Can't work this out myself but Surour looks to have a top chance tomorrow & why he is 25/1 I don't know. He has excellent 7f form & any rain will help his chances. He arrives with just 4 runs this season & his last two give him a great chance. An excellent 5th here back in July & well weighted on that followed up by a strong finishing 3rd to Axiom last time when the gaps didn't quite open at the right time for him but still a close up 3rd. He's ran well here in The Brittania last year going really well until the final furlong found him out & better still to be 2nd to Secret Society, with Invisible Man back in 4th. Notably Secret Society was just touched off by Al Muheer over the C/D last year with Redford & Genkhi back in 3rd & 4th. This represents really strong form for tomorrows race & with just 16 runs to his name Surour has potential for more improvement. Loads of positives for me & drawn close to likely leader St Moritz I feel he has a great winning chance at an e/w price. Charge !!!!!!
Another 25/1 shot for today in the 4.30 at Haydock is Unbreak My Heart. Perceived second string for the Fahey stable but feel has a very good chance off 87 with a 5lb claim. Has gone very well off a break before and although not winning over 10f last year in some top races his stamina should be an asset today on the ground & trip of 8f. He's ran 223 over the trip on g/s or softer off higher marks & won on soft ground. At class 3 over 8f it reads 231. Comes here fresh & looks worth a try as has shown good form off a break.
Rain very welcome. Best of luck to us.Another 25/1 shot for today in the 4.30 at Haydock is Unbreak My Heart.Perceived second string for the Fahey stable but feel has a very good chance off 87 with a 5lb claim.Has gone very well off a break before an
Decided to go with Gallagher as my second e/w pick for the race at a monster 50/1 !! the first 5. His form has been a bit indifferent the last few runs but he actually ran fairly well last time despite coming down the middle of the track at Goodwood last time. His two runs prior to that were poor but the one thing he has going for him is he has run at the course really well. Indeed he was just behind Surour in 6th in the mentioned race & was a decent 10th in the Wokingham off marks of 104 & 103. Last year he ran a decent 4th in the Jersey.As a 2yr old cut in the ground produced some excellent results in Group company.I feel course form is really important here since the track was relayed & will take a chance he can come back to his best as he now looks very well handicapped.
Best of luck all
Decided to go with Gallagher as my second e/w pick for the race at a monster 50/1 !! the first 5.His form has been a bit indifferent the last few runs but he actually ran fairly well last time despite coming down the middle of the track at Goodwood l
I can't see why Redford isn't a hotter favorite than he currently is, he's clear top on my ratings and the way he travelled and finished last time in the Ayr gold cup together with his previous history (won well over a mile as a 2yo and his first start as a 3yo) virtually guarantees that he'll stay this 7f and may even be better for it.
The only (but very important) things I can see beating him is the draw and very soft ground, so I will be keeping my stakes relatively modest for this outstanding opportunity.
Good luck anyway...
I can't see why Redford isn't a hotter favorite than he currently is, he's clear top on my ratings and the way he travelled and finished last time in the Ayr gold cup together with his previous history (won well over a mile as a 2yo and his first sta