Horse Antepost
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CAPTAIN DUNNE
Deserved winner of this last year off same mark and easy to see a bold show for a repeat bid this time around. Was in better form last term but rattling ground will see him in better light. Tougher race this time but cannot rule out.
CONFESSIONAL
Very close second in this last year from 8lbs lower. Improved since though and latest fifth to Bated Breath was smart (5f Firm). Officially 5lbs well in today as a result but stiff task to get better of Captain Dunne and wide draw.
DESERT LAW
Gelded over Winter and sent off favourite for 6f h'cap at Doncaster on debut where didn't settle. Edge taken off him now, very speedily bred and entries at Royal Ascot suggest better likely today. Draw has helped and definite chances.
VOCATIONAL
Didn't finish too far behind the winner at York recently in big field sprint (5f G/F) but price today probably reflects chances accurately in this. Draw not ideal and likely to find others too good.
BEAR BEHIND
Always tough for a 3yo to win this but has to be respected on his efforts so far this term. He's very quick from the gates and he's bagged the plum draw today. Will have more gunning for him than last twice but remains on upgrade.
YORK GLORY
Very smart last term but ran so bad on seasonal debut it was untrue. Blinkers back on today need to spark revive but very wide draw has not helped matters. Spencer one from one on him and deserves another chance, but tricky today.
DICKIE’S LAD
Interesting sort who should be happier back on this kind of ground. Lightly raced and booking of Queally a plus. Would be shorter in the betting but for the wide draw he's got and lots of speed merchants to try and overcome.
FITZ FLYER
Another who should be more at home on the rattling ground but will need to find a tremendous turn around in form to get the better of a number of these. Has the services of Fallon, but likely to struggle in test of this nature.
STONE OF FOLCA
Once a smart 2yo but has been on the downgrade since those days. Huge ask to land this on seasonal debut considering the tailed off form, he's against race fit rivals and he's out in stall two.
OOR JOCK
Hasn't shown anywhere near the kind of form needed for this kind of event and tough to make any sort of case for. Handed the coffin box in stall one and others make plenty more appeal.
TAAJUB
Another who was a smart 2yo and he's just finding his feet again once more. Had a successful trial for this over CD in April when going close in second, albeit in softer conditions. Tough to get across lots more rivals from the gate today.
JUDGE ‘N’ JURY
In sparkling form at present and never saw another rival when leading all the way at York latest to land 5f prize. Fourth in this in 2010 from 8lbs lower, draw fine, leading chance.
SOHRAAB
Has performed with credit both times he's raced here and managed to get fourth in this last term from widest stall of all, so chances today from 19. However, higher in weights here.
LIVING IT LARGE
Decent record at the track and brings some quick ground form to the table. Two runs this season should have him right for this but all wins have come in two grades below and a lot on plate today.
CATFISH
Won at Goodwood and fine second at York on seasonal debut shows she handles the speed tracks and encouraging to see same jockey booked. Lightly raced, 2lbs well in and handy draw all point towards a bold show.
ARCTIC FEELING
In this last year from 15lbs higher and was down the field, so appeals somewhat in that sense coupled with recently getting his head back in front and Hanagan back on board. Another who will need to improve though to get better of fancy rivals.
LONG AWAITED
Looked extremely smart when landing Doncaster event (5f Heavy) back in April for new yard. Easy to see plenty of progress from him this term. Stern test here but player if up to it.
DIAMOND CHARLIE
A CD winner last term but is another who needs much, much more today if he's to take any part in the finish. Wide draw isn't great and rivals in far better form.
JAMESWAY
Much better draw this year than last here and has dropped 3lbs since then too. Pipe opener here in April will gives his fitness a boost and he's another to throw into the mix of possibles.
COURAGEOUS
Fine gelding who is dropping to an appealing mark these days and likely to pop up this season at some stage. Tricky to see this being his day though and others appeal more.
This is one of my favourite sprint handicaps of the year. This time around it’s almost too impossible to try and work out some value that it seems pointless having a bet. However, that was never likely to happen, so here goes. The likes of Captain Dunne, Judge ‘n’ Jury and the smart looking Long Awaited are all very much respected. It’s likely to be a very quick time set with both Judge ‘n’ Jury and Bare Behind holding high draws, as both love to bolt from the gate and try and stay in front. In the hope those two burn each other out and a closer comes through to nab it, the two that marginally appeal over the others are DESERT LAW and Catfish, with slight preference for the first named at the prices. They both fit snugly between the two likely speedballs in their stall positions and can track the pace before pouncing late. Desert Law could never settle at Doncaster after coming back from the Winter gelded, but he’s clearly thought a lot of due to entries in the King’s Stand and Wokingham. Andrew Balding has a smart 22% strike rate at Epsom over the past five seasons and Jimmy Fortune has started the season in fine form. While Catfish is on the upgrade after taking a Goodwood handicap in impressive fashion last backend, considering how the race unfolded. Her comeback at York last week was equally as impressive and it’s hard to ignore her chances. There’ll likely be plenty of hard luck stories and a blanket finish here.
Desert Law 1.5pts ew @ 16/1
Catfish 1pt win @ 9/1
Deserved winner of this last year off same mark and easy to see a bold show for a repeat bid this time around. Was in better form last term but rattling ground will see him in better light. Tougher race this time but cannot rule out.
CONFESSIONAL
Very close second in this last year from 8lbs lower. Improved since though and latest fifth to Bated Breath was smart (5f Firm). Officially 5lbs well in today as a result but stiff task to get better of Captain Dunne and wide draw.
DESERT LAW
Gelded over Winter and sent off favourite for 6f h'cap at Doncaster on debut where didn't settle. Edge taken off him now, very speedily bred and entries at Royal Ascot suggest better likely today. Draw has helped and definite chances.
VOCATIONAL
Didn't finish too far behind the winner at York recently in big field sprint (5f G/F) but price today probably reflects chances accurately in this. Draw not ideal and likely to find others too good.
BEAR BEHIND
Always tough for a 3yo to win this but has to be respected on his efforts so far this term. He's very quick from the gates and he's bagged the plum draw today. Will have more gunning for him than last twice but remains on upgrade.
YORK GLORY
Very smart last term but ran so bad on seasonal debut it was untrue. Blinkers back on today need to spark revive but very wide draw has not helped matters. Spencer one from one on him and deserves another chance, but tricky today.
DICKIE’S LAD
Interesting sort who should be happier back on this kind of ground. Lightly raced and booking of Queally a plus. Would be shorter in the betting but for the wide draw he's got and lots of speed merchants to try and overcome.
FITZ FLYER
Another who should be more at home on the rattling ground but will need to find a tremendous turn around in form to get the better of a number of these. Has the services of Fallon, but likely to struggle in test of this nature.
STONE OF FOLCA
Once a smart 2yo but has been on the downgrade since those days. Huge ask to land this on seasonal debut considering the tailed off form, he's against race fit rivals and he's out in stall two.
OOR JOCK
Hasn't shown anywhere near the kind of form needed for this kind of event and tough to make any sort of case for. Handed the coffin box in stall one and others make plenty more appeal.
TAAJUB
Another who was a smart 2yo and he's just finding his feet again once more. Had a successful trial for this over CD in April when going close in second, albeit in softer conditions. Tough to get across lots more rivals from the gate today.
JUDGE ‘N’ JURY
In sparkling form at present and never saw another rival when leading all the way at York latest to land 5f prize. Fourth in this in 2010 from 8lbs lower, draw fine, leading chance.
SOHRAAB
Has performed with credit both times he's raced here and managed to get fourth in this last term from widest stall of all, so chances today from 19. However, higher in weights here.
LIVING IT LARGE
Decent record at the track and brings some quick ground form to the table. Two runs this season should have him right for this but all wins have come in two grades below and a lot on plate today.
CATFISH
Won at Goodwood and fine second at York on seasonal debut shows she handles the speed tracks and encouraging to see same jockey booked. Lightly raced, 2lbs well in and handy draw all point towards a bold show.
ARCTIC FEELING
In this last year from 15lbs higher and was down the field, so appeals somewhat in that sense coupled with recently getting his head back in front and Hanagan back on board. Another who will need to improve though to get better of fancy rivals.
LONG AWAITED
Looked extremely smart when landing Doncaster event (5f Heavy) back in April for new yard. Easy to see plenty of progress from him this term. Stern test here but player if up to it.
DIAMOND CHARLIE
A CD winner last term but is another who needs much, much more today if he's to take any part in the finish. Wide draw isn't great and rivals in far better form.
JAMESWAY
Much better draw this year than last here and has dropped 3lbs since then too. Pipe opener here in April will gives his fitness a boost and he's another to throw into the mix of possibles.
COURAGEOUS
Fine gelding who is dropping to an appealing mark these days and likely to pop up this season at some stage. Tricky to see this being his day though and others appeal more.
This is one of my favourite sprint handicaps of the year. This time around it’s almost too impossible to try and work out some value that it seems pointless having a bet. However, that was never likely to happen, so here goes. The likes of Captain Dunne, Judge ‘n’ Jury and the smart looking Long Awaited are all very much respected. It’s likely to be a very quick time set with both Judge ‘n’ Jury and Bare Behind holding high draws, as both love to bolt from the gate and try and stay in front. In the hope those two burn each other out and a closer comes through to nab it, the two that marginally appeal over the others are DESERT LAW and Catfish, with slight preference for the first named at the prices. They both fit snugly between the two likely speedballs in their stall positions and can track the pace before pouncing late. Desert Law could never settle at Doncaster after coming back from the Winter gelded, but he’s clearly thought a lot of due to entries in the King’s Stand and Wokingham. Andrew Balding has a smart 22% strike rate at Epsom over the past five seasons and Jimmy Fortune has started the season in fine form. While Catfish is on the upgrade after taking a Goodwood handicap in impressive fashion last backend, considering how the race unfolded. Her comeback at York last week was equally as impressive and it’s hard to ignore her chances. There’ll likely be plenty of hard luck stories and a blanket finish here.
Desert Law 1.5pts ew @ 16/1
Catfish 1pt win @ 9/1
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Replies: 17
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Great work again VK
 a few people i know like that Desert law,good luck |
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I think that one of the Fahey pair will collar Bear Behind with about 50 yards to run
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The prices for the contest give you an indication of how tight it is.
It should be lightning quick and will get the heart racing. |
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VK
You read my mind. Desert Law WIn & E/W 25/1 (AP) Catfish E/W 8/1 (5 places) |
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Also like Desert Law ew but if he does break smartly, just don't think anything will get to Bear Behind over this 5F
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I fancy Jamesway but confidence lessened by Hanagan on Arctic Feeling. Thoughts?
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cant see past easterby 2
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I definitely think Jamesway is in the mix here, I too wasn't sure why Hanagan wasn't on board though.
It's such a tight contest this year and it's more or less guarenteed to be a very close finish. |
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great write up as ever, good luck
judge n jury for me now that he looks well over his problems, i still think he is underestimated by a few pounds regarding his official mark, plus old age and experience usually a bonus in this race! |
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Catfish 121, york glory, courgeous 119, dickies lad 118, long awaited, bear behind, judge n jury 117, confessional, desert law, captain dunne 116, fitzy flyer 115, Vocational, Jamesaway, Sohraab 114,Ooor Jack 110, Taajab, Stone of Folca 108, Arctic Feeling 107, Diamond Charlie 101.
This is a tricky tricky tricky handicap. Trends - need 6/7 trends to win this, The 6yo+ trend shouldnt be used as majority of field is 4yo this year, so rather then 7/8 I make it 6/7. Quailifiers - Catfish, Judge N Jury, Confessional, Desert Law, Voctaionaal, Sohraab and Arctic Feeling. Catfish could well win this but I have a concern that she lets herself down to much when turned out quickly, 0-4 when turned out within 2 weeks of her last run and for a Fillie I often find that very concerning. Judge N Jury for me @ 10-1 Best of luck |
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Catfish unlucky with saddle slipping but when your beaten by a horse who has shown nothing for over 12 months u just have no chance of winning, Unlucky Value King
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hard lines value king and terry venables
2nd and 3rd, done by a 50/1 shot  |
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It was hard lines for the win, but the EW money will be fine @ 16/1 for Desert Law.
Could never see Stone Of Folca landing this really and I was confident when I saw how Desert Law was travelling, but SOF got the first run and it was always a task to claw him back on the downhill track. Excellent race as always though and I'm happy with the 16/1 EW  |
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VK
At the start of the week I picked 2 horses out originally - Desert Law & yes you've guessed it Stone Of Folca. Put him up on betsmarttrading.com. Did I back him. You know the answer   |
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Great write up VK.
Really enjoy reading your previews. Terry  . Couldn't have had the winner with stolen. |
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TV I'm gutted for you! What a price to miss out on! Obviously the gelding op had the desired effect on SOF. The fact he'd been on a downward curve and, more importantly, the stall two, were putting me off.
Thanks for the positive feedback Monte Christo, always appreciated. |
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Thank you VK - I backed in HK on the HKJC pool. Catfish paid 6-4 place and DL paid 6.2-1 to place, I also quinella placed and that paid 40-1 so all good, always a good read.........As a note - should have bankered them with the field in a tierce combo as that paid 63,500-1 and I did them with Jamesway and Taajub
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