Trying to get a handle on whether or not this is his mount is a difficult thing. There are a lot of people on here saying its a done deal but i'm not so sure. Historically, he's not been the type to let emotion or a sense of loyalty get in the way of picking his best opportunities.
He is generally a 20/1 shot so people aren't that sure he is riding it because there is no way that our champion jockey/resident SPOTY will go off 20's if he does ride it.