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Good luck VK[;)] you ok ?
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Hoof it didn't look 100% pre ascot run. If he reproduces his York performance on whats likely to be
a lot slower ground he'll be difficult to beat. The questions are will he reproduce? and is 5/1 value? I'm inclined to think he is a bit of value and that he has a class edge on his rivals. |
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I am indeed TT. Are you?
I've had a little break away from doing these for a month or so but it's good to be back sifting through the form and with this race and the couple coming up at Goodwood next week it was too hard to resist. I'm looking forward to the "Duel on the Downs" as it's being billed and of course the Steward's Cup. Epic stuff. |
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entitled @ 9s e/w here...gets a fair chunk of wt from the fav...and will be flying at the end....
if i can get 25s or bigger star rover will be my other bet..hopefully he will hang on to at least a place. |
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good to see your posts back.
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Tinkler
I'm on Hoof It for Stewards Cup. Hope he runs ! |
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Yeah fine here thanks[;)] well done again,great write up apu.
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Good to see you back VK and best of luck.
Here's my pick from the blog. Two to catch the eye for tomorrow and the first looks a huge price in the shape of R Woody in the dash at York at 25/1 with the sponsors. R Woody is 2/3 over the trip on g/s and soft and was a fair 7th on his last run of the year at listed level. When on song he looked very good in his wins last year and improved rapidly since joining his new stable. He infamously won his maiden at Southwell at 100/1 where connections forgot to mention he had been gelded since his last run ! What I found in his races last year was that he had a pattern of running one really good race followed by a poor run and then bouncing back and running another really good race. That pattern produced form figures of 1211. He looks to be doing the same again this year with a opening 0 followed by a solid 3rd at Windsor at this level followed by a 9th most recently although that wasn't to bad. Following the pattern he should run a big race tomorrow. Intrestingly he is entered in the Stewards Cup next week where he is 2/2 at the C/D and a penalty here would help him get in the field. He looks well capable of winning a class 2 race , has won in a 17 runner field and has plenty of scope for more improvement. Hayley Turner takes the ride and feel this has a really strong chance at a huge e/w price. 1 point e/w at 25/1 |
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Final decision for me is Irish Heartbeat. A massive 12lb better of for a 4L beating by Hoof It earlier this year and to me this looks like a plan. Currently 16/1 on here and 14/1 on the books. 2pt E/W.
(put the Saturday mugs away with 0000......keep Mac happy by saying "this can't win it has drifted badly..and then Tommo says we should have known "it's Hannagan the Managain"....and everybody is happy. ) |
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Good write up VK. Hoof It has obvious claims but my 3 against the field are Midnight Martini, Irish Heartbeat and Racy.
Good luck. |
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Ground officially GOOD this morning, anyone any thoughts on last night'stimes? I think if the ground were truly good I'd quite fancy swilly ferry to come back to form.
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Im on TM, cue Captain Bertie plunge
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VK is much better at these kind of races than me but Hoof It looks badly in at the weights on my figures. Laying for 4 places isn't usually my idea of a bet but I'll have to place lay him at the price.
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agree Figgis, play lay for me also. Do we really think a favourite of a bookies sponsored handicap trained by MW and ridden by KF is going in today.......I think not imvho.
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no bet for me in this but would go with Trevs pick Entitled. Just put off by the fact she keeps being slowly away ..
agree with the layers of Hoof It .. reached his ceiling imo. |
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Corporal Maddox for me too, 16-1 with ldbks, looks okay, Entitled the danger.
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got the 25s star rover...so e/w on that
and a small e/w midnight martini 20s who looks overpriced on a line through the fav. |
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Ginger Ted.
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1)favourite girl
2)hoof it 3)irish heartbeat |
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Much better than I'd given him credit for, very impressive, well done VK and other backers.
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my cynicism was unfounded....well done VK.
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roll on Stewards Cup
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and well done VK and tinkler
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Thanks guys. It's good to get back on the winning trail after a few near misses this season.
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wd folkes. He clearly likes York.
figgis,trusty, get your money back in the Stewards Cup ?? |
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Not sure yet, sint, the time looks really good, around group 2 class with his weight. I'm just a bit wary of backing horses returning quick after running that fast, probably took something out of him even if it didn't look like he had a hard race. I certainly won't be layin him anyway
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Think hoof it might be a bit of a fruitcake although a very fast one. He wasn't brought to the pre-parade at all and didn't enter the parade ring until quite late. One of the ring staff I know said they were wanting to make sure he didn't get over-excited. I wonder if he'll stay cool at goodwood?
Entitled was the pick of the paddock for me in this race today, lovely looking, powerful filly, but ran like a pig! |
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Well done VK,pleased for ya,enjoy
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forgot to say, the wife's dress flew up in the wind just prior to the off, and exposed her arse to the champagne lawn, fortunately it's a decent arse.
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but did the lawn appreciate it ?
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standing ovation.
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I cant see him winning againt next week tbh Figgis but the trainer seemed to think today before the race if he wins he wins both!!
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Facts, there was a cheer and a ripple of applause.
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Dosen't HOOF IT get the FULL 6lb penalty taking him to 10 stone?
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