Horse Antepost

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17 Jan 17 18:02
Date Joined: 23 Sep 04
| Topic/replies: 4,219 | Blogger: GI MAC's blog
Of the Irish entries I like Ivan Grozny and Mick Jazz but no idea if any of them will turn up. The following have also caught my eye:

Ballyandy – 10/1
After getting beaten by Moon Racer (twice) and then MDO people have been writing this one off, but it would not surprise me if NTD has had this race in mind since the start of the season for him. He did a similar thing with Splash Of Ginge, a few runs in novice company before making his hcp debut in this, similar with Flying Angel in last year’s renewal. As the bumper winner he’s not so much under the radar as those two, current price makes no appeal.

William H Bonney – 33/1
Ran in some decent novice hurdles last season including at Newbury, flopped at Cheltenham but that may not be his course or he didn’t like the ground.

Trainer has always rated this one, held up due to some niggles this season. He ran OK on his seasonal debut (g/s) at Kempton before fading and should come on from this, been dropped 4lbs since to a mark of 132. No idea if this is his aim but I think he has been underestimated by the handicapper. I like this one.

Gassin Golf – 33/1
In March 2015 he won a handicap off a mark of 135 over course and distance. He then ran OK off a higher mark behind Cheltenian at Ayr and finished the season on a mark of 140. He was pulled up the following season at Chepstow and was off until he returned this season where he has finished 2nd fto and then 5th at Newbury suggesting he still retains ability and should strip fitter. He is interesting off his current mark of 133 at a price.

Bertimont – 50/1
Been dropped from 151 to 130 very rapidly for his last 3 runs, seems a drastic drop? Maybe he is not as good anymore but mark is interesting.

Wait For Me – 16/1
Is sitting on a mark of 138 which could underestimate him, he ran well in the Supreme and I’d be tempted to forgive his run afterwards. His seasonal debut was fine and should come on for it, has very good course form. Very interesting.

It’s a bit far out and I’m not sure if he is being aimed at the race but going to have a wee punt on William H Bonney at 33/1, will have another look closer to the day.

Good Luck!
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Report unclepuncle January 17, 2017 6:46 PM GMT
Wait For Me definitely interesting.
Report harry callaghan January 17, 2017 7:34 PM GMT
when are the weights published for this?
Report JackieMoon33 January 17, 2017 8:15 PM GMT
Wait For Me did not run in the Supreme, he ran in the County Hurdle as a novice and was placed off 139 which is 1lb higher than now. He has a lot of ability (3rd behind Moon Racer in the Champion Bumper) but his jumping has been suspect. I can see him landing a big 2m handicap if his jumping holds together for a full race.
Report betilyerded January 17, 2017 8:30 PM GMT
Wait For Me entered up to run at Ascot Saturday.

Not getting involved just yet but two that interest me at the moment are the novices Keep In Line and Charlemar. Both have been impressive in Novice hurdles before coming up short in Graded company but have been reasonably handicapped as a result.

Keep In Line is well regarded and looks the sort to be suited by a big field end to end gallop such as this whilst Charlemar has been given a similar prep, and is in the same ownership, as Arzal who was very unlucky in the race a couple of years back.
Report GI MAC January 17, 2017 8:38 PM GMT
He did indeed run in County, my mistake, cheers for pointing that out
Report kavvie January 18, 2017 10:57 AM GMT
what about the king one that was heavily backed over the christmas? 3/1 f never showed
Report impossible123 January 19, 2017 8:45 PM GMT
I think Ballyandy on 10-6 has been given a real opportunity to open his account for the season if he is able to reproduce his early form post the long rest since his last race on 2nd Dec; Modus (12/1) is closely matched with Moon Racer, twice conqueror of Ballyandy (10/1), but the 1st named is giving 20lbs to him. And at 10/1 Ballyandy is a good e/w bet, surely.
Report shockster January 23, 2017 9:56 AM GMT
Clyne now looks to have an obvious chance from a handicapping point of view. Will be 8-10lb well in when his new OR is released tomorrow. Can still run off 143 as this race is an early closer, but will be rated 151-153 I reckon after splitting The New One & L'ami Serge on Saturday. I took a bit of 12/1 yesterday, but 10/1 still decent value I'd say and trainer says will run.
Report IrisDeBalme January 23, 2017 10:39 PM GMT
Totally agree Shockster - think CLYNE run was very impressive... he really pushed The New One... and with L'Ami Serge in 3rd think its a very good yardstick.  Was stated in the RP today he will run - I also agree 10/1 is generous... think he will go off favourite.
Report opatcho January 24, 2017 7:43 PM GMT
Wouldn't trust any form line that has The New One in it. Can't have Clyne

Backed Consul De Thiax at 13/1 and threw a few quid on Koshari at 25/1 (not sure whether it will make a showing)
Report shockster January 24, 2017 8:42 PM GMT
Handicapper only raised Clyne 5lb. Very lenient IMO, but as it doesn't affect this race he has nothing to lose. Can be reassessed after it.
Report deepingfox January 24, 2017 11:31 PM GMT
Looking at the weights its PETE THE MAYO MAN at 16/1, who looks to have been saved for this race, after his course win in November.  I also took the 33s that one bookie put up on SONG LIGHT on the basis that his placed effort in the Greatwood was a good one and he travelled like the best horse in the race for most of the way. Still well weighted, if he gets in.
Report opatcho January 25, 2017 10:19 PM GMT
Had a look at Pete The Mayo Man. Will take another look if ground comes up good on be day - which is unlikely
Report nocturnal January 29, 2017 11:10 AM GMT
Nice shout for WHB that far out GI.....trainer has another couple of interesting ones entered.

Strong stats race re weight and age.

One of my favourite races going back to the schweppes sponsorship.

Lets hope he runs,nice voucher to be sat on.
Report GI MAC January 29, 2017 3:27 PM GMT
Trainer did say the race was under consideration in his weekender column, depending how he ran at Cheltenham, so I'm hopeful he runs. I love this race too..
Report unclepuncle January 29, 2017 5:10 PM GMT
One of my all time favourite races too  - Shadow Leader probbly my best memory.Love

Looks like we are finally going to get plenty of wet stuff over the next couple of weeks so soft ground (or worse) looks certain
Quite intrested in Bags Groove but no idea if he is an intended runner so keeping my powder dry for now.
Report Zagreb January 29, 2017 8:30 PM GMT
Is there any word on if Sutton Place goes for this? Was very impressed with him yesterday, and with a 5lb penalty he'd be running off 148.
He possibly is better with cut but ground should be suitable at Newbury.
When the handicapper has the chance to review his mark I think he will be put up towards 160 and if he runs I think he'll have a massive chance.
Report GI MAC January 29, 2017 9:06 PM GMT
^ Doesn't sound like it, going by these comments. You never know, they might change their mind.
Report ReaseHeath January 29, 2017 9:59 PM GMT
GI MAC, King was positive about William H Bonney's participation in this in his post race interview following yesterday's win.

Quite like Zubayr myself, his run behind Brain Power and Consul De Thaix does n't look too bad now and he's been dropped 3lbs for that. Nicholls sounded far more enthusiastic about his prospects than that of the JP pair he trains in the Pricewise antepost preview for this and he is clearly being laid out for the race.

Shades of Zarkandar - although that one had much better form and was higher rated coming into the race when he won it.
Report nocturnal January 29, 2017 10:48 PM GMT
Agree with Zubayr,potentially one of several who could leave their current mark behind.

With nicholls and the green and golds holding down the weights,plenty guesswork at this stage.

Noticeable how well those up with the pace have fared,in recent renewals.

So,5/6 yr old,ideally kept away from handicapper,possibly stays further,and form on easy ground,frontrunning

could be a big positive?

Should be straight forward once we get decs Wink
Report unclepuncle February 1, 2017 7:33 PM GMT
Ooops - not Shadow Leader, it was Decoupage. Got my Charlie Egerton horses mixed up.Crazy
Report 1st time poster February 6, 2017 7:20 PM GMT
whats elliot sending over viennard buzzed round leop sloppy jump at last not much room, or would have gone close,money for it today ,will it turn up,
Report luckyme February 6, 2017 11:15 PM GMT
1st tp

you would have to be interested at 20s if he came over, travelled well in the leopardstown race until sloppy jump at the last and traffic ahead.

But will he turn up, don't think so myself
Report IDKW February 7, 2017 8:18 AM GMT
MOVEWITTHETIMES screams "Plot" for me.
His run behind Moon Racer at Cheltenham tells me he'll take care of Ballyandy here, and I really can't see much else to be too worried about. Grin
Report impossible123 February 7, 2017 9:00 AM GMT
It could be Ballyandy's day. He's been rested, and well-weighted to run a big race; he's a definite runner (if sound) and also loves the ground (softish).
Report paulo47 February 7, 2017 9:28 AM GMT
Agree re Movewiththetimes , trying to do a MTOY off 10lbs less , looked really good beating nothing at Wincanton and unlucky at Chelt .
Report stevo1 February 7, 2017 3:02 PM GMT
William H Bonney and Consul Da Thaix hopefully both show.
Report Facts February 7, 2017 6:53 PM GMT
Report morpteh mackem February 7, 2017 7:22 PM GMT
interesting what ntd said in todays rp re ballyandy- basically said the weight was a 'gift'.
Report GI MAC February 7, 2017 7:59 PM GMT
aye, was just reading that article. Ballyandy is on 135, beaten half a length by Messire Des Obauex who is now rated 146, so he could be right.
Report alleged22 February 7, 2017 8:39 PM GMT
chucking a few quid e/w on hargam, needs to return to form, I think he will run a big race
Report alleged22 February 7, 2017 8:41 PM GMT
any horse already placed in a triumph and ran in a CH ever run in this?
Report impossible123 February 7, 2017 10:55 PM GMT
The ground is soft/heavy, little rain is forecast, but cold.
Report stevo1 February 8, 2017 5:25 PM GMT
Consul Da Thaix a gonner re market.
Report ReaseHeath February 8, 2017 5:38 PM GMT
seen a tweet from Johnny Ward reporting that Geraghty will ride Movewiththetimes and that Frank Berry says Consul De Thaix is a doubtful runner.
Report dunlaying February 8, 2017 6:24 PM GMT
The subs will make every effort to use " Billy's The Kid".
Report IrisDeBalme February 8, 2017 9:13 PM GMT
Don't really understand the betting for this the way top 3 in the market contracting to 4s/5s again false market for antepost punters... will be 7s the fields come Saturday.

Anyway - still think CLYNE is the one to be on, think the form line with the New One was impressive on really poor ground, hence the money has come for him today, I do like the trainer and nice to see him have decent chance in a big Saturday handicap.

Also a bit of a word for BallyAndy - a month back connections were quite bullish about his Cheltenham prospects in that he must win this if he is good enough... so clearly have a Cheltenham target in mind after this race... albeit to win this race first.  Then comments from RP earlier this week - how they tried to keep his mark down for this race, which does suggest the word plot... but little value now but has to be in the shortlist - fingers crossed on price come saturday. OP was quite shrewd to suggest that in the opening post - hope you all took note :)

Anyway of the outsiders I do like Beltior 16/1 - (already backed him @25s) think on a flat track like Newbury will play to his strength - seemed like going places last season, there was a lot of expectation around him but not so much now, but weighted well and for me that's eye catching.

Wont bother with anything else - otherwise will end up with a shortlist of 10 ;)

Good Luck
Report stevo1 February 9, 2017 9:29 AM GMT
Consul Da Thaix out no surprise been drifting for last 3 days.
Report IrisDeBalme February 9, 2017 12:52 PM GMT
How disappointing RENNETI coming out - weights up by 5lb
Report impossible123 February 9, 2017 1:51 PM GMT
Ballyandy has STD on board; I'm surprised Hargam is running given his best runs have always been on good ground or better - it is soft at the moment. My main concern is Elliot's rep, Veinard on Irish form.
Report GI MAC February 9, 2017 10:51 PM GMT
Hargam running here on soft ground is no surprise at all, it's all about getting his mark down so he can be competitive in the County Hurdle on decent spring ground.
Report unclepuncle February 10, 2017 7:57 AM GMT
Not thrilled by the final entries but will split stakes on Wait For Me and Movewiththetimes.
Report dunlaying February 10, 2017 1:48 PM GMT
I rarely bet on a hurdles race but I could not resist a flutter on Hargam at a big price.
Report the bloob February 10, 2017 7:50 PM GMT
Ballyhill is massively overpriced, I know that Ben Linfoot has tipped it but the 40/1 will be available again in the morning
Report The Dragon February 10, 2017 9:07 PM GMT
zubayr has to be worth a dip at the prioce
Report deepingfox February 10, 2017 9:28 PM GMT
WAIT FOR ME and SONG LIGHT gives me a runner with headgear back on, specifically for the race, and a horse laid out since a blasting run behind North Hill Harvey in the Greatwood. Bring it on.
Report FELTFAIR February 11, 2017 9:31 AM GMT
Backed William H Bonney and Song Light each way. Will be more than a little irritated if Zubayr runs a big race but you can`t back them all.
Report FELTFAIR February 11, 2017 9:36 AM GMT
Five places.
Report shockster February 11, 2017 9:41 AM GMT
Backed Clyne straight after his last run and still happy with that. Have added Boite 40/1 as I think the race will be run tube suit. Big price.
Report shockster February 11, 2017 9:43 AM GMT
"To" not bloody tube.
Report GI MAC February 11, 2017 9:45 AM GMT
I've added an ew bet on Gassin Golf to my original punt, I still think Ballyandy will run a big race, but I just can't back him at the prices, Wait For Me; he can run well but I'm not sure soft ground is ideal for him, maybe one for the festival?

Of the rest Clyne and Movewiththetimes are interesting and should run well. Elliot's runner may well have been let in very lightly on 126, he is intriguing with that good young jockey on board, big race for him.

Good Luck!
Report ReaseHeath February 11, 2017 10:04 AM GMT
agree about Ballyandy because the only thing not to like is the price. Gone off Zubayr primarily because the weights have gone up and as Felt says you can't back 'em all - though it's tempting in a race like this Happy

So ended up the same as deepingfox - Wait For Me and Song Light ew - the ground is a concern but for me it's a total guess up as to what it will be like until they start racing on it by which time the prices will have probably gone anyway.

I get the love for the Elliott horse and the fact that he's sending him and Kennedy is probably a tip in itself but he's gone up from 105 to 126 since his last win so I can leave him.

Good luck!
Report IrisDeBalme February 11, 2017 10:23 AM GMT
most yo-yo betting for this race over the last week... so many horses coming in ... now going out... fluctuations are based on the fact bookies don't know what they're doing... and reacting impulsively rather than on actual money coming in.  Prices were appalling this morning... and for such a competitive race have such as false market... bookies sticking there neck out for half a point or two.

To summarise:

16 runners only ONE horse can win... sometimes you have to state the obvious!
Report Facts February 11, 2017 12:26 PM GMT
Won't be your predicted 7/1 the field Iris. It seems Ballyandy is the one everyone wants ?
Report Millerracing67 February 11, 2017 12:51 PM GMT
A few £££ on Ballyandy for me @ 5.4 .
Gd luck lads.
Report unclepuncle February 11, 2017 12:56 PM GMT
In the hope he doesn't blunder his way round, which is possible based on past formCry, I have become more and more confident that Wait For Me should go very very close and have gone in again - 3pts win, 1 pt place.
Report IrisDeBalme February 11, 2017 1:31 PM GMT
Yeah Facts - way off the mark there.. was pretty surprised tbf.  Considering outsiders have good records in this makes it even more confusing...

Gambled on Blazer was no where in this last year so not as easy as sometimes the betting would suggest.

Good Luck anyway guys - one of the top 4 winning would be a good result ;)
Report Facts February 11, 2017 3:13 PM GMT
Yep. You're correct re Blazer. I backed him, thinking he was a good thing !
Report Angela Rebecchi February 11, 2017 3:40 PM GMT
Top 3 in the market fill the first 3 places Laugh
Report IrisDeBalme February 11, 2017 3:41 PM GMT
Well done GI MAC - was your first horse! :)
Report impossible123 February 11, 2017 3:44 PM GMT
Ballyandy has made up for not getting a run with Getabird at Cheltenham.
Report GI MAC February 11, 2017 4:00 PM GMT
aye, never had a penny on though Iris, my obsession with value thwarts me again. That 10/1 looks an absolute gift now.

Well done winners
Report unclepuncle February 11, 2017 4:25 PM GMT
Well done I123 and other backers.
Report impossible123 February 11, 2017 4:32 PM GMT
Thanks 'unclepuncle'. The Schweppes Hurdle has always been a lucky race for me; it was a toss-up between Ballyandy and Movewiththetimes, but the long rest and racing weight for the former swayed it. It could so easily have gone the other way, and that is racing for you.
Report Facts February 11, 2017 5:55 PM GMT
Ballyandy travelled well throughout and won very well indeed. A definite Cheltenham contender in chosen race.
Report IrisDeBalme February 11, 2017 7:01 PM GMT
yeah value can be a hinderence - think trainer gave way too many hints that this horse would win - hence the price...
Report IrisDeBalme February 11, 2017 7:11 PM GMT
I also though MOVEWITHTHETIMES was really impressive albeit top 2 horses came from a break... I thought BallyAndy was more gutsy... in fact I thought when Geraghty asked for a bit more... horse probably needed the run more.  Id probably back both for the Supreme (if they turn up - will check RP tomorrow) but 14/1 and 20/1 respectively is still value.

But think MVT will get the better of BallyAndy next time. Will back MVT wherever he runs anyway.
Report Facts February 11, 2017 7:56 PM GMT
Even after trainers comments, 13/2 was available !
As Ballyandy won't be running in a Handicap at Cheltenham, I won't be backing it.
Report Ibrahima Sonko February 11, 2017 9:08 PM GMT
MWTT is by presenting, he put up a grand effort. Dont think he will beat a hardened Ballyandy over hurdles. Looks like he doesnt want to battle imo.

MWTT will be a monster over jumps and decent ground.

Im backing Bally for the surpreme, he may lack the class but i think if he turns up you will get a run for your money. Going to be watching the Deloitte and having the press button on the turn.
Report paulo47 February 12, 2017 9:59 AM GMT
Have averaged around 50s MWWT for Supreme and thought he had to win yesterday , agree with all comments , bit green , future chasing superstar . In all honesty cudnt really see him turning the tables with Ballyandy unless PN has left plenty to work on (possible) or ground makes a difference .
Report Catch Me ifyoucan January 11, 2018 10:48 PM GMT
2018 WPM entries....7 of the 59 entered.....Newbury on Saturday 10th Feb 3.35

Bleu Et Rouge
Dolciano Dici
Meri Devie
Voix du Reve

Report Pedigree47 January 21, 2018 9:57 AM GMT
I like Bleu Et Rouge 16 BF & LAD
Won Grade 1 Deloitte hurdle in 2016 Didn't take to fences - lost confidence - now reverted to hurdles this season Btn 7L by Hunters Call at Kempton - running on steadily, on a course that may not have suited as well as Newbury !  JPM has Defi DS as top weight keeping BER's
weight at 11:1
Hope he runs - just hope Willie & JPM are not saving him for the County ? 25 SJ
Could he do the double ?
Report Catch Me ifyoucan January 23, 2018 3:33 PM GMT
El Terremoto (N T-Davies) & Canyon City (Neil King) scratched so 56 remain.
Report Catch Me ifyoucan January 24, 2018 12:17 PM GMT
MAKE THAT 41.....Devil

Elgin Alan King    11st 12lb   

Pingshou Colin Tizzard    11st 9lb   
High Bridge Ben Pauling    11st 9lb   
Lagostovegas WP Mullins, Ireland    11st 8lb   
Mister Miyagi Stuart Edmunds    11st 8lb   
Bleu Et Rouge WP Mullins, Ireland    11st 7lb   
Verdana Blue Nicky Henderson    11st 6lb   
Voix du Reve WP Mullins, Ireland    11st 6lb   
Cliffs of Dover Paul Nicholls    11st 6lb   
Charli Parcs Nicky Henderson    11st 6lb   
Divin Bere Paul Nicholls    11st 5lb   
Jenkins Nicky Henderson    11st 4lb   
Moon Racer David Pipe    11st 3lb   
Misterton Harry Fry    11st 3lb   
Chti Balko Donald McCain    11st 3lb   
Kalashnikov Amy Murphy    11st 2lb   
Project Bluebook John Quinn    11st 2lb   
Dame Rose Richard Hobson    11st 1lb   
Kayf Grace Nicky Henderson    11st 1lb   
Gwafa Paul Webber    11st 1lb   
Remiluc Chris Gordon    11st 0lb   
Spiritofthegames Dan Skelton    11st 0lb   

Lough Derg Spirit Nicky Henderson    10st 13lb   
Poppy Kay Philip Hobbs    10st 12lb   
Lalor Kayley Woollacott    10st 12lb   
Knocknanuss Gary Moore    10st 10lb   
Waterlord Donald McCain    10st 10lb   
Lostintranslation Colin Tizzard    10st 9lb   
William H Bonney Alan King    10st 9lb   
Irish Roe Peter Atkinson    10st 9lb   
Master of Irony John Quinn    10st 8lb   
Silver Streak Evan Williams    10st 8lb   
Nietzsche Brian Ellison    10st 7lb   
Coeur Blimey Susan Gardner    10st 7lb   
Zalvados Oliver Greenall    10st 4lb   
Wishfull Dreaming Olly Murphy    10st 0lb   
Bidourey David Pipe    10st 0lb   
Magic Dancer Kerry Lee    9st 13lb   
Man of Plenty Sophie Leech    9st 12lb   
Birch Hill Sophie Leech    9st 9lb   
Maquisard Gary Moore    9st 9lb
Report ben96 February 4, 2018 11:20 PM GMT
Have backed Cliffs of Dover here @33's he's a horse I have been keeping an eye on after his injury last season. This has been the long term target and he was very progressive last year. Also seems that Nicholls is starting to hit some form.
Report unclepuncle February 5, 2018 1:42 PM GMT
^Cliffs of Dover a n/r by the look of it.Sad

Finding it hard to fancy anything strongly at this stage.
Maybe Charli Parcs can finally get it altogether - have had a nibble @ 29 on here.
Report sintonian February 6, 2018 8:18 PM GMT
Silver Streak looks pretty progressive to me. Only gone up 11lb for a very easy win and good second last time at Ascot.
Report unclepuncle February 7, 2018 7:32 AM GMT
Have added Lough Derg Spirit @ 14/1.
Report The Dragon February 7, 2018 9:14 PM GMT
jenkins at 12 for me
Report brendrew February 7, 2018 10:04 PM GMT
agree jenkins-pulled for its head lto but still won.

Faster run race will be good for it.Hopefully Bowen on board.
Report gpz6316 February 7, 2018 10:35 PM GMT
i like kalashnikov myself best of luck
Report willie the milk February 8, 2018 3:54 PM GMT
Jeez, I never realised this was about last year's race. Anyway William H Bonny for me ew at 25s his year. GL
Report impossible123 February 8, 2018 4:43 PM GMT
Looks an extremely open race, and Hendo is running 5. I'm on Kalashnikov and Lalor, just hoping either will emulate the success of Ballyandy last season.
Report Facts February 8, 2018 5:36 PM GMT
Shortlisted 3 at the moment

Irish Roe
Silver Streak

No bet yet.
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y February 8, 2018 6:03 PM GMT
backed Verdana Blue @ 16s and Spiritofthegames @ 25s
Report Facts February 9, 2018 3:38 PM GMT
Irish Roe ( 9/1 wh bog)
Report fife February 9, 2018 5:47 PM GMT
Facts you can get 10s with 365.
Report Facts February 9, 2018 8:51 PM GMT
Not when I placed the bet at 14.20.
Report GI MAC February 10, 2018 10:15 AM GMT
Fiercely competitive renewal this time around, compressed handicap to boot which helps the top weights. Some nice ew terms about so I've had 3 bites:
William H Bonney, Misterton and Nietzsche.

Good Luck!
Report SOULDANCER February 10, 2018 10:27 AM GMT
SILVER STREAK 18-1 e.w 1st 5. Looks an improver or is it just the way he carries his head. Up in trip could bring more. No soft ground form.
SPIRITOFTHEGAMES 28-1 e.w. 1st 5. Probably place is the best I can hope for. Been racing over 2m3f, 2m5f, 2m would seem too short but he's such a slick hurdler I'm gonna throw my money away. More rain the better, I suppose.
Win savers on Kayf Grace 12-1 and Irish Roe 10-1.
   Looking forward to a hell of a race.
Report FELTFAIR February 10, 2018 11:40 AM GMT
Backed Verdana Blue and Coeur Blimey each way. The betting indicates how wide open this race is.
Report nocturnal February 10, 2018 11:59 AM GMT
Just the 24 to sift through,as mentioned last year strong stats for age/weight.

10/10 age 5/6 yr old
10/10 11-2 lb or below

These are never bombproof,but they are a useful tool in profiling the type of horse that can outrun their odds.In this case we are looking for a younger horse that the handicapper has not  got a handle on,its true potential hidden very carefully,the racing cliche is unexposed,

Zalvados.....He was 25th on the list, managed to get in on the cut at 24,two things at entry stage,they have been messing with headgear,and he was on 10-07,took a chance on the claimer and today he has first time blinkers as well.Since arriving from france he has had the tongue tie fitted,and his form on soft or worse bears the closest inspection,never out the first 2.Won his maiden on last start,with the claim he gets to run off 122 today,exactly 10-00 stone,he has form with limited reserve/chesterfield from aintree last yr,that can be argued are far superior to 122,we will see later.

Nietzsche.....From the Ellison yard,another young unexposed sort,who has big field experience with a fine third in last years fred winter.He was rated 130 going into that,following a couple of sighters this season ,he gets to run here off 132.Ground wise not that easy to work out,he has won on soft,and captain cook looks to be the rider of choice when the moneys down.Enthusiasm tempered slightly as they have left the hood off ,headgear can work both ways,strong traveller on going day,whatever happens,he looks on a reasonable mark.

Will be watching the times of the first few races,they had the going as gd/sft,now back to soft.

Case can be made for plenty,both EW for mine,promises to be a cracker,with the bragging rights reserved for any that can work out this Equine Sodoku.

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