Horse Antepost
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08 Sep 11
14:48
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Date Joined:
20 Sep 06
some promising two year olds in action tomorrow at donny-
not least this fallen for you which looks like she's going to go
off a short price for the may hill despite only having had one run.
showed a huge turn of foot to come from last to first in her maiden win and for
me she just oozes class and potential. I know noseda is very keen on regal realm,
but I just wonder how good that goodwood race was last time, they all seemed to finish in a heap.
I think fallen for you will outclass regal realm and post her first group two victory.
the other interesting runner for me is Ektihaam. he's a long striding galloping horse that will surely
be suited by further in time, but I still feel he'll be too classy for these. with his long stride he reminds
me very much of nayef.
not least this fallen for you which looks like she's going to go
off a short price for the may hill despite only having had one run.
showed a huge turn of foot to come from last to first in her maiden win and for
me she just oozes class and potential. I know noseda is very keen on regal realm,
but I just wonder how good that goodwood race was last time, they all seemed to finish in a heap.
I think fallen for you will outclass regal realm and post her first group two victory.
the other interesting runner for me is Ektihaam. he's a long striding galloping horse that will surely
be suited by further in time, but I still feel he'll be too classy for these. with his long stride he reminds
me very much of nayef.
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Regal Realm was locked in a pocket waiting for a run and is probably better than the winning margin.
I recall Seta going off a short priced favourite for this race after an impressive maiden win at HQ so at the prices (presuming she is a short fav) i'd not want to be with Fallen With You at all tbh, purely from a punting persepctive. |
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hmmm good point there about seta. regal realm's turn of foot was impressive and the trainer think's a lot of her. obectively, on form she should be favourite, I suppose.
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Spoke to Buick yesterday, he said this was his best chance of a winner.
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at the prices simitar is the one for me. standout on form, stamina doubts have pushed the price out too far imo.
can see the fav drifting and this one staring shorter around 5/1 |
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I've previewed the May Hill on the 1000 Guineas thread. John Gosden has a line to Regal Realm (through Questing) and Switcher (through Elusive Kate). So Fallen For You, who is probably classier than either of her stablemates, should take all the beating, but I can't have at short odds. There's not a lot to choose between Regal Realm, Samitar and Switcher on form, so for me the obvious each-way bet is Switcher at around 16/1. She was finishing strongly last time over 7f at Deauville and is overpriced because of the trainer/jockey combination.
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will Switcher line up james?i notice according to weather updates that only a 'light' shower at around 6am
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You can get 7/4 about Fallen For You which is a good deal better than the 4/7 SP of Seta two years ago. Up against horses with proven group form i'd still rather be a watcher.
Hoping Samitar progresses again from her last run. |
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There were two reasons why Seta was such a short price two years ago - 1) she won her maiden at HQ by 8 lengths, and 2) the field had very little strength in depth, the best form on offer being Virginia Hall's second in the Gr.3 Prix du Calvados, nothing else had been so much as placed in a Listed race. Today's race has more strength in depth, with two Group 3 winners and one Group 3-placed (all rated 100+).
sj, if the ground dries up to 'good to firm', then I guess Switcher may be withdrawn, but good ground should be fine. I can't believe she's such a big price. |
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Lyric of Light. Could do no more than win 1st time out & Frankie up today Proverbial 'feeling in the water'.
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if the gosden horse gets beat, lump everything on ektihaam
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incidentally tomorrow there's some very interesting two year old battles as well. not least in the national stakes with this dragon pulse in the national stakes. can't think of any reason why he's not outright favourite, as i'm not totally convinced power will improve for a step up in trip, which everyone seems to assume.
also in the champagne stakes I don't like this entifaadha much. thought his acomb stakes win was laboured, don't think that was a great renewal and he looks vulnerable to me. perhaps this daddy long legs by process of elimination, as the rest seem so ordinary. |
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backed burwaas in the first, hills could get a horse beaten in a walk-over
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wd solving
had a big lay up on fallen for you at 1.16 matches at 1.21 not my day |
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Very promising runs from the 1st & 2nd.
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Samitar stepped forwards also from her last run.
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at least ekthihaam posted another very smart display. this horse oozes potential and would certainly be my pick for the 2000 guineas at this stage.
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