.
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