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IrisDeBalme
11 Jan 15 22:37
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Date Joined: 17 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 2,026 | Blogger: IrisDeBalme's blog
Tough race loads of interesting horses... thought id start the discussion...

My fancy ACTIVIAL was going well in the Ladbroke... thought he needed the run not many miles on the clock so think there is improvement in him... Im not sure he will turn up but this seems the most natural port of call... if he turns up he will be fav and half the price...

I think he has the class to take this and I think 16/1 is generous at this stage...

It would be interesting to see what Henderson or Jonjo have up their sleeve... but unsure but having a sneaky feeling that Nicholls may run CALIPTO (also 16s) which is worth a shout

Good Luck
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Report Ibrahima Sonko January 12, 2015 4:50 PM GMT
I have backed Vasco Du Ronceray at 50, still think there is a decent horse in there somewhere and he is closely matched with Far West who would had been placed in this last year. Hopefully they are saving him for this race as he hasnt run since easily winning in November.
Report knot in wood January 12, 2015 7:17 PM GMT
was going to follow you in on activial, but up 6 for that ladbroke hdle 3rd and that form is stating to look suspect.
might still win but think i will wait until nearer the day regards him.

calipto was reported to have a breathing problem lto.
Report IrisDeBalme January 14, 2015 11:13 AM GMT
Interesting Calipto is fav now - glad I took 16s when I did - pwise tipping tom so trainers intentions will be a lot clearer then...
Report FOYLESWAR January 15, 2015 9:15 AM GMT
prycewiesed this morning !
Report IrisDeBalme January 15, 2015 11:50 AM GMT
yep saw it... glad I took 16s and some 14s but shame that will be single figures by next week...

Calipto having a breathing op... is really interesting though and value has gone there...

Hopefully they will ease prices on the day of the race... and will go back in then...
Report IrisDeBalme February 6, 2015 2:32 PM GMT
For me the market is much shorter than I expected for either Actival or Calipto.  I still think Actival is the class horse in this and should defy his penalty and win... but nothing in raacing is a certainty...

So, statswise cant help having a bet on FASCINO RUSTICO @14's not sure connections wanted to run him last time as they needed the penalty to get in... has shown much better form since leaving Nicholls yard... maybe not the right age but not many miles on the clock ... he has never run in a handicap, and right side of the weights and that bodes a strong stat...
Report Benjy February 7, 2015 9:08 AM GMT
That's not strictly true; he ran in a novice handicap and was well beaten off 126.

Got some decent antepost prices on the top two though. Cool
Report IrisDeBalme February 7, 2015 11:36 AM GMT
Thanks Benjy yeah point taken... suprised to see him 16s though...

yeah good prices antepost but they still have to win... unfortunately thats the hard bit!
Report IrisDeBalme February 8, 2015 12:21 AM GMT
bit frustrating with Activial - thats two placed efforts in tough handicaps... 6lb weight rise was a key factor but still think he is better than that and will probably now be aimed at the Coral Cup.. will follow him there...
Report knot in wood February 8, 2015 1:42 PM GMT
still a good shout-placed.

fancy activial and calipto need softer ground and/or longer trip.
Report ZEALOT February 8, 2015 3:34 PM GMT
beating the price is the name of the game - well done
Report Fashion Fever February 9, 2015 1:03 AM GMT
hard to know what to make of activial, but really like him for some reason, still a lttle disapointed but collected the ew dough again

wonder if harry will be thinking imperial cup, county bonus ?
Report IrisDeBalme February 9, 2015 8:00 AM GMT
I thought that would be a possibility really... he is only 5 and continues to improve... my worry is the ground as more likely to get good to soft at Chelt... so not sure they will run him twice over a 4/5 days on that ground... feel he needs it softer to show his best... but worth watching out for him.
Report IrisDeBalme March 11, 2015 9:19 PM GMT
placed in 3 high profile handicaps... not sure what will it take for this horse to win a race this season?
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