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Fela Kuti
31 Mar 13 19:14
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Date Joined: 09 Mar 09
| Topic/replies: 1,378 | Blogger: Fela Kuti's blog
JOHN SMITH´S TOPHAM CHASE HANDICAP (Grade 3) (CLASS 1) (5yo+)
Runners: 54 Distance: 2m5f110y Going: Good To Soft  Channel: CH4
£120,000 guaranteed For 5yo+ Minimum weight 10-0 Penalties after March 24th, a winner of a chase 4lb (No penalty to increase a horse's weight above 11st 12lb) Pacha Du Polder's Handicap Mark 151 Entries 54 pay £ 150 Confirmed 37 pay £ 450
STANDARD CARDAT-A-GLANCE CARDODDS COMPARISONLATEST SHOWS
NO.    HORSE    AGE    WGT    TRAINER RTF%    JOCKEY    OR    TS    RPR
1     1-P2P1    Pacha Du Polder34    6    11-12    Paul Nicholls25         151    114    156
2     253255    Tranquil Sea57    11    11-10    E J O´Grady         149    115    148
3     30-530    Planet Of Sound24    11    11-8    Philip Hobbs50         147    113    156
4     7-1FP8    Little Josh42      11    11-8    Nigel Twiston-Davies63         147    126    158
5     P-22P5    Walkon22    8    11-7    Alan King33         146    147    162
6     2-0F04    Chance Du Roy42    9    11-7    Philip Hobbs50         146    156    162
7     1P33-    Fistral Beach357      10    11-6    Paul Nicholls25         145    152    159
8     36-146    Lambro36      8    11-4    W P Mullins50         143    131    156
9     091-78    Always Waining27      12    11-4    Peter Bowen100         143    153    159
10     P4076    Hector´s Choice22      9    11-3    Richard Lee75    Denis O'Regan     142    133    165
11     1B-891    Soll27    8    11-0    Jo Hughes    Mark Grant     139    134    158
12     2-1127    Dunowen Point41      7    10-13    Donald McCain67         138    147    157
13     4-522P    Gansey62      11    10-12    Sue Smith50         137    125    156
14     35143    Last Time D´Albain99    9    10-12    Liam P Cusack         137    129    156
15     343927    Renard21    8    10-12    Venetia Williams70         137    155    160
16     00-859    Giorgio Quercus22      8    10-11    Nicky Henderson50         136    133    140
17     F19273    Romanesco22      8    10-9    Gordon Elliott50         134    138    159
18     1P4432    There´s No Panic27      8    10-9    Paul Nicholls25         134    132    159
19     217P62    Orpheus Valley27      10    10-8    Thomas Gibney         133    141    158
20     351PF1    Bennys Mist14    7    10-7    Venetia Williams70         132    132    166
21     0-2P38    Triolo D´Alene90    6    10-7    Nicky Henderson50         132    142    158
22     12-441    Criqtonic37      6    10-6    Paul Nicholls25         131    147    156
23     154P3P    Gus Macrae21    9    10-5    Rebecca Curtis33         130    155    161
24     644743    Tartak22      10    10-5    Tim Vaughan50         130    136    158
25     141127    Swift Arrow61    7    10-5    Donald McCain67         130    154    156
26     U-P1P5    State Benefit56      8    10-4    Nicky Henderson50         129    135    159
27     3141OP    Dashing George42      11    10-4    Dr Richard Newland100         129    131    156
28     P6244F    Jamsie Hall140      10    10-3    Gordon Elliott50    P Carberry     128    154    160
29     3754P    Gonebeyondrecall201      10    10-3    N F Glynn         128    89    146
30     3P9456    Regal D´Estruval20    8    10-2    Dr Richard Newland100         127    144    159
31     44-069    7 Gullible Gordon90    10    10-1    Peter Bowen100    Jamie Moore     126    140    150
32     3F213P    6 Sizing Santiago69      7    10-0    Peter Bowen100         125    114    160
33     30B152    5 Mister First29    7    10-0    Robert Alan Hennessy    A E Lynch     125    105    156
34     06541    4 Arctic Ben35    9    10-0    Henry Daly         125    141    160
35     F60323    3 Montoya´s Son57    8    9-9    Tim Vaughan50         120    106    149
36     1U2143    2 Billy Cuckoo8    7    9-8    Tony Coyle60         119    146    153
37     P561P    1 Minella Theatre42      10    8-11    Lawney Hill         108    131    136


Is there any point in looking any further than my favourite horse Always Waining?

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Replies: 15
By:
fivebagken
When: 31 Mar 13 19:41
I'd say looking elsewhere would be a worthwhile exercise friend, as he won't be lining up.
By:
Fela Kuti
When: 31 Mar 13 20:03
From what I hear, if there is any soft in the going he won't be in the National
By:
JOCI Club
When: 31 Mar 13 20:12
Based on my trends analysis, Tartak is coming out clear top rated for this race.

Hector's Choice and Fistral Beach are next best rated.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 02 Apr 13 12:56
The one I can't have at the prices is Little Josh. Got hammered here froma lower mark last year, Yes he won in December but on different ground and only 4 finished.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 02 Apr 13 13:10
Tartak is 23lb lower than this time last year! He did get roundlast year despite breaking a blood vessel. Well handicapped if can find some form. I also think Planet of Sound has a chance from his mark. Ran well in national before stanima became an issue and fading badly but at least he got round.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 02 Apr 13 13:17
I'm not really sure why but Tartak has somehow ended up on better terms with Walkon and Hectors Choice for finishing in front of them. I think he will be my bet.
By:
Bob Kelso
When: 02 Apr 13 15:11
Planet of Sound
Tartak
Jamsie Hall
Gullible Gordon
By:
Penguin Keeper
When: 02 Apr 13 20:26
I think Tartak has had too many tough races recently for my liking.I did back him at Cheltenham but think that will have taken the stuffing out of him only 2 weeks after his newbury run.He is defo well handicapped though so can understand people likng him.
Chance du roy is the most solid imo.Likes these fences(did fall in December i admit) and is back to a decent mark after last years effort.Run behind Ballynagour looks decent now Golden Chieftain has come out and gagged up at Cheltenham.Everything in his favour for a good run.10/1 doesn't appeal massively but i fully expect a good run.
Little Josh has gone at the game right now.No interest at prices at all.He probably went too deep that day back in December.
Always Waining is going to run in the national unless the ground is soft.Where have i heard that before?The last 2 years.Won't believe its not running until declaration time though think this year it should have a crack at the big one.
Pacha du Polder looks quirky and won't be carrying my money,nor will Fistral Beach who has good course form from last year and has run well from a break before,but i can't believe this ha been the plan all season.
Planet of sound is interesting back in trip after jumping well for the first half of the national.Can see him going well and understand why the money has come.
I fancy a couple of big priced ones here and will return when i've managed to get on.Good luck.
By:
proctor strikes
When: 02 Apr 13 21:03
Last Time D'albain - looks a solid bet at the prices. Top h'cap form in Ireland. too big on what shown.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 02 Apr 13 21:24
Interesting pick! Form behind Lucky William certainly looks decent now and Romanesco ran two good races since too to advertise form of the last race. Looks like they knew he was well handicapped hence sticking to the hurdles.
By:
jasey
When: 03 Apr 13 01:59
Penguin..
Suprisingly horses with a lot of runs in a season do well in the topham.
Tartak does look really well handicapped.Agree Proctor D'albain looks like a irish plot horse at a big price
By:
corporal
When: 03 Apr 13 06:24
Dashing George (EW) and Criqtonic for me. This race has been the plan for both for a while and both likely to run with 11 stone or less. Dashing George has run well over the National fences before, will be prominently ridden and is better than his last 2 races. Nice weight and trip and ground will be fine. Criqtonic's form been franked recently, still improving and could be a class above.
By:
Penguin Keeper
When: 03 Apr 13 13:59
Jasey,respect your stats but will still let Tartak go unbacked.
My big bet is on Gullible Gordon.When trained by Nicholls he always said it needed good ground.Since returning for Bowen it has always run on soft ground.In spite of that he took to fences in Becher chase(also jumped well before unseating at canal turn when with nicholls) and led to 2 out before fading.Dropped to 126,a 10lb lower mark than when winning for nicholls.Stays a bit bit further which i like for this event(run at hectic pace).Sneaks in at bottom of handicap off 10 stone 1.Would have preferred a decent/recent run but at 50/1 you can't have everything.

I also slightly like last time d'albain(looks well handicapped) and Gansey(not well handicapped it appears but jumped with such aplomb in december,slight fear that race with Little Josh empied them both for the season though).
By:
BJG
When: 04 Apr 13 09:45
Swift Arrow
Planet of Sound   
Romanesco   
Always Waining
Orpheus Valley   
Soll   


All OUT
By:
kelami
When: 04 Apr 13 11:50
Bugg@r! No Planet Of Sound! Thats my 33/1 ante post voucher gone up in smoke!! Cry
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