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it was an earcatchingly bullish interview from Weld..i had a look at the runner-up in the Derby betting (bred to stay and showed plenty given slowly-run 7f wouldnt have suited)...tad disappointed to see that the only 25/1 left was with Ladcrokes, who usually have a good line to the yard
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Yes I noticed that Duncan. I am not at all sure that Isaac Newton would necessarily prove the better of the pair either. Sawraq was held up in his work before the race with that cold. I remember very well Zawraq's relative -Nashwan. He was quite stoutly bred and yet was, early in the Spring of his year, suddenly hammered in the betting for the 2000 Guineas. He apparently did a gallop that made people know he was a Guineas winner.. Zawraq's does seem to have inherited a lot of the family speed although he's bred to stay 12 furlongs.
If only we could be sure that Dermot Weld would aim for HQ I would be very keen for his 2000 Guineas chances. I am unconvinced really by the middle park, racingpost trophy or dewhurst form. The interesting 2000 guineas candidates for me are Convey, Zawraq and Ol' Man River. |
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No-one can be sure which will prove the better of the pair on the basis of that one run...to my eye, Sir Isaac Newton is the more stoutly bred of the two, so i just felt it had to be encouraging he made Zawraq (who dictated) dig deep, particularly if Weld is right about the winner being potentially top-class @ 8f/10f
i wouldnt be reading anything into the head cold tbh...Weld said it was over a month ago. We've no idea what state of readiness these horses that are squeezing in a backend run are at (AOB said SIN was 'just ready to start') |
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The 100 he traded at does not look too shoddy now. This is a high class colt. He might though just fall between stools regards classic trip. Will he get 12 and will he be fast enough for a mile.
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Is he going to Newmarket? 20/1 on here..
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Looking at the times for today's races, I'm stunned at how much slower than standard they were. I've never seen times like it. That ground must have been unraceable. Compared to last year's meeting, supposedly also on soft to heavy, they are around seven seconds slower per race!
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the ground did look pretty slow (and choppy...almost holding ground) at the start of the day...quite a few horses made hard work of it so it was pleasing to see him go through the gears the way he did.
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hope gets a guineas run best trial for a derby
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looks a runner as Intilaaq been taken out :)
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Intilaaq in Zawraq out.
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I have to say I think that's a crazy decision. The forecast is for plenty of rain so it will probably be no faster than good, with the possibility of soft being in the description. There's only one Guineas and Zawraq should have been entered in case of appropriate going on the day. Can he really be a Derby horse - by Shamardal?
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I agree and it has not helped my book at all.
Not sure if he will stay 12 all that well either. He might do as there is some stamina on the dams side, but he did look to me like mainly a 2000 guineas rather than a Derby horse. However if Dermot Weld has chosen this route for the horse, I am not going to argue. He knows a bit about his job. Mind you the trainer may have been told by the owner as he has a few in the Guineas already. |