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Can't Catch Me
27 Jan 16 20:15
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Date Joined: 02 Apr 03
| Topic/replies: 28,297 | Blogger: Can't Catch Me's blog
Yanworth at 7-4 looks a great bet to me. Barters Hill now confirmed for Donny, and whilst I respect Shantou Village, I have the feeling Yanworth is a class above, and 7-4 in what looks a two horse race, looks value.

Will be Evs or less on the day imo.
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Report sintonian January 27, 2016 8:43 PM GMT
Not for me at that price even though I think he is a top class Grade 1 beast. I just don't see him being a 20f horse at the moment. I've a small bet on with PP on Charmix ew at 6/1 as it is likely to be testing ground and he'll handle it fine probably.

Yanworth has hacked up on Soft too, but if it gets Heavy then over 20.5f it's a watching brief imo.

Shantou Village has not run for 78 days and is probably going to need the run a bit.

Several other promising horses in this race with form at the trip. Amazed you think it is a two horse race CCM!
Report sintonian January 27, 2016 8:45 PM GMT
Champers On Ice was really game in voctory last time out with a 10lb penalty.
Report sintonian January 27, 2016 8:45 PM GMT
On heavy going too.
Report Can't Catch Me January 27, 2016 9:03 PM GMT
Just can't see any reason Champers on Ice could reverse form with SV myself. Don't see softer ground being an issue and no rain forecast between now and the weekend anyway, so shouldn't be too soft.

Charmix isn't a bad horse, but just can't see him troubling the two principals.
Report Can't Catch Me January 27, 2016 9:05 PM GMT
Really interested that you are worried about the trip Sint, as I know you are a big fan of the horse. I am absolutely certain he will relish it. Not many horses finish off in a Cheltenham bumper like that and don't stay 2.5 miles.
Report sintonian January 28, 2016 9:19 PM GMT
There is rain forecast Friday night into Saturday morning around Cheltenham.
Report sintonian January 28, 2016 9:20 PM GMT
He may get the trip CCM but for me he's looked so good over 2m, where the form has been franked several times, I just don't see the need to go up in trip but half a mile. He may get it and the trainer/jockey are confident he will.
Report Can't Catch Me January 28, 2016 9:33 PM GMT
As per the chat on the Cheltenham thread, I just don't see the downside to trying it myself.

He looks like he should stay to me. If he gets the trio well at the weekend, they have a much clearer picture of where they are with the horse and what he can do. If he doesn't get home, then makes their decision that much easier. Especially as it's course and distance as well.
Report FELTFAIR January 29, 2016 7:14 PM GMT
Backed Yanworth win.
Report festivalfanatic January 29, 2016 7:29 PM GMT
I fancy Yanworth too but I'm going to wait and see how the overnight rain affects the ground. I have reservations about backing him in a bog at this trip.
Report Can't Catch Me January 29, 2016 8:18 PM GMT
shame they've left Barters Hill in and messed the market up.

Agree about the ground... When Instarted this thread I looked at the forecast and there was no rain for the whole week! Bloody loads of it tonight now... Should certainly make things interesting.
Report yeast January 29, 2016 9:16 PM GMT
Barters Hill now confirmed for Donny.
Report sintonian January 30, 2016 9:02 AM GMT
15mm overnight. Inspection at 10.00am
Report sintonian January 30, 2016 3:11 PM GMT
yep, he's top drawer alright. I have 25/1 for him for the Supreme but sadly I doubt he'll run. Wd ccm.
Report sintonian January 30, 2016 3:13 PM GMT
wd Felt
Report Mr Eboue January 30, 2016 8:14 PM GMT
Good call CCM. Looked an absolute weapon today.
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