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fabracetrends
26 Apr 12 20:38
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Date Joined: 13 Apr 12
| Topic/replies: 18 | Blogger: fabracetrends's blog
The Prix Ganay is the first Group 1 race of the Flat Season to be run in Europe. It is run over 2100 metres ( about 1 mile 2 ½ furlongs ) at Longchamp . It is scheduled to take place on Sunday 29th April. The Ganay is open to 4 year olds and older.
10 Year Trends
Last Time Out – 10/10 winners finished in the first 3 on their last run
Class – 9/10 had won a Group Race . 4 won a Group 1 , 3 won a Group 2 and 2 won a Group 3
Distance – 9/10 had won a race between 10f – 12f
Starting Price – 9/10 had a starting price of 11/2 or under
Favourites – Favs have won 5 times in the last 10 years.
Last Run – 6/10 ran in the Prix d’Harcourt finishing 2nd 2nd 2nd 3rd 1st 1st
2/10 had their last run in the previous season’s “Arc” finishing 2nd and 1st.
Trainers – O’Brien and Lellouche have both won the race twice in the last 10 years

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Replies: 22
By:
mightymoyes
When: 26 Apr 12 21:46
entries?
By:
TheFormMan
When: 26 Apr 12 22:02
Giants Causeway
Hawk Wing
Rock Of Gibralter
Dubawi
Rakti
Russian Rhythm
Banks Hill
Goldikova
Six Perfections
Falbrav
By:
penzance
When: 26 Apr 12 23:17
Cirrus Des Aiglis
So You Think
Wigmore Hall
Dunaden
Windsor Palace
Robin Hood
Reliable Man
Saga Dream
Pagera
Giofra.
By:
vinnie_roe
When: 26 Apr 12 23:40
What a cracking lineup. Five group 1 winners and a group 2 winner.
By:
BJG
When: 27 Apr 12 10:10
SYT not declared, 6 run
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 28 Apr 12 08:57
Anyone know the confirmed runners?
By:
A_T
When: 28 Apr 12 09:46
Cirrus Des Aiglis
Wigmore Hall
Reliable Man
Saga Dream
Pagera
Giofra
By:
sintonian
When: 28 Apr 12 17:41
What is the ground? I would think Reliable Man on anyhing worse than Soft could be the play here ..
By:
TheFormMan
When: 28 Apr 12 18:52
Cirrus wins in a canter and the ground is heavy sint
By:
sintonian
When: 28 Apr 12 18:57
You not worried about him coming back from Dubai? Sometimes they need to acclimatise again.

Whats the betting anyway, not see nowt yet..
By:
tomdeane
When: 28 Apr 12 20:01
TheFormMan - having put together such an awesome field of former greats, can you price that race up or at least tell me who your winner is?

On better ground I'd be all over Falbrav - about the last Flat horse I used to get truly excited to watch. He had one hell of a burst when asked for maximum effort.
By:
TheFormMan
When: 28 Apr 12 21:18
Cirrus Des Aigles 4/5             

Giofra  4/1   
               
Reliable Man  5/1     
               
Wigmore Hall  16/1     
             
Saga Dream  33/1       
             
Pagera  50/1

Nah,that would not worry me sint,did the same thing last year,came back from running twice in asia to run in this race last year and ran a cracker finishing 3rd to Planteur and Sarafina.

Tomorrow is his perfect trip,perfect ground and its a pretty weak race compared to the last few years,i thought he would be 1/2 so im all in at 4/5

could not possibly price it up tom,i would be at it for hours tring to decide,besides a lot of them were milers and and this race is 10f so to many ifs buts and maybes regarding the trip and ground,so i will just make it easy and put another selection in the race and award victory to my beloved DYLAN THOMASLoveLoveExcited

and you can add MADURO to the field also,so gutted injury robbed us of the rest of this superstars careerCry
By:
TheFormMan
When: 28 Apr 12 21:25
Loved Falbrav as well,winner of 8 group 1's including at a mile 10f and 12f,what a great of the game,they dont make like him anymore
By:
Figgis
When: 28 Apr 12 21:34
At the prices it has to be Giofra for me. I was very impressed with her last win, where she clocked a fast time. Cirres Des Aigles is obviously the one to beat, but I reckon he will have to run quite close to his best to concede her the fillies allowance. At the age of 6 he isn't going to be improving, he may struggle to remain quite so consistent and the Dubai race could quite easily have taken the edge off him.
By:
sintonian
When: 29 Apr 12 11:20
Plenty of juice in the prices to dutch Giofra and Reliable Man against the favourite but I dont really want to do that Laugh

Reliable Man has been backed a bit,fwiw.

Just watching this one. Gl.
By:
The Headmaster
When: 29 Apr 12 12:27
I'm the proud owner of badge No.1 of the Cirrus fan club. But it's Reliable Man for me today. Unraced at 2 and we still don't know how good he is given his correct underfoot conditions. Should have plenty more to offer.

TFM, how have you worked out that this is Cirrus' perfect trip?  Not sure I can go along with that.
By:
jair1970
When: 29 Apr 12 12:31
It's easy to think Cirrus Des Aigles is a world beater and his best form is superb but he was beaten here last year and as the wiser contributors have pointed out both Giofra and Reliable Man have a fair bit going for them, certainly as horses that could well be consistently challenging alongside Cirrus Des Aigles at the top table this year.

This is rarely a weak race and there's usually a a few good ones that line up; personally i'll give Giofra the preference as she's completely unexposed and can continue her improvement.
By:
sintonian
When: 29 Apr 12 14:49
Impressive from CDA. Looked omminous from the start once Peslier got to the front and dictated. Just kicked clear and lengthened in the straight and stretched the margin more. The horse in fine fettle at this moment but it wont last, he'll come off the boil at some stage.

It looked like Reliable Man might get second but the filly battled back and beat him a length. A good effort from her.
By:
Figgis
When: 29 Apr 12 15:03
Well done TFM, Cirrus Des Aigles far too good for them, particularly in those conditions.
By:
Yank
When: 29 Apr 12 15:03
Cant see that form of race amounts to much. Cirrus' wins mostly testimony to weak opposition he has faced over past 12 months imo.
By:
tinkler
When: 29 Apr 12 19:16
The opposition looked to offer  little to me. The winner appears to revel in these conditions and if
Frankel is upped to 1 1/4m and runs against this horse on soft ground he could cause Frankel problems.
On fast ground Cirrus is still very good but beatable at Group 1 level and doubt he'd trouble Frankel
on fast ground.
By:
The Headmaster
When: 29 Apr 12 20:02
I'm off for a cold shower.  Filthy stuff picking RM over the guv'nor today and I got what I deserved.

Allez Le Cirrus.
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