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Value King
30 Jul 10 21:24
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Date Joined: 18 May 08
| Topic/replies: 279 | Blogger: Value King's blog
KNOT IN WOOD
Ultra tough and consistent in these big handicaps and ran crackers to finish placed in both last seasons Ayr Gold Cup and this seasons Wokingham off 1lb higher. Deserves major respect and makes plenty of each way appeal.

SIR GERRY
Having his first run in a British handicap and is an excellent performer on his day (Grp One placed). His rider takes a handy 3lbs off his back and probably doesn't deserve to be as big a price as he is. Couldn't rule out.

GENKI
Game winner of this last term and fully entitled at another crack here today. Has been running consistently well so far but is 10lbs higher than when landing this last year and needs to reverse Wokingham form with some of these.

PALACE MOON
Looked a horse going places when landing Doncaster win on only fourth ever start last year and finally showing his ability now. Wokingham third/Bunbury Cup second give him major chance; Fallon booked; 5lbs "well in" on the figures. One to fear.

JIMMY STYLES
Down the field here last year but won Ayr Gold Cup later in the year in grand style. Is 4lbs higher here today though and hasn't looked in the best form so far, which is a concern. Capable claimer/first time blinkers a bonus though.

CASTLES IN THE AIR
Winner of Ascot's International handicap over 7f only last week and special effort needed to land the double. On highest ever mark now and this could be a bit on the sharp side for him. Talented trainer/jockey combo a plus.

EDGE CLOSER
Never been the most consistent of performers but his two handicap efforts this term have been encouraging. His mark is creeping down to an appealing one but likely there will be other days for him.

KALDOUN KINGDOM
Sublime effort last time out behind Hawkeyethenoo at York and is in this off the same mark. Lee Topliss gets the leg up again and claims a handy 5lbs. Thinking is he is best on a flat track though and the undulations might catch him out.

RILEYSKEEPINGFAITH
Has been running really well all season and landed a bit of a gamble at Newbury a few starts back. Interesting Hughesy gets the leg up today but has finished down the field in three big handicaps this year and beaten by Genki twice.

ADVANCED
Another consistent performer who landed a big race win last season at Ascot to add to his Ayr Gold Cup triumph in 2007. Slightly in and out this term so far and two visits here have been disappointing.

HITCHENS
Loves to hear his feet rattle along on ground, so unlikely to get his ideal conditions in this today. Very interesting jockey booking but more likely he has targets later in the season.

IVER BRIDGE LAD
Running fairly well in handicaps this term and the return of the blinkers should aid his cause. Remains on a very stiff mark now though and probably better chances in this.

STRIKING SPIRIT
Better than ever this term and storming run behind Laddies Poker Two in the Wokingham to finish second. Raised 5lbs for that effort and while that might be enough to stop him he could run another big race.

JOHANNES
Now 17lbs higher than when landing the consolation race here last season but started this term with a decisive win at York. Jockey takes 3lbs off here but needs to bounce back after two disappointing efforts of late.

JONNY MUDBALL
Has been an improved performer since the addition of the tongue-tie and ran away with Newcastle event last time out. Seb Sanders keeps his place in the saddle and could run well despite inexperience and 9lbs rise.

RUN FOR THE HILLS
Likely to find things extremely tough in race of this calibre after not really setting the world on fire so far this term. Ideally needs his mark to drop before he is seen at his best again.

ANCIEN REGIME
Dropping further and further down the weights now after finishing virtually last on his last three starts. Very hard to fancy in against this opposition when so much out of form.

PROHIBIT
Continued his excellent run of form this season when fourth behind Masamah at Ascot last Sunday. Finished down field in this last term off 1lb higher and hard to envisage him landing this today despite positive runs of late.

EVERYMANFORHIMSELF
Remains on a high mark now after being ultra consistent last term and has been struggling in races of this nature all season. Will be of interest again once dropped a few pounds and there are other days for him.

EVENS AND ODDS
Excellent second in this last season off the same mark; so claimer taking 5lbs off today a big plus. Not been in the best of form of late, but trainer is, and big price if course wakes him up again.

ENACT
Beautifully bred daughter of Kyllachy who travelled gracefully at Newmarket on seasonal debut when finding just Hawkeyethenoo too good. Sure to come on for that run and bold bid on the cards for Stoute/Moore combination.

INGLEBY LADY
Struggled of late after hugely promising seasonal debut when taking York handicap in good style. Down the field in last weeks Sky Bet Dash and needs to show plenty of improvement to take a hand in the finish today.

SONNY RED
Well back in this last year but was never at the races and form has been patchy at best this time around. Never one to rely on too heavily, he has a big race in him but it seems unlikely today will be his day.

NOVERRE TO GO
Finished second on his "side" in the Wokingham behind Genki and has probably been saved for a crack at this. No reason why he can't run well once more although he would have a bit to find with some of these to take a hand.

SECRET ASSET
Lightly raced gelding who has a fair level of form coming into this contest. Some decent handicap runs to his name this term in addition to his Grp Three third last time gives him a chance; this much tougher though.

PRIME EXHIBIT
Hasn't built upon his encouraging second behind Penitent in the Lincoln back in March. First try over six on a turf course is a worry here but claimer is decent and the horse clearly has talent.

PARISIAN PYRAMID
Running as well as anything this season and likely to shoot from his stall one position and try and make all. Already a dual course and distance winner it would be no shock to see another bold show.

SINGEUR
Struggled last week in the Sky Bet Dash and has the first time blinkers on today to spark some life back into him. Tough assignment on the cards in against his elders off bottom weight and others more likely


SUMMARY

One of the toughest sprint handicaps of the year and this renewal looks like following suit. A four or five year old has taken the race for the past nine years and that trend could continue with two near the head of the market, in Enact and Palace Moon, catching the eye. Enact clearly has talent in abundance and ran a highly encouraging race behind one of the best sprint handicappers around this season, Hawkeyethenoo, on her reappearance. She should have come on for that run and her mark has been preserved as a result of coming straight here after that Newmarket effort. Ryan Moore is in flying form and a bold show looks likely. Palace Moon has been somewhat unlucky so far this season, despite some cracking efforts in big handicaps. He is due to go up five pounds after this anyway on official figures and can come out on top of his Wokingham rivals here today. Fallon is back in the saddle and with a clear passage he has an excellent chance. Best of the rest could come in the shape of Parisian Pyramid who has shown highly consistent form all season. He is racing off the same mark as last week when caught by Hawkeyethenoo at York and could break from his stall one berth and make a dash for the line. He is two from three at Goodwood and again looks some each way value. All in all it looks an extremely tricky puzzle to crack.


SELECTIONS

Enact 2pts win @ 9/1
Palace Moon 2pts win @ 9/1
Parisian Pyramid 0.5pt ew @ 22/1

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Replies: 41
By:
turnip turns
When: 30 Jul 10 21:40
Brilliant piece of work VK,must of taken you hours,good luck to ya [;)]Cool fwiw Genki for me.
By:
jetodd
When: 30 Jul 10 21:45
A great read VK, Parisian Pyramid and Hitchens for me. [;)]
By:
onehundredandeighty
When: 30 Jul 10 21:46
good write up value king.gl
By:
bestmate
When: 30 Jul 10 22:27
Top stuff VK.Happy
By:
Early Morning Riser
When: 30 Jul 10 22:29
Ryan Moore is in flying form.


i like that bitSad
By:
Facts
When: 30 Jul 10 22:30
GENKI and PALACE MOON for me
By:
town moor
When: 30 Jul 10 22:36
Sir Gerry and Ancien regime ew for me, good luck all.
By:
ONSLOW1974
When: 30 Jul 10 22:38
G8 Stuff VK - Good luck - Palace Moon,Johannes & my old m8 Knot in Wood.for me.
Good luck all[;)]
By:
knot in wood
When: 31 Jul 10 00:28
Blush
By:
Oasisdreamer
When: 31 Jul 10 07:20
Striking Spirit for me
By:
sintonian
When: 31 Jul 10 09:38
No Idea.

gl,all.
By:
Value King
When: 31 Jul 10 10:12
It would have saved me a good few hours taking your approach Sint Laugh

It is a nightmare of a race to crack though this year. Not like when Gift Horse stormed to victory five seasons ago in what is one of my favourite races ever!
By:
platinni
When: 31 Jul 10 10:17
id excuse prohibits runs here least year as the ground is more suitable today?
By:
sintonian
When: 31 Jul 10 10:17
Laugh

Like last year the rain and mist has arrived .. that put me off Genki and I ended up backing MarkabCry

Lots of them look to be out of form but the ground could change that imo.

Fallon had a treble last night at HQ. Masterfull stuff
By:
turnip turns
When: 31 Jul 10 10:22
Plat,Palace Moon,ground issue imo,it ain't going to be quick imo.
By:
turnip turns
When: 31 Jul 10 10:23
imo[:p]
By:
twm.
When: 31 Jul 10 10:39
I am not sure how much more suitable the ground will be for prohibit today.
By:
rhinestone
When: 31 Jul 10 10:48
Does anyone have a list of the balloted out horses or know where I can get one etc.? Very important to me. Can't see anything in yesterdays ot todays post.
By:
Meat Loaf
When: 31 Jul 10 11:33
Thanks yet again Value King for the fantatic write up. If only you followed National Hunt racing as much as you do the sprints.

Enact is certainly unexposed and has every chance however I think you may have been slightly too dismissive of Ancien Regime who has been freshened up and looks on a great mark for a group winner. Godolphin bought this horse to compete in group 1s.....
By:
Value King
When: 31 Jul 10 11:45
Thanks Meat, appreciate the comments.

Ancien Regime does has talent somewhere within him but I would have just liked to see some decent form before coming into a race an competitive as this is bound to be.
By:
Tucho
When: 31 Jul 10 11:52
Going to give Ingleby Lady another chance at ridiculous odds, 90+ on here.
By:
gart
When: 31 Jul 10 11:56
if its really gone to soft then i do think singeur has a far better chance than the 90's i got . blinkered first time and hopefully it wont run in snatches so much. hold up and come through getting a good lead to near the line. striking spirit was second in a very good race at ascot too, for the f/c.
By:
rothko
When: 31 Jul 10 12:26
got to be enact for me  - looks well in to me and hope stall 27 is an advantage
By:
Earl.E.Byrd
When: 31 Jul 10 13:33
2pts ew If I Were A Boy 1.55 @16-1 VC

2pts ew Prime Exibit 33-1
2pts ew Noverre to Go 16-1

both badblokes bog

gl
By:
Earl.E.Byrd
When: 31 Jul 10 13:37
wrong fred sdc

good luk btw all
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 31 Jul 10 13:48
av backed Rileyskeepingfaith and Evens and Odds

The former because he ran well here back in May and lto where he'll now be getting a few pounds from Genki

The latter because he's gone well here before, likely to pop up when you least expect it and is a big price

gl
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 31 Jul 10 15:52
Cool
By:
turnip turns
When: 31 Jul 10 16:01
Laugh[;)]Cool
By:
PHS
When: 31 Jul 10 16:02
Top stuff FFT

WD Tom. I'm sure you'll be satisfied with that !?
By:
twm.
When: 31 Jul 10 16:07
Delighted. The race was run to suit with him having the winner nearby to keep him concentrating better to the line.
I do wonder if there had been no rain and no watering what might have been.
And something tells me the horse may still actually be more talented than he has shown even here. He perhaps likes to just keep something back for himself!
By:
PHS
When: 31 Jul 10 16:23
Hope he win a big one for you one day Tom. Presume you've not gone to the track, but with iPhones etc, these days you never know.
By:
PHS
When: 31 Jul 10 16:23
wins not win, but you knew that anyway!
By:
twm.
When: 31 Jul 10 16:31
I didnt go, I had stuff to do and thought the water both real and artificial might have scuppered his chances so I was happy to watch from here!
By:
Value King
When: 31 Jul 10 17:01
First of all well played FFT Grin

Secondly, really disappointed with the way the ground went. I don't think the clerk of the course handled the watering situation brilliantly with the rain that was forecast and those drawn high seemed to flounder. I was bullish about Enact even more so after Sir Michael gave her a very positive word on Channel Four, there is surely something special in her with better conditions in her favour.

On a side note, I was so close to plumping for Evens And Odds as my each way selection after my upbeat analysis of his chances...

EVENS AND ODDS
Excellent second in this last season off the same mark; so claimer taking 5lbs off today a big plus. Not been in the best of form of late, but trainer is, and big price if course wakes him up again.


But went for the the horse in slightly better form in Parisian Pyramid. Ah well. I did have a small saver on Evens And Odds this morning to cover myself and I'm thankful I did now. Goodwood has never been the luckiest of tracks for me so I'm looking forward to the Ebor meeting at York next, which is my favourite track of them all Happy
By:
PHS
When: 31 Jul 10 17:25
10,12,14,15,16,17,18,19 (8 out of 9) finished in the first 9, strongly suggesting that the middle was the place to be imo, whether or not it was ground or pace.
By:
PHS
When: 31 Jul 10 17:30
Agree VK, the CoC has done his best to ruin this GG meeting. Apparently, GF isn't allowed any more.
By:
sintonian
When: 31 Jul 10 20:11
wd FFT/VK.

Evens & Odds had three poor runs coming into this race .. so he did well to win imo , one is excusable, two just about, but three ..

A nice run from Prohibit again .. one day things will drop right.

The Coc was liberal with his hosepipe but isn't the Stewards Cup dominated by horses in the middle section of the draw each year anyway .. I do agree though the watering did seem excessive and was happy to watch today.
By:
PHS
When: 31 Jul 10 20:58
Hi Sint

Yes, in the last 5 or so years, middle has dominated, but it used to be mainly High (far side) before that.
By:
Facts
When: 01 Aug 10 09:40
Why did coc water?It was G/F anyway - with rain forecast. Ruined the Stewards Cup imo. The high drawn horses may have well stayed in their boxes.
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