Horse Antepost
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Did one of these to provide some interest in the early flat season. First question is will they even make the race ? Nevertheless, I've had 50p e/w to win about £70k or so
2000 Guineas - Australia 5/2 - daft price but he has the ideal dosage profile 3-1-8-4-0-1......1.0....0.19, along with Free Eagle and Indian Maharaja who both seem to heading elsewhere. He obviously has the required form and the right trainer.
1000 Guineas - Vorda 20/1 - no filly had the ideal profile other than Al Thakhira and Night Song. Al Thakira needs cut in the ground and I doubt that it will be anything less than Good to Soft. Looks like Night Song is going elsewhere. Therefore I looked at the dosage profiles that weren't quite perfect and this brought up Amazing Maria, Vorda and Flying Jib. Of these I liked the fact that Vorda matched nicely with the amount of American breds in a 1000g winners profile, being by Orpen, Grand Sire Lure and Grand Sire Dam side Observatory. Add this to winning the Cheverley Park, French trainers winning 2 of the last 5, the 1000g confirmed as the target and a slight preference to Arab ownership and 20/1 looked too big a price to ignore.
Epsom Derby - Geoffrey Chaucer 16/1 - all about AOB and his Montjeu or Galileo horses (Montjeu/Galileo winning 5 of the last 7) 16/1. He has the perfect dosage profile of AOB's Montjeu or Galileo horses and therefore fits my criteria with no other challengers.
Epsom Oaks - Casual Smile 50/1 - English trainers or AOB do best. There were a number of perfect dosage profiles : Marvellous, Miss France, Dazzling, Regardez and Casual Smile. Of those I liked the fact that at the price Casual Smile is trained by Andrew Balding and he won in 2003 with Casual Look (Casual Smiles dam) and is by the legendary Sea The Stars. The a classic blueblood pedigree. The owner is also the same owner as for Casual Look and therefore I'm guessing that this race has been the target for connections since before Casual Look was covered.
Only a bit of fun to add some interest but we'll see how they do !
** I am using the term "Perfect dosage" to mean the horse matches the ranges of the last 10 winners of the race for B-I-C-S-P.....DI.....CD
2000 Guineas - Australia 5/2 - daft price but he has the ideal dosage profile 3-1-8-4-0-1......1.0....0.19, along with Free Eagle and Indian Maharaja who both seem to heading elsewhere. He obviously has the required form and the right trainer.
1000 Guineas - Vorda 20/1 - no filly had the ideal profile other than Al Thakhira and Night Song. Al Thakira needs cut in the ground and I doubt that it will be anything less than Good to Soft. Looks like Night Song is going elsewhere. Therefore I looked at the dosage profiles that weren't quite perfect and this brought up Amazing Maria, Vorda and Flying Jib. Of these I liked the fact that Vorda matched nicely with the amount of American breds in a 1000g winners profile, being by Orpen, Grand Sire Lure and Grand Sire Dam side Observatory. Add this to winning the Cheverley Park, French trainers winning 2 of the last 5, the 1000g confirmed as the target and a slight preference to Arab ownership and 20/1 looked too big a price to ignore.
Epsom Derby - Geoffrey Chaucer 16/1 - all about AOB and his Montjeu or Galileo horses (Montjeu/Galileo winning 5 of the last 7) 16/1. He has the perfect dosage profile of AOB's Montjeu or Galileo horses and therefore fits my criteria with no other challengers.
Epsom Oaks - Casual Smile 50/1 - English trainers or AOB do best. There were a number of perfect dosage profiles : Marvellous, Miss France, Dazzling, Regardez and Casual Smile. Of those I liked the fact that at the price Casual Smile is trained by Andrew Balding and he won in 2003 with Casual Look (Casual Smiles dam) and is by the legendary Sea The Stars. The a classic blueblood pedigree. The owner is also the same owner as for Casual Look and therefore I'm guessing that this race has been the target for connections since before Casual Look was covered.
Only a bit of fun to add some interest but we'll see how they do !
** I am using the term "Perfect dosage" to mean the horse matches the ranges of the last 10 winners of the race for B-I-C-S-P.....DI.....CD
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I've done mine this evening.
Guineas Toormore ans Rizena.
Epsom Australia and Ruby Tuesday.
The 50/1 about the last named gave the potential return a big boost.
Guineas Toormore ans Rizena.
Epsom Australia and Ruby Tuesday.
The 50/1 about the last named gave the potential return a big boost.
My 2000, Oaks, Derby treble:
Kingman 7/1; Wonderfully 33/1; Geoffrey Chaucer 16/1.
Kingman 7/1; Wonderfully 33/1; Geoffrey Chaucer 16/1.
War Command (if runs, if not, Kingman), My Titania, Geoffrey Chaucer, My Titania.
I've done a cheeky 1500/1 treble....Kingman Guineas, WickedStrong Kentucky Derby and Sinkal @ Epsom.
Toormore, Miss France, Cambridge and True Story. cheers
Outstrip (25/1), Lucky Kristale (9/1), Folk Melody (50/1), Pinzolo (66/1) all with Sid James.
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