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morrga.
29 May 10 12:21
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Date Joined: 30 Jun 03
| Topic/replies: 66 | Blogger: morrga.'s blog
Dont let one piece of 'good work' put you off St Nic. New Approach bounced back from negative reports to win in his derby year.

"He wasn't disappointing, just not as scintillating as he usually is.

He is not a machine. He will bounce back, just view it as Aidan doing the punters a favour by allowing us take a more generous price.

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Replies: 22
By:
ben10
When: 29 May 10 12:29
New Approach was fine though, his trainer just said he didn't want to run it because he'd never won the Irish Derby.
By:
morrga.
When: 29 May 10 12:33
Fair point, main thing is the horse can bounce back from yesterdays piece of work.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 May 10 12:37
yes he can. what does that have to do with new approach?
By:
ben10
When: 29 May 10 12:37
Yeah I agree, think I said something similar yesterday; if he's not showing what he's done in the past though it has to be a worry but you'd like to see him confirmed for the race now before getting involved again.
By:
morrga.
When: 29 May 10 12:55
New Approach was an uncertain starter and now St Nic is an uncertain starter.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 May 10 12:57
SNA is an uncertain starter yet he is 7/2 on here. NA was an uncertain starter and was trading at 90+. Give it up fella.
By:
Stan2
When: 29 May 10 13:00
One huge difference between the two is that NA gave his Derby backers reason for optimism at Newmarket.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 29 May 10 13:01
Perhaps his price tells you something.
By:
trev w
When: 29 May 10 13:17
as i understand it...his work at home & his times before the 2000 led them to believe he would pi$$ the gns...he did'nt...now he his working less well...you want us to keep faith...no tnx..
had no faith before & less now...
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 May 10 13:19
In the top hundred dumbest posts of 2010.
By:
amaru
When: 29 May 10 13:31
The only way I see him as being similar to New Approach is that they both had the best form going in to the race and both were as likely, if not more likely, to improve for the step up to 12f as anything else in the race.  The lack of early pace in the Guineas gave him no chance against proper milers and, for me, people are being very harsh on his run there.  I havent seen a trial this season that, in my view, St Nicholas Abbey wouldnt have hacked up in.
By:
ben10
When: 29 May 10 13:35
If you rate the races I reckon SNA only ran a few pounds below any of O'Brien's other runners anyway.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 May 10 13:37
In that case he should be 10/1 (with a run).
By:
ben10
When: 29 May 10 13:39
But obviously the others had conditions more to suit them as Am said.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 May 10 13:41
Well we don't know who likes what yet. Just pointing out the folly of backing this horse at 7/4 a week ago, which I would bet is just what the OP is trying to rationalise with this moronic thread.  Happy
By:
ben10
When: 29 May 10 13:42
Probably right about the 7/4, as you know I've stayed out of it so far.
By:
Charlton2005
When: 29 May 10 13:45
Good. It may be worth going with one of the brains on here. Plat = Midas and Trev = Workforce. JV way to short to back now, even though he has been put up by a couple of smart ones too.
By:
amaru
When: 29 May 10 13:48
ben10     29 May 10 13:39 
But obviously the others had conditions more to suit them



Nail. On. Head. 

If he had been campaigned like O'brien's previous Derby winners and taken a more traditional approach i.e. Ballysax/Derrinstown or Dante then for me he would have won any of those trials that have been run this season easily.   It seems to me that people are very keen to knock St Nicholas Abbey despite what was, given he is a Montjeu and there was a slow pace, a perfectly respectable run in the 2000.

Would he have won the Dante? No doubt.
Would he have won the Derrinstown? No Doubt.
Would he have won the Lingfield Trial? No doubt.
Would he have won any of the Chester trials? No doubt.
Would he have won the Sandown trial? No doubt.
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 29 May 10 13:51
I'd love to know who was the person who had €1 matched on St Nick at 2.3 Laugh
By:
Lozzy
When: 30 May 10 10:02
New Approach very nearly won the 2000 Guineas. St Nicholas Abbey was stuffed in it.
By:
A_T
When: 30 May 10 12:33
Wonder what was the lowest placed Guineas colt to go on to win the Derby...
By:
WorkOnIt
When: 30 May 10 12:43
Would he have won the Dante? No doubt.
Would he have won the Derrinstown? No Doubt.
Would he have won the Lingfield Trial? No doubt.
Would he have won any of the Chester trials? No doubt.
Would he have won the Sandown trial? No doubt.



Would he have won Jan Vermeer's trial too?

Would he have beaten Rewilding at Goodwood?

What an animal he must be.

Or is it the case that you've backed him all winter expecting him to be Sea the Stars Mark II (which he so clearly is not) and are talking through your pocket?
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