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tobermory
02 Oct 11 00:42
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Date Joined: 01 Mar 08
| Topic/replies: 63,796 | Blogger: tobermory's blog
3:15 Longchamp Rating Price
So You Think 128 4.95
Workforce 126 7.5
Sarafina 125 9
Galikova  123.5 12
Snow Fairy 123 14
Treasure Beach 123 14
Hiruno D'Amour 122.5 15
Reliable Man 122.5 15 ]
St Nicholas Abbey 121.5 19 ]
Meandre 119.5 30 ]
Nakayama Festa 119.5 30 ]
Masked Marvel 119 34 ]
Silver Pond 116 69 ]
Testerostone 115.5 78 ]
Danedream 114.5 97 ]
Shareta 113 134 ]



Actual Odds Horse Opinion
5.7 Sarafina Form not obviously superior to a few of these, seems a bit short
5.9 So You Think Best Form in 2011, terrific cruising speed and tough as well.Wouldn't put anyone off.
8.8 Galikova Impressive running in French 3YO Fillies races , form that is often overated 
10.5  Workforce Best Form overall (2010), a decent chance on his lesser efforts this year, but aimed at this so maybe back to his best
12.5 Reliable Man Decent Chance ,reflected in the price
13.5 Hiruno D'Amour as above
15.5 Meandre Best Run Grand Prix De Paris, so much better than every other run, makes me doubt it will be repeated 
17 Masked Marvel A short price considering how many better St Leger winners have failed here ]
17.5 Snow Fairy Seems to be reaching peak form and slightly overpriced  ]
27 Danedream Last 4 runs: 3 easy wins in German Group Races and a 5th in France, shows how poor German Racing is IMO ]
34 Treasure Beach Great Value; priced on his Paris run when all his other form is far superior ]
36 St Nicholas Abbey Another good one.Been close enough to the market leaders to justify being half the odds he is ]
44 Nakayama Festa Last year's 2nd way better than anything else he's done and likely to be a one off  ]
160 Testerostone Seems a bit overpriced and could find more improvement, will need plenty obviously ]
180 Shareta 100/1 shot on form and may be a pacemaker ]
400 Silver Pond Latest form poor but won a decent Group 2 not long ago and worth a few pennies at 400+ ]

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Replies: 8
By:
stevo1
When: 02 Oct 11 00:46
Wouldnt want to be laying Sarafina at 9s tbh?
By:
mythical prince
When: 02 Oct 11 00:54
sarafina 9

LaughLaughLaugh
By:
tobermory
When: 02 Oct 11 00:56
I won't be laying her or anything though here , just back a few

Workforce
Treasure Beach
St Nicholas Abbey
Testerostone
Silver Pond [;)]

Looking back at it i ought to have something on Nakayama Festa too, but thats enough to be going on with, maybe i put the rating too high Confused
By:
top2rated
When: 02 Oct 11 10:43
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Shocked
By:
mythical prince
When: 02 Oct 11 15:21
danedream 97 Shocked
By:
Trusty
When: 02 Oct 11 15:27
lowest 2 rated 1st and 2nd!
By:
comingupthehill
When: 02 Oct 11 15:29
and never run on g/f just to seal the deal
By:
tobermory
When: 02 Oct 11 21:50
yeah hell of a tricast at my odds
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