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As it happens, I think you sum it up quite well.
No nasty looking foreign horses this year (I have also back Aljamaaheer) + even this far out, fast ground seems very likely My only unknown: what will APO'B run? |
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If I were him I'd run GUERRE in the KS, DUE DILIGENCE in the Jersey & DARWIN in the DJ
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At time of backing Aljam two Aussie horses headed the market,they have fallen by wayside now. So he has every chance of going very close in present line up?
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ALJAMAAHEER for me too, with form to be franked before the race, in the Kings Stand by ES QUE LOVE being placed, or being a surprise winner.
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Money for him again this morning 8s with PP best price wont last too much longer,weather forecast looks good all set for huge run hopefully!
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I fancy him a little bit but missed the big prices so going to wait now. If he was Group 1 class I thought he should have won last time out even despite the ride. But then you look at the rest of the runners and you can make a case for the race being Group 2 standard.
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Agree Sint not strong looking race,think maybe whoever Aidan runs maybe worth looking at?
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Aidens runner will be my bet here
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Due Diligence runs and wins.
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What about Astaire? Had Es Que Love, who beat Aljamaheer at Newmarket, a couple of lengths behind under a group one penalty at York. Beat Hot Streak last year over 6f. 16s on here...
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Astaire defo bit overpriced,will wait for day of race for saver, good luck for week all.
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Tuesday bets Adaay 6/1, Rex Imperator/Jack Dexter 25/1 & 33/1, Kingman 11/10, Mind Of Madness 6/1, good luck today weather looks good for rest of week re going for Aljamaaheer for Saturday hoping for huge run!
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First time blinkers for Aljamaaheer
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Thanks Sint not sure what to make of that,must have been working in them I presume?
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Hopefully from stall 6, Hanagan can tuck in not too far out of his ground clear run go close.
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Puts me off him tbh esp at the 9/2 he is now. Form chances though obviously.
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Tawhid at a big price is of some interest , drops down to six furlongs for the first time but should not be phased by that ,
they could have gone for the Jersey again but opt for this race instead . six furlongs might be the making of him ( hope springs eternal ) ran third to Gale force ten in last years Jersey where he was drawn away from the main pack , looks a straightforward type and has had a pipe opener e/w chance at a good price . |
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Jersey confined to three year old colts and fillies so could not have run in it this year , so this had to be the Ascot Target i suppose , wel they will find out if he is a six or seven furlong Horse Tomorrow gl
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I still have faith in Darwin and today is the day when I will be proved right or wrong about it being a G1 horse. The price available is far better than I might have hoped for and it begs to be backed each way at 16/1. The ground is right, he has pace aplenty, and after paying $1.3 M for him, I should think that the stable hope he fulfills all that promise he showed in the US. If he wins or places I expect to see him in the July Cup next.
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Tawhid a non , so row in with Darwin e/w as well .
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Aidens runner will be my bet here
Which one, zil? |
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SLADE POWER is the one with good pedigree for sprinting, not sure if its better over fast ground or soft, dutch art progeny seem to win on any ground. will need to improve to takes its first group 1 win, only beaten the 2 lengths by european champion sprinter lethal force
last year at newmarket, a higher draw would of been a bonus. gl all |
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Ive Done a DD, GLB rfc Fig....
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I expected Due Diligence to win last time but I didn't expect him to do it quite so well and I certainly didn't him to clock the time he did. For me, he's the 3yo sprinter people should've been talking about instead of Hot Streak. On these terms he tops my figures here and should take some pegging back.
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*didn't expect him to clock..
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surprised to see the american devil put in at 25-1 here with the trainer change he will do nicely for me and has some decent back form, i think he will like this ground on breeding and a saver on aljamaheer who gets his ground and first time blinkers and open to more improvement sprinting...
slade power is a quirky sort and not sure he will be truly at home on this ground...due dilligence looks like he has plenty on here at the price we are getting after winning a race i'm not sure amounts to much but is 8-1 for the privilege...the byron horse has always been a better horse with some cut and has already had a long season...i have never got an angle on darwin but know sandown likes the horse, he looks like he has physical issues and am happy to watch him win...astaire gets the allowances but his form is open to question and am should they will be happy to just get in the money |
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wd winners
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unlucky figg done by the draw
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Darwin frustrating and I must have over-rated him. Betting told the story re. Darwin vs DD.
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Yes, harry, those high drawn certainly looked up against it halfway, but that's the way it goes sometimes. Annoying as I was going to back Slade Power until DD's last run. Still, can't complain about the horse's performance and he did well to get the place.
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Only race of the week where a high draw was disadvanatageous.
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^on the straight course.
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I don't think the draw was a disadvantage in itself, just that the low numbers were where the pace was, which is often the real problem when they split into groups rather than any track bias. Maybe Due Diligence just couldn't go the early pace and there was no disadvantage. I had DD with only a couple of pounds advantage, I had Slade Power improving again last time and looking at the time I have him improving slightly again today so would've been extremely close anyway so can't complain.
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agree figgis they're were biases all week but most of the time where the speed was...except in the big fields where there appeared to be an actual draw bias
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