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He is good for another King George but the Gold Cup is a different proposition. He is/was better on tracks where he could show his speed and Kempton is perfect for horses like him, Dessie being another who could show his great pace there.
The Gold Cup needs the perfect combination of speed, stamina importantly alongside balance and jumping. He isnt a natural stayer and does not jump well on this undulating track especially out of dead/rain softened ground. In his early days his jumping was low resulting in his Queen Mother fall, he also doesnt have the greatest balance approaching his fences on the type of ground we saw the clerk create this year. If the ground is anything other than good fast ground he will always struggle in a Gold Cup for jumping and stamina, if he doesnt get this he will struggle even if he is not over the hill. There have been and will be better horses over the course and trip than him. |
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u didn't think he was travelling before that mistake ???
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The ground on an undulating track is very important to his jumping imo. His springs are definitely dampened on soft ground when he has to think and jump out of it instead of pinging off the top of it.
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Stood to win 20 grand on Kauto in a double with Big Bucks this year but laid it off him to win over half that when I heard the clerk was going to water with rain forecast such were my convictions on my viewpoint re his jumping in the ground on the track.
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Postie, lets keep him going for a while longer. After all he was a hot fav for the Gold Cup. He was in a rhythm until he clattered a fence half way through.
As previous poster says the King George is there for the taking and maybe a national in 2012 when he comes down the weights a little. |
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More chance of Eamonn Holmes jumping the National fences than Kauto ever being asked to do it.
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Pete i suggest u look at the race again, then realise how silly what u have just said is. He was tanking, like the kauto of any other year. If he stands up wins the gold cup this year.
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i suggest you watch the race again arthur.
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If thats not travelling wouldnt like to see him on the bridle!! He was never travelling the year denman beat him, was goin lovely till he made the mistake last year.
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arthur kauto was beaten when he fell
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You didnt read what i said was goin lovely till he made the mistake which i think was the 9th fence. I know he was beaten when he fell. The mistake knocked him out of his rhythm, most horses wuld have fallen there.
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im with arthur here with the way kauto was traveling, when he made the first mistake he was traveling with ease and nearly hit the front with his jumps at 7th and 8th, he jumped them two previous fences so well he nearly landed on top of Carruthers that jump maybe made ruby ask for a short one as kauto was so close to Carruthers near that fence again.
After his first mistake he had zero chance in my mind due to hitting a fence that hard would have winded him and to run another 2 miles of cheltenham and still be there at the time of his fall all be it he looked like he was beaten but kauto star has alot of guts aswell as class, who knows he may have fighted Imperial commander up the hill. Imperial commander deserves to be a cheltenham gold cup winner with the way he beat denman but it be good to see kauto star get around with imperial commander this time and see who wins. |
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Ruby said he had him settled beautifully before the mistake, he would have gone very close. The ground on King George day last year was very tacky
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Ruby can say what he wants. Kempton is not an undulating track like Chelts and he has always struggled jumping around there at Championship pace excuses aside. If the ground is not fast there his jumping is tested more.
Queen Mother fall, dodgy jumping behind Denman, this years fall and 2 Gold Cup wins. He does not like jumping around Cheltenham, an undulating stamina laden track ignore the evidence if you want. |
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He was travelling well before he made the first mistake, watch it again
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So what, he fell just like he has in 2 of his 5 runs there and one of the others he blundered his way around. Some horses never touch a twig there. Anything other than fast ground he is a lay at his likely price there.
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eric_morris Joined: 27 Jun 10
Replies: 73 04 Aug 10 22:57 Ruby can say what he wants. Kempton is not an undulating track like Chelts and he has always struggled jumping around there at Championship pace excuses aside. If the ground is not fast there his jumping is tested more. Queen Mother fall, dodgy jumping behind Denman, this years fall and 2 Gold Cup wins. He does not like jumping around Cheltenham, an undulating stamina laden track ignore the evidence if you want. I agree with you that he doesnt jump out of soft ground to well he seems to jump low when its like that, the dodgy jumping against denman once again denmans performance that day was amazing and it deserved to win any gold cup but i think kauto was never himself that day the ground didnt help for obvious reasons denman made it a test which personally i think kauto can handle but others have there opions with that and i respect that and lastly kauto had a foot problem if i remember rightly two weeks before gold cup as well as nicholls saying kauto may have left his race behind racing him so clsoe to cheltenham. The queen mother fall could be due to the sun at that fence he seemed to be behind a wall of horses and may have been unsighted at the time of the fence. I dont like making excuses for any horse but theres reasons for his falls and lack of performances on some races, im with you with he performances at kempton are amazing and he performances there are breath taking due to amazing speeed he has but i wouldnt say he dislikes cheltenham he just seems to prefer kempton. |
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Course he does, it is for speed horses and is not the jumping challenge Cheletenham is with it's undulations a horse needs tremendous balance at fences as much as speed and stamina and on ground that is not fast these become tougher factors to overcome for horses whose strength is speed and jumping and arguably stamina isn't.
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You are describing his ideal conditions, fair enough, but that is not to say that he can't win when conditions aren't ideal. they thought they had him better than ever last year and connectTons are on record as saying that he handles softer ground better than he did before as he has gotten older and stronger, he made that first mistake too early at Cheltenham last season to draw any hard and fast conclusions as to what might have happened, tbh Ithink the betting public would actually agree witha alot of what you are saying and you might be laying at bigger odds than you think if it turns up soft.
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i personally think he would have won as he liked but we never know he seems to have that extra gear to leave the goood horses 160-170 standing. Im currently topping up on him every week since the gold cup to win 2011s
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for a horse that doesnt like thhe track and doesnt stay the distance, i think that 2 gold cups put pay to any idiotic ideas that he doesnt act up at the course! daft comments and opinions will always be put right by stats, and 2 gold cups is a stat that i wouldnt mind any of my horses having!
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He's not going to win another Gold Cup now.
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agreed vixon
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vixon spot on
Have people forgotten that performance last year? |
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kauto,s bad runs have always been explainable but the gold cup run was not. everything was perfect ( ground no issue) fresh as a daisy,puzzling. truth is he and imperial commander are the only 180+ denman176 rest 14lb+ below so if he comes back the old kauto he has lots in his favour
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The stats show he has jumped badly enough for it to cost him any chance of a win in 3 of his 5 runs at Cheltenham. Obvious to a blind man he has won 2 Gold Cups despite not liking the undulating staying track there.
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My point really was to say that I would not want future poor performances to cloud my memories of star.
The stats are against Kauto regaining the GC at his age - retirement before decline ? |
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I wouldnt be laying at 9-4 for King George. I was there and you needed Binoculars to see 2nd.
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If someone could ask Clifford Baker his head lad,why he was shaking his head just before the start in March,maybe we would have a better idea of what happened!! No idea myself,but it did happen just as it started raining,probably co-incidence,but If it was the rain it might back up the jumping out the ground bit,or maybe Kauto just dont like getting wet!!
Just summising before anyone thinks i am mad!! |
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Bottom line is it would be a shame to retire him now even if he is only half as good as before.
That would be good enough to win the King George for starters and we would all be gobbling down our turkeys in anticipation of seeing a star the following day. The King George I reckon has the highest viewing figures for a NH race. I certainly was brought up as a kid looking forward to seeing Arkle winning the King George and hoping the Wren boys wouldn't knock at the door when it was on. I can't remember any of his Gold Cups as I was still in school!! |
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if kauto has lost half his ability he wont be winning an egg and spoon.
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without watching it back,i think the mistake was the 3rd fence.if i remember it rightly it was quite a jolting mistake.could he have just hurt himself then?
i guess kauto will prob win the king george but itl be more competative this year with long run ,somersby,the hobbs horse and poss punchestowns.for every backer theres a layer,and if i had to take a firm view at the minute,id be backing kauto as a back2 lay for the gold cup.that said itd be only to balance the book as i really cant have him this year. |
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eric_morris: "He isn't a natural stayer.."
That's just wrong. As for the Gold Cup next year, I would certainly not rule him out. Time will tell. |
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How anyone can still knock this animal is absolutely beyond me. Lets enjoy class like this while we can. Plenty of other races to bet on.
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Arthur's comments are correct, along with those who agreed with him afterwards. There's far too much over complication with certain horses sometimes. He looked very sharp to me before the mistake and was jumping and travelling sweetly, perhaps too sweetly. Kauto is very good, still.
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Would not back against him for the King George,race suits him.3m flat track going right handed is perfect for him.3m 2f undulating track going left handed is not imo.You watch his King George wins they are a lot more impressive no doubt.The one impressive looking GC win was against a sick Denman and imo not a lot else.His other GC win was really given to him in a sense,was run at a crawl enabling him to use his 2m speed at the end.Obviously he does get 3m2 round Cheltenham,he has won 2 GC'S,but imo its not ideal for him and takes him to the edge of his capabilities and out of his comfort zone if you like.
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Bl00dy good horse though,and got me going to the races just to see him.Went to Ascot to watch him in the race before Denmans GC,and he was absolutely outstanding,was a priveledge to be there.
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Budd, the year he was impressive exotic dancer and neptune collonges were behind denman that year so was no easy race. If u say the other year that he won it was run at a crawl then why was it 4 seconds faster than his other gold cup win on the same ground. I know the clock isnt always reliable but u have to take some notice of it. Hopefully this year they go down royal king george and gold cup, best horse i have ever seen and possibly ever will.
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Ftm it def wasnt the third fence he made the mistake either.
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