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Confirmation of entry stage is a couple of days away on 30th April. A lot of these do not look particularly well handicapped and with only 17 runners allowed it possible that my two arrows for the race will get in being 21 and 23, and certainly have more chance than this lot - Zafayan (27), Gabrial´s King (29), Quest For More (31), Altaayil (36), William Of Orange (40), and the Gordon Elliot two (40) Bayan (41) and Taglietelle (47). It is also a balloted out/ void ante- post race which is always welcome.
Buthelezi was bought for the Northumberland Plate and he has been consistent since coming down to a reasonable mark and form with Hidden Gold ( both off 85) looks good now, plus form with Esteaming- Aug 14 and April 15, received 15lb and receiving 2lb shows he is back to useful. He will have a rejuvenated former 2010 champion Irish apprentice (three-way tie with Joseph O'Brien and Gary Carroll, while with John Oxx). Has looked a decent jockey straight away over here for Alan Swinbank, and has only just got started as he is with agent Simon Dodds. He is 3 from 11 (3 from 8 4yo+) for Brian Ellison this year, keeps everything simple, good positioning, confidence in front, has good timing (spent 2009 winter riding out in America honing his pace skills with the clock and has strength in a finish. Has won twice on Buthelezi, who goes on any ground.
Nobel Silk. Lucy Wadham had good percentage on flat last year and has in the past won stakes races with Dorcas Lane, Cassique Lady (both group placed), Crystal Gal and Lady Tiana. Good black type family dams side. Easy to forget run in Cesarewitch when snatched up under Frankie. Likely to have Kieran Shoemark and 5lbs off. Apprenticed to Andrew Balding, on loan to Danny O'Brien stable he has drawn comparisons with champion apprentice Oisin Murphy during his summer stint in Australia and is worth every bit of his allowance.
Buthelezi was bought for the Northumberland Plate and he has been consistent since coming down to a reasonable mark and form with Hidden Gold ( both off 85) looks good now, plus form with Esteaming- Aug 14 and April 15, received 15lb and receiving 2lb shows he is back to useful. He will have a rejuvenated former 2010 champion Irish apprentice (three-way tie with Joseph O'Brien and Gary Carroll, while with John Oxx). Has looked a decent jockey straight away over here for Alan Swinbank, and has only just got started as he is with agent Simon Dodds. He is 3 from 11 (3 from 8 4yo+) for Brian Ellison this year, keeps everything simple, good positioning, confidence in front, has good timing (spent 2009 winter riding out in America honing his pace skills with the clock and has strength in a finish. Has won twice on Buthelezi, who goes on any ground.
Nobel Silk. Lucy Wadham had good percentage on flat last year and has in the past won stakes races with Dorcas Lane, Cassique Lady (both group placed), Crystal Gal and Lady Tiana. Good black type family dams side. Easy to forget run in Cesarewitch when snatched up under Frankie. Likely to have Kieran Shoemark and 5lbs off. Apprenticed to Andrew Balding, on loan to Danny O'Brien stable he has drawn comparisons with champion apprentice Oisin Murphy during his summer stint in Australia and is worth every bit of his allowance.
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Well goodbye Noble Silk look forward to backing him in the future, hello Trip To Paris and Andrea Atzeni.
Graham Lee rides Trip To Paris now which is not too bad good course percentage a couple of years ago, rode the horse for last time out win and strong.
Draw Monday morning is crucial for front running Buthelezi- fingers crossed. Recent form of Brian Ellison is comforting.
Perfect draw in 4 for Buthelezi, now best priced 18’s so far at 1145am ish. Altaayil not certain to run as second reserve. With little more than a furlong before the first bend,not so kind draws for Trip To Paris (11) but better than Famous Kid (13), Suegioo (16), Duke of Clarence, who raced prominently last 2 races (17 guaranteed), John Reel (15) races prominently, or Mubaraza (12). Good luck to others.
Trip to Paris and Mubaraza would be my two. Can see why Quick Jack is fav tho.
I was about too have me nuts on Altaayil, but "they say it may not run". This is becoming quite common with anything I fancy #Badjudge
Turftrax Latest GoingStick Readings
Racecourse Report Date Race Date GoingStick
Chester 05 May 06 May
Good to Soft 6.4
on Tuesday at 07:00
Racecourse Report Date Race Date GoingStick
Chester 05 May 06 May
Good to Soft 6.4
on Tuesday at 07:00
Chester Cup Trends- http://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=409003
Interesting how we all interpret differently. To me the main stat is 6 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stalls 1 - 5 and I would make that weighted much higher than the author. Sorry for your loss Altaayil followers.
Interesting how we all interpret differently. To me the main stat is 6 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stalls 1 - 5 and I would make that weighted much higher than the author. Sorry for your loss Altaayil followers.
Marco Botti admits Ryan Moore is going to have to weave his magic from stall 16 if Suegioo is to repeat his victory of 12 months ago in the Betway Chester Cup tomorrow.
One of five runners for owner Dr Marwan Koukash, the six-year-old is 9lb higher than last year, when he came late to beat Angel Gabrial, another Koukash runner who also tries his luck again.
The two subsequently fought out the finish of the Northumberland Plate and came up against each other on their first outing of the season at Ripon recently, but both were put in their place by Fattsota over a mile and a half.
"I think it's going to be tough to win from that draw but he's going there in the same form as last year," said Botti.
"He ran well at Ripon on his comeback over a mile and a half which is too short for him, but he's higher in the weights and with the draw it will be tough.
"We'll have to hope for some magic from Ryan, but if anybody can do it he can. I'm very happy with him, and we'll just have to live with the draw."
Richard Fahey runs four, all owned by Koukash.
Angel Gabrial has top weight, Duke Of Clarence has been drawn widest of all, Gabrial's Star has been running well on the all-weather while Gabrial's King chased home Trip To Paris at Ripon recently.
"Angel Gabrial has a good draw but has a lot on his plate with that weight," said Fahey.
"Duke Of Clarence has some very good form to his name against Arab Spring but unfortunately he has the coffin box draw (19).
"Marwan was mad to get Gabrial's Star into the race, he's managed it, so we'll see how he gets on.
"I was delighted with Gabrial's King at Ripon, that run should have put him spot on so we'll see how they all do."
Dermot Weld likes a runner in the Chester Cup and saddles the dual-purpose performer Zafayan.
Weld wanted to run the four-year-old at Cheltenham, but he failed to make the cut so he ran on the Flat at Leopardstown and won easily.
"Ansar was beaten a short head in it a few years ago (2000) before he won a couple of Galway Hurdles and he's a interesting runner," said Weld.
"He's drawn seven and has a nice weight, 8st 10lb, so we'll see.
"I've been looking at this for a while. He got balloted out of the Fred Winter and he won nicely at Leopardstown so could represent us well."
Andrew Balding's Mymatechris was a winner on All-Weather Finals Day but the Kingsclere handler sees no reason why he should not be as effective back on turf.
However, Balding would be concerned if the ground turned very soft.
"He's been very progressive on the all-weather, he started off rated 69 and is now 103," said Balding.
"I don't see why he should not be equally as effective on grass. However, my concern would be if it went very soft as he has a win on firm ground at Bath to his name.
"He's had a good winter and he possesses a good turn of foot so Chester should suit."
One of five runners for owner Dr Marwan Koukash, the six-year-old is 9lb higher than last year, when he came late to beat Angel Gabrial, another Koukash runner who also tries his luck again.
The two subsequently fought out the finish of the Northumberland Plate and came up against each other on their first outing of the season at Ripon recently, but both were put in their place by Fattsota over a mile and a half.
"I think it's going to be tough to win from that draw but he's going there in the same form as last year," said Botti.
"He ran well at Ripon on his comeback over a mile and a half which is too short for him, but he's higher in the weights and with the draw it will be tough.
"We'll have to hope for some magic from Ryan, but if anybody can do it he can. I'm very happy with him, and we'll just have to live with the draw."
Richard Fahey runs four, all owned by Koukash.
Angel Gabrial has top weight, Duke Of Clarence has been drawn widest of all, Gabrial's Star has been running well on the all-weather while Gabrial's King chased home Trip To Paris at Ripon recently.
"Angel Gabrial has a good draw but has a lot on his plate with that weight," said Fahey.
"Duke Of Clarence has some very good form to his name against Arab Spring but unfortunately he has the coffin box draw (19).
"Marwan was mad to get Gabrial's Star into the race, he's managed it, so we'll see how he gets on.
"I was delighted with Gabrial's King at Ripon, that run should have put him spot on so we'll see how they all do."
Dermot Weld likes a runner in the Chester Cup and saddles the dual-purpose performer Zafayan.
Weld wanted to run the four-year-old at Cheltenham, but he failed to make the cut so he ran on the Flat at Leopardstown and won easily.
"Ansar was beaten a short head in it a few years ago (2000) before he won a couple of Galway Hurdles and he's a interesting runner," said Weld.
"He's drawn seven and has a nice weight, 8st 10lb, so we'll see.
"I've been looking at this for a while. He got balloted out of the Fred Winter and he won nicely at Leopardstown so could represent us well."
Andrew Balding's Mymatechris was a winner on All-Weather Finals Day but the Kingsclere handler sees no reason why he should not be as effective back on turf.
However, Balding would be concerned if the ground turned very soft.
"He's been very progressive on the all-weather, he started off rated 69 and is now 103," said Balding.
"I don't see why he should not be equally as effective on grass. However, my concern would be if it went very soft as he has a win on firm ground at Bath to his name.
"He's had a good winter and he possesses a good turn of foot so Chester should suit."
Looks like a recent move for Quick Jack around 11/2-5/1for a few large ones on Betfair but not sure you can make much of this nowadays as it looks like BV and PP, and the other big bookies, shortened up within half an hour of each other just after 12.30pm. I think its on-course bookies pre-hedging a Tony Martin horse so they can lay all day at a false price (probably 3/1 or less) since the Sir Michael Stoute horse was balloted out. Zafayan is the one over-priced now to me; certainly the single 10/1 at C is big considering his draw and he has been heavily gambled on last 3 starts. I am very pleased with my 26.85 Av. Odds on Buthelezi considering the lack of liquidity in the AP market beforehand.
Richard Fahey: Angel Gabrial is one of four runners for the stable in the Betway Chester Cup. He came to us with a rating of 88, was second in this race off 91 last year and is now trying to win it from a mark of 106 and with top weight to carry. He loves the course and is in great form though.
Duke Of Clarence has been given the coffin box in stall 19 and it’s going to be very hard to win a Chester Cup from out there. He’ll need all the luck in the world.
Hand on heart, if you asked me whether I thought Gabrial’s Star could win a Chester Cup I’d have to say probably not, but that said he’ll get the trip, likes the ground and is very fit and well.
I was delighted with Gabrial’s King’s first run for the yard at Ripon. We are very happy with him now and he has a good draw in three. He’s interesting.
Duke Of Clarence has been given the coffin box in stall 19 and it’s going to be very hard to win a Chester Cup from out there. He’ll need all the luck in the world.
Hand on heart, if you asked me whether I thought Gabrial’s Star could win a Chester Cup I’d have to say probably not, but that said he’ll get the trip, likes the ground and is very fit and well.
I was delighted with Gabrial’s King’s first run for the yard at Ripon. We are very happy with him now and he has a good draw in three. He’s interesting.
Ben Linfoot- BUTHELEZI who has been the subject of good support in the last few days. Still, 12/1 remains fair and he’s worth backing at that price.
Trouble in-running shouldn’t be an issue with this horse as he’s one of only three that I can find in the field that like to race prominently. The Irish mare Shu Lewis (drawn one) is one and Dermot Weld’s Zafayan (drawn seven) is another.
I’m not convinced Shu Lewis is favourably treated and though Zafayan is trained by a master of stayers he’s by Acclamation, who is known for siring sprinters, and I’m just not that convinced he’ll stay.
Buthelezi, on the other hand, stays very well and there was lots to like about his most recent win at Musselburgh where he made all and kept on bravely for pressure, responding so well he looked to have gained a second wind by the time he crossed the line in front.
That form was franked in style by the third home Aramist at Hamilton next time and there’s a good chance Ben Curtis will get him into a good rhythm up front again. The pair could be hard to pass.
The recent rain is also in his favour as that Musselburgh effort came on soft ground and he remains favourably handicapped compared to his former life as a John Gosden-trained St Leger horse. That was four years ago and he’s a different horse now, but new trainer Brian Ellison has done a good job with him over the last year and there may be more to come from him yet.
Trouble in-running shouldn’t be an issue with this horse as he’s one of only three that I can find in the field that like to race prominently. The Irish mare Shu Lewis (drawn one) is one and Dermot Weld’s Zafayan (drawn seven) is another.
I’m not convinced Shu Lewis is favourably treated and though Zafayan is trained by a master of stayers he’s by Acclamation, who is known for siring sprinters, and I’m just not that convinced he’ll stay.
Buthelezi, on the other hand, stays very well and there was lots to like about his most recent win at Musselburgh where he made all and kept on bravely for pressure, responding so well he looked to have gained a second wind by the time he crossed the line in front.
That form was franked in style by the third home Aramist at Hamilton next time and there’s a good chance Ben Curtis will get him into a good rhythm up front again. The pair could be hard to pass.
The recent rain is also in his favour as that Musselburgh effort came on soft ground and he remains favourably handicapped compared to his former life as a John Gosden-trained St Leger horse. That was four years ago and he’s a different horse now, but new trainer Brian Ellison has done a good job with him over the last year and there may be more to come from him yet.
Ben Linfoot- TRIP TO PARIS, who beat Gabrial’s King at Ripon, looks a better bet at 12/1 as he shouldn’t be four points bigger to confirm the form, even though he has fared slightly worse in the draw stakes.
Ed Dunlop’s gelding is a stayer on the up and looked at home over two miles at Ripon last month on what was his first attempt at the distance.
It’s difficult to come from off the pace at Ripon but the four-year-old flew past his rivals in the straight and was well on top at the line, almost four lengths clear of Gabrial’s King who failed to make serious inroads into his lead once he saw daylight.
Trip To Paris only gets a 3lb penalty for that success, is officially 4lb well-in, and, given he looked to have plenty more to give when crossing the line at Ripon, there is hope that a) there is more to come and b) he will get the extra distance.
The recent rain that has turned the ground Good to Soft shouldn’t bother him either as he won on such conditions at Ascot last July and stall 11 isn’t too bad. There are two or three prominent racers on the inside of him but Graham Lee should be able to get a good position in midfield before moving through the field as the race progresses.
Ed Dunlop’s gelding is a stayer on the up and looked at home over two miles at Ripon last month on what was his first attempt at the distance.
It’s difficult to come from off the pace at Ripon but the four-year-old flew past his rivals in the straight and was well on top at the line, almost four lengths clear of Gabrial’s King who failed to make serious inroads into his lead once he saw daylight.
Trip To Paris only gets a 3lb penalty for that success, is officially 4lb well-in, and, given he looked to have plenty more to give when crossing the line at Ripon, there is hope that a) there is more to come and b) he will get the extra distance.
The recent rain that has turned the ground Good to Soft shouldn’t bother him either as he won on such conditions at Ascot last July and stall 11 isn’t too bad. There are two or three prominent racers on the inside of him but Graham Lee should be able to get a good position in midfield before moving through the field as the race progresses.
Bloody hell Madhu - have you got OCD around The Chester Cup ? 
Zafayan looks capable, indifferent profile and not appealing , but did well latest and not that exposed, Trip To Paris and Gabrial's King obvious place prospects.
I like Mubaraza draw against him especially here at Chester but think this guy
has more
has more
Destruct is an intriguing runner. There is support for him around the offices but I am unable to ascertain the strength of it.
As you mentioned Taglietelle in your opening post Madhu he is declared tommorrow evening,(8.00 Clonmel 2m+). Another Quick Jack fan here.
From Ian Williams stable tour in February
DESTRUCT
5 b g Rail Link - Daring Miss
Winner of two of his three starts for Andre Fabre and successful in a listed event over 1m 7f at Deauville in August 2013 when last seen on a racecourse.
"He is formerly French-trained and was bought with an injury which has hopefully healed now. He is a highly-rated horse who is very pleasing on the eye and will be readied for some decent staying handicaps in the Spring"
Interesting also that Fallon was booked early to ride. Not exactly sure how relevant that is regarding Ian Williams but even so.
Im going to take a chance on Duke Of Clarence at big odds e/w. Plenty of high drawn horses have placed (and even won) the race, particularly with give in the ground and the prominent runners fade away. Interesting he used to be a hold-up horse before Fahey got him and Im guessing thats how he is gonna be ridden today. Koukash says the planning for the Chester Cup begins immediately after the previous one and given last year was his first start for Fahey I'd like to think they know a bit more about the horse now.
DESTRUCT
5 b g Rail Link - Daring Miss
Winner of two of his three starts for Andre Fabre and successful in a listed event over 1m 7f at Deauville in August 2013 when last seen on a racecourse.
"He is formerly French-trained and was bought with an injury which has hopefully healed now. He is a highly-rated horse who is very pleasing on the eye and will be readied for some decent staying handicaps in the Spring"
Interesting also that Fallon was booked early to ride. Not exactly sure how relevant that is regarding Ian Williams but even so.
Im going to take a chance on Duke Of Clarence at big odds e/w. Plenty of high drawn horses have placed (and even won) the race, particularly with give in the ground and the prominent runners fade away. Interesting he used to be a hold-up horse before Fahey got him and Im guessing thats how he is gonna be ridden today. Koukash says the planning for the Chester Cup begins immediately after the previous one and given last year was his first start for Fahey I'd like to think they know a bit more about the horse now.
the two that really interest me are Trip to Paris and Lady Kashaan. Hopefully a good pace is set. Good luck
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