Horse Antepost
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Dropped to a very appealing mark. Thought it ran like a trip would suit at Aintree when coming back to a bit of form after a dismal season.
Peter Bowen knows how to get one ready for this race and interestingly it has been backed this week. Only Betfair Sportsbook has 33/1 left.
Peter Bowen knows how to get one ready for this race and interestingly it has been backed this week. Only Betfair Sportsbook has 33/1 left.
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Kealy in the Weekender has tipped it up.
That's why it has been backed.
That's why it has been backed.
Paul Keally hasn't been doing well in his Saturday big race selections for a while... think cos he has started his Saturday tipping in the RP.. .
But still enjoy his article on the weekend but ignore his tips...
Wish he wouldn't tip in RP should be either Tom or him not both...
Good Luck with your bet though - but not for me...
But still enjoy his article on the weekend but ignore his tips...
Wish he wouldn't tip in RP should be either Tom or him not both...
Good Luck with your bet though - but not for me...
I had quite a big bet on him at Aintree and knew my fate after the first two fences.
Like you Ive gone in again at 33-1 but to much smaller stakes as I quite simply dont know what to expect. He is chucked in on his run in last seasons Novice Chase at Aintree but clearly isnt straightforward.
I do like the booking of R Dunne though. he has a really good record in staying chases over the past few years including winning this race on Wayward Prince and will hopefully get a tune out of him. If he does then he should go close - hard to think he went off 5-1 fav for the Bet365 off a mark of 149 and is now running off 135.
Probably back something else but he is my main hope.
(good to see Bowen almost have a winner at Cheltenham today too as Ive been a bit concerned about his form, particularly as this is usually a good time of the year to be backing his horses)
Like you Ive gone in again at 33-1 but to much smaller stakes as I quite simply dont know what to expect. He is chucked in on his run in last seasons Novice Chase at Aintree but clearly isnt straightforward.
I do like the booking of R Dunne though. he has a really good record in staying chases over the past few years including winning this race on Wayward Prince and will hopefully get a tune out of him. If he does then he should go close - hard to think he went off 5-1 fav for the Bet365 off a mark of 149 and is now running off 135.
Probably back something else but he is my main hope.
(good to see Bowen almost have a winner at Cheltenham today too as Ive been a bit concerned about his form, particularly as this is usually a good time of the year to be backing his horses)
14lb below his 3l 2nd to Native River in The Mildmay last year. He fell at Cheltenham in January prompting Bowen to run him over hurdles next time out as a 'confidence booster' so obviously he felt the horse was struggling a little. The horse then run 2nd to Tea For Two at Exeter off levels (btn 14l but was rated 10lb inferior). That horse went on to beat Cue Card in the Aintree Betway Bowl.
After Exeter the horse ran over the tough fences at Cheltenham and Aintree which may not have suited him given the 'confidence' issue identified by Bowen. The horse may well find these fences at Ayr easier and has plenty of distance to get into a rythmn if he does.
Trainer has won it before, jockey has won it before, good to soft looks ideal, mark and weight look very handy. Great chance and value at 20/1+
After Exeter the horse ran over the tough fences at Cheltenham and Aintree which may not have suited him given the 'confidence' issue identified by Bowen. The horse may well find these fences at Ayr easier and has plenty of distance to get into a rythmn if he does.
Trainer has won it before, jockey has won it before, good to soft looks ideal, mark and weight look very handy. Great chance and value at 20/1+
Absolute cert... a bit misleading isn't it?
On what basis is it a absolute cert?
On what basis is it a absolute cert?
Looks like HPM did run a good race and jumped well tbf ... to me it looked like the distance was the issue... next season I'll probably pay more attention to where he runs and the distance ... but that was promising ...
But didn't run like a dead cert :) that was the funniest line in this thread....
Although had it won.....................
But didn't run like a dead cert :) that was the funniest line in this thread....
Although had it won.....................
Not a horse I could back at present, no recent form.
Ten or so races and a year since he won. Having said that, he has been highly tried, all bar one in Class 1 races, and has now come down to his last winning rating of 135, having been as high as 150.
I think a nice Class 2 race is probably his best chance of regaining winning ways.
Ten or so races and a year since he won. Having said that, he has been highly tried, all bar one in Class 1 races, and has now come down to his last winning rating of 135, having been as high as 150.
I think a nice Class 2 race is probably his best chance of regaining winning ways.
Have yet to watch the race back but Im guessing now that last years run at Aintree was a bit of a fluke - possibly because the others around him had run massive races at Cheltenham and he went there on the back of easy wins at Chepstow and Uttoxeter.
Maybe something like the Badger Ales at Wincanton early next season? - if he doesnt turn out again and go and dot up at Sandown
!!
Maybe something like the Badger Ales at Wincanton early next season? - if he doesnt turn out again and go and dot up at Sandown
!!
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