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JOHN SMITH´S TOPHAM CHASE HANDICAP (Grade 3) (CLASS 1) (5yo+)
Runners: 54 Distance: 2m5f110y Going: Good To Soft Channel: CH4
£120,000 guaranteed For 5yo+ Minimum weight 10-0 Penalties after March 24th, a winner of a chase 4lb (No penalty to increase a horse's weight above 11st 12lb) Pacha Du Polder's Handicap Mark 151 Entries 54 pay £ 150 Confirmed 37 pay £ 450
STANDARD CARDAT-A-GLANCE CARDODDS COMPARISONLATEST SHOWS
NO. HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR
1 1-P2P1 Pacha Du Polder34 6 11-12 Paul Nicholls25 151 114 156
2 253255 Tranquil Sea57 11 11-10 E J O´Grady 149 115 148
3 30-530 Planet Of Sound24 11 11-8 Philip Hobbs50 147 113 156
4 7-1FP8 Little Josh42 11 11-8 Nigel Twiston-Davies63 147 126 158
5 P-22P5 Walkon22 8 11-7 Alan King33 146 147 162
6 2-0F04 Chance Du Roy42 9 11-7 Philip Hobbs50 146 156 162
7 1P33- Fistral Beach357 10 11-6 Paul Nicholls25 145 152 159
8 36-146 Lambro36 8 11-4 W P Mullins50 143 131 156
9 091-78 Always Waining27 12 11-4 Peter Bowen100 143 153 159
10 P4076 Hector´s Choice22 9 11-3 Richard Lee75 Denis O'Regan 142 133 165
11 1B-891 Soll27 8 11-0 Jo Hughes Mark Grant 139 134 158
12 2-1127 Dunowen Point41 7 10-13 Donald McCain67 138 147 157
13 4-522P Gansey62 11 10-12 Sue Smith50 137 125 156
14 35143 Last Time D´Albain99 9 10-12 Liam P Cusack 137 129 156
15 343927 Renard21 8 10-12 Venetia Williams70 137 155 160
16 00-859 Giorgio Quercus22 8 10-11 Nicky Henderson50 136 133 140
17 F19273 Romanesco22 8 10-9 Gordon Elliott50 134 138 159
18 1P4432 There´s No Panic27 8 10-9 Paul Nicholls25 134 132 159
19 217P62 Orpheus Valley27 10 10-8 Thomas Gibney 133 141 158
20 351PF1 Bennys Mist14 7 10-7 Venetia Williams70 132 132 166
21 0-2P38 Triolo D´Alene90 6 10-7 Nicky Henderson50 132 142 158
22 12-441 Criqtonic37 6 10-6 Paul Nicholls25 131 147 156
23 154P3P Gus Macrae21 9 10-5 Rebecca Curtis33 130 155 161
24 644743 Tartak22 10 10-5 Tim Vaughan50 130 136 158
25 141127 Swift Arrow61 7 10-5 Donald McCain67 130 154 156
26 U-P1P5 State Benefit56 8 10-4 Nicky Henderson50 129 135 159
27 3141OP Dashing George42 11 10-4 Dr Richard Newland100 129 131 156
28 P6244F Jamsie Hall140 10 10-3 Gordon Elliott50 P Carberry 128 154 160
29 3754P Gonebeyondrecall201 10 10-3 N F Glynn 128 89 146
30 3P9456 Regal D´Estruval20 8 10-2 Dr Richard Newland100 127 144 159
31 44-069 7 Gullible Gordon90 10 10-1 Peter Bowen100 Jamie Moore 126 140 150
32 3F213P 6 Sizing Santiago69 7 10-0 Peter Bowen100 125 114 160
33 30B152 5 Mister First29 7 10-0 Robert Alan Hennessy A E Lynch 125 105 156
34 06541 4 Arctic Ben35 9 10-0 Henry Daly 125 141 160
35 F60323 3 Montoya´s Son57 8 9-9 Tim Vaughan50 120 106 149
36 1U2143 2 Billy Cuckoo8 7 9-8 Tony Coyle60 119 146 153
37 P561P 1 Minella Theatre42 10 8-11 Lawney Hill 108 131 136
Is there any point in looking any further than my favourite horse Always Waining?
Runners: 54 Distance: 2m5f110y Going: Good To Soft Channel: CH4
£120,000 guaranteed For 5yo+ Minimum weight 10-0 Penalties after March 24th, a winner of a chase 4lb (No penalty to increase a horse's weight above 11st 12lb) Pacha Du Polder's Handicap Mark 151 Entries 54 pay £ 150 Confirmed 37 pay £ 450
STANDARD CARDAT-A-GLANCE CARDODDS COMPARISONLATEST SHOWS
NO. HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR
1 1-P2P1 Pacha Du Polder34 6 11-12 Paul Nicholls25 151 114 156
2 253255 Tranquil Sea57 11 11-10 E J O´Grady 149 115 148
3 30-530 Planet Of Sound24 11 11-8 Philip Hobbs50 147 113 156
4 7-1FP8 Little Josh42 11 11-8 Nigel Twiston-Davies63 147 126 158
5 P-22P5 Walkon22 8 11-7 Alan King33 146 147 162
6 2-0F04 Chance Du Roy42 9 11-7 Philip Hobbs50 146 156 162
7 1P33- Fistral Beach357 10 11-6 Paul Nicholls25 145 152 159
8 36-146 Lambro36 8 11-4 W P Mullins50 143 131 156
9 091-78 Always Waining27 12 11-4 Peter Bowen100 143 153 159
10 P4076 Hector´s Choice22 9 11-3 Richard Lee75 Denis O'Regan 142 133 165
11 1B-891 Soll27 8 11-0 Jo Hughes Mark Grant 139 134 158
12 2-1127 Dunowen Point41 7 10-13 Donald McCain67 138 147 157
13 4-522P Gansey62 11 10-12 Sue Smith50 137 125 156
14 35143 Last Time D´Albain99 9 10-12 Liam P Cusack 137 129 156
15 343927 Renard21 8 10-12 Venetia Williams70 137 155 160
16 00-859 Giorgio Quercus22 8 10-11 Nicky Henderson50 136 133 140
17 F19273 Romanesco22 8 10-9 Gordon Elliott50 134 138 159
18 1P4432 There´s No Panic27 8 10-9 Paul Nicholls25 134 132 159
19 217P62 Orpheus Valley27 10 10-8 Thomas Gibney 133 141 158
20 351PF1 Bennys Mist14 7 10-7 Venetia Williams70 132 132 166
21 0-2P38 Triolo D´Alene90 6 10-7 Nicky Henderson50 132 142 158
22 12-441 Criqtonic37 6 10-6 Paul Nicholls25 131 147 156
23 154P3P Gus Macrae21 9 10-5 Rebecca Curtis33 130 155 161
24 644743 Tartak22 10 10-5 Tim Vaughan50 130 136 158
25 141127 Swift Arrow61 7 10-5 Donald McCain67 130 154 156
26 U-P1P5 State Benefit56 8 10-4 Nicky Henderson50 129 135 159
27 3141OP Dashing George42 11 10-4 Dr Richard Newland100 129 131 156
28 P6244F Jamsie Hall140 10 10-3 Gordon Elliott50 P Carberry 128 154 160
29 3754P Gonebeyondrecall201 10 10-3 N F Glynn 128 89 146
30 3P9456 Regal D´Estruval20 8 10-2 Dr Richard Newland100 127 144 159
31 44-069 7 Gullible Gordon90 10 10-1 Peter Bowen100 Jamie Moore 126 140 150
32 3F213P 6 Sizing Santiago69 7 10-0 Peter Bowen100 125 114 160
33 30B152 5 Mister First29 7 10-0 Robert Alan Hennessy A E Lynch 125 105 156
34 06541 4 Arctic Ben35 9 10-0 Henry Daly 125 141 160
35 F60323 3 Montoya´s Son57 8 9-9 Tim Vaughan50 120 106 149
36 1U2143 2 Billy Cuckoo8 7 9-8 Tony Coyle60 119 146 153
37 P561P 1 Minella Theatre42 10 8-11 Lawney Hill 108 131 136
Is there any point in looking any further than my favourite horse Always Waining?
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I'd say looking elsewhere would be a worthwhile exercise friend, as he won't be lining up.
From what I hear, if there is any soft in the going he won't be in the National
Based on my trends analysis, Tartak is coming out clear top rated for this race.
Hector's Choice and Fistral Beach are next best rated.
Hector's Choice and Fistral Beach are next best rated.
The one I can't have at the prices is Little Josh. Got hammered here froma lower mark last year, Yes he won in December but on different ground and only 4 finished.
Tartak is 23lb lower than this time last year! He did get roundlast year despite breaking a blood vessel. Well handicapped if can find some form. I also think Planet of Sound has a chance from his mark. Ran well in national before stanima became an issue and fading badly but at least he got round.
I'm not really sure why but Tartak has somehow ended up on better terms with Walkon and Hectors Choice for finishing in front of them. I think he will be my bet.
I think Tartak has had too many tough races recently for my liking.I did back him at Cheltenham but think that will have taken the stuffing out of him only 2 weeks after his newbury run.He is defo well handicapped though so can understand people likng him.
Chance du roy is the most solid imo.Likes these fences(did fall in December i admit) and is back to a decent mark after last years effort.Run behind Ballynagour looks decent now Golden Chieftain has come out and gagged up at Cheltenham.Everything in his favour for a good run.10/1 doesn't appeal massively but i fully expect a good run.
Little Josh has gone at the game right now.No interest at prices at all.He probably went too deep that day back in December.
Always Waining is going to run in the national unless the ground is soft.Where have i heard that before?The last 2 years.Won't believe its not running until declaration time though think this year it should have a crack at the big one.
Pacha du Polder looks quirky and won't be carrying my money,nor will Fistral Beach who has good course form from last year and has run well from a break before,but i can't believe this ha been the plan all season.
Planet of sound is interesting back in trip after jumping well for the first half of the national.Can see him going well and understand why the money has come.
I fancy a couple of big priced ones here and will return when i've managed to get on.Good luck.
Chance du roy is the most solid imo.Likes these fences(did fall in December i admit) and is back to a decent mark after last years effort.Run behind Ballynagour looks decent now Golden Chieftain has come out and gagged up at Cheltenham.Everything in his favour for a good run.10/1 doesn't appeal massively but i fully expect a good run.
Little Josh has gone at the game right now.No interest at prices at all.He probably went too deep that day back in December.
Always Waining is going to run in the national unless the ground is soft.Where have i heard that before?The last 2 years.Won't believe its not running until declaration time though think this year it should have a crack at the big one.
Pacha du Polder looks quirky and won't be carrying my money,nor will Fistral Beach who has good course form from last year and has run well from a break before,but i can't believe this ha been the plan all season.
Planet of sound is interesting back in trip after jumping well for the first half of the national.Can see him going well and understand why the money has come.
I fancy a couple of big priced ones here and will return when i've managed to get on.Good luck.
Last Time D'albain - looks a solid bet at the prices. Top h'cap form in Ireland. too big on what shown.
Interesting pick! Form behind Lucky William certainly looks decent now and Romanesco ran two good races since too to advertise form of the last race. Looks like they knew he was well handicapped hence sticking to the hurdles.
Penguin..
Suprisingly horses with a lot of runs in a season do well in the topham.
Tartak does look really well handicapped.Agree Proctor D'albain looks like a irish plot horse at a big price
Suprisingly horses with a lot of runs in a season do well in the topham.
Tartak does look really well handicapped.Agree Proctor D'albain looks like a irish plot horse at a big price
Dashing George (EW) and Criqtonic for me. This race has been the plan for both for a while and both likely to run with 11 stone or less. Dashing George has run well over the National fences before, will be prominently ridden and is better than his last 2 races. Nice weight and trip and ground will be fine. Criqtonic's form been franked recently, still improving and could be a class above.
Jasey,respect your stats but will still let Tartak go unbacked.
My big bet is on Gullible Gordon.When trained by Nicholls he always said it needed good ground.Since returning for Bowen it has always run on soft ground.In spite of that he took to fences in Becher chase(also jumped well before unseating at canal turn when with nicholls) and led to 2 out before fading.Dropped to 126,a 10lb lower mark than when winning for nicholls.Stays a bit bit further which i like for this event(run at hectic pace).Sneaks in at bottom of handicap off 10 stone 1.Would have preferred a decent/recent run but at 50/1 you can't have everything.
I also slightly like last time d'albain(looks well handicapped) and Gansey(not well handicapped it appears but jumped with such aplomb in december,slight fear that race with Little Josh empied them both for the season though).
My big bet is on Gullible Gordon.When trained by Nicholls he always said it needed good ground.Since returning for Bowen it has always run on soft ground.In spite of that he took to fences in Becher chase(also jumped well before unseating at canal turn when with nicholls) and led to 2 out before fading.Dropped to 126,a 10lb lower mark than when winning for nicholls.Stays a bit bit further which i like for this event(run at hectic pace).Sneaks in at bottom of handicap off 10 stone 1.Would have preferred a decent/recent run but at 50/1 you can't have everything.
I also slightly like last time d'albain(looks well handicapped) and Gansey(not well handicapped it appears but jumped with such aplomb in december,slight fear that race with Little Josh empied them both for the season though).
Swift Arrow
Planet of Sound
Romanesco
Always Waining
Orpheus Valley
Soll
All OUT
Planet of Sound
Romanesco
Always Waining
Orpheus Valley
Soll
All OUT
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