Chester Day Three.

back Munsef? 2/2 at the course

Good point Ted,but i'm layin the fav only

6.05 Aintree - Araldur returns, in a novice hurdle!

both the evans horses look big prices to me in the sprints

carcinetto loves it here and has a decetn draw for once, star rover showed some nice pace the other day

tt, try not to let your heart rule your head.

Gunny,i have to admit it was debatable if i did or not tbh,this is a very weak race imo,but sticking to my guns.What will be.......

i know we have different opinions on the horse and are biased but with the O'Brien horses running pretty horrendous so far at Chester, not sure how much of a danger AoA will be on his seasonal debut. Harbinger won at Chester as well.

no bet for me, but hope Harbinger lags up.

TD_Gunner Joined: 15 Mar 09
Replies: 3260 06 May 10 19:18 
tt, try not to let your heart rule your head.

That's rich!

you've plucked up some courage to actually say something then Charlton.

go on then, make your point ......

As you would say, "head in hands man please".

Charlton, maybe u should go onto the horse racing forum with all the other pocket talking mugs.

You one of those annoying kids who were very lucky there father was born before them aren't you? Be honest here if you can.

evening banterers

My bets have not appeared on the big race bet thread? i had 25pts e/w on Debussy like everybody else of course and a slightly smaller bet on Horseradish....WD nibb by the way top bombing..

Paris Hilton type or Nicole Richie?? Am I wide of the mark?

you can try and patronise all you want, but I'd prefer it if you didn't bring my family into any discussion/argument.

and yes, you are completely WIDE of the mark. much like your horse racing selections.

Lucky 15 for tomorrow for what its worth:

1:45 Brae Hill NAP
2:15 Encompassing
2:45 Harbinger
3:15 Confessional

Agree with JB in that Star Rover could run a big race, easier ground a slight worry. Miss Daawe in the last at Lingers looks ready to win

shed load of pace in that first race imo

high pace score from me anyway?  could be a turn up a draw shock

Agree Plat, could be traffic problems galore for the low numbers there, Dunno what will past the post first

Suruor, Dunno and Webbow in the first.

Prompter

Archers Road.

GL

Will Harbinger be ok on good to soft? Is there much rain forecast?

Sireform stats for Dansili...

Fast: 93-832 11% -£0.17
GD/GS: 70-710 10% -£0.26
Sft/Hvy: 8-147 5% -£0.59

being put through the ringer trying to get my first bet on for tomorrow with bet366

Can read the form too literally and Stoute obvious has a good line but considering previous run at chester:-

1 10   Harbinger 6/4F   3 9-3  Sir Michael Stoute  — * * »
b c Dansili - Penang Pearl (FR) (Bering) Ryan Moore
  Always prominent, led over 1f out, quickened away inside final furlong, impressive (op 5-4 tchd 13-8)   
 
« 2 1  3  Changingoftheguard (IRE) 3/1  3 9-3  A P O'Brien  — * * »
b c Montjeu (IRE) - Miletrian (IRE) (Marju) J Murtagh
  Midfield, not clear run 2f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, went 2nd just inside final furlong, not pace of winner (op 5-1)   
 
« 3 7  3¾  Una Pelota (IRE) 40/1  3 9-3  N J Vaughan  — * * »
b g Refuse To Bend (IRE) - Sombreffe (Polish Precedent) Jim Crowley


7L behind Harbinger off levels, now off 72 in a hcap first time over 12F should help, just ground a slight worry.

2pts e/w @ 14/1 generally. gl

I thought the same trusty, and backed una pelota overnight whilst watching the election, I've also backed interdiamonds in the same race as I think she'll lead and is in good form.

Chester bets

1.45 Brae Hill & Carcinetto ew

2.15 Prompter

3.15 Confessional

4.30 Desert Dreamer ew

5.05 Hindu kush & Paktalos ew

  good lukk

missed out on a tasty treble yesterday so will try again today!!

Dancing David looks a very fair price in the Dee Stakes

Dance and Dance has Spencer on , a good draw and should have the stamina to last home from the front if fit enough for first start

Jedi - ran well here last year, lightly raced, excellent chance this is his ideal conditions and is the right price to play for the finale...

Dunn'o in the first looks sniff material. Reckon that was a pretty good run behind a useful horse in Mabait lto. Price looks pretty tasty for him imo

thought everything had a chance in that race pretty much...might chance two small bets on Joseph Henry and Autumn Blades

good luck though FFT

Suroor 11/1 - horrible draw but that's reflected in the price. Trip and ground suits, although he will need to defy stall 13. The outside draw was defied yesterday on one occasion if i recall.

Harbringer + Safina mug double

Two small stabs @ Party Doctor and Snoqualmie Girl mainly because of the ground.

Party Doctor looks like a horse that wanted ease last year(trainer thinks so too) Today is the big aim too. Not sure will the rest act with dig.


Harbinger blew out after goodwood last year and may recoil from a big effort lto plus ease may not suit. I think the ground is worse than described. They seem to finish tired yesterday imo. AOA may not be ready. Just thought Snoqualmie's 2 runs on soft were v good. 2nd to Rainbow View!!!!

Anyway after all that waffling

0.5pt Party Doctor
0.5pt Snoqualmie Girl

1.45 - ET
2.15 - Dancing David
2.45 - Harbinger - no price but should win.
3.15 - Star Rover - Has the early speed to overcome stall 6, gnd may be a slight concern though.

Just Dunn'o for me. May add Azmeel if the former wins, depending on if I can be arsed

gl chaps

2.15 Azmeel
3.15 Diman Waters
4.30 Leverage

Good luck

Will spend all afternoon reminding myself that Qudwah cant win from its car park draw and hopefully not back it !!!!! Other than that it will be all quiet on the chester front for me today !

2.15 party doctor - little to find on ratings and extra furlong should suit
2.45 munsef - conditions to suit, can go well fresh, close at the weights with hyped up and hence overbet fav

Joseph Henry and Autumn Blades small bets in the opener...gl

Nice!!!

NOSEY 

nosey knew

Nosey, WD

swweeeeeeet...didn't tip the damn thing!

down are they gonna settle that punchestown comp ever!

Grand shout with Autumn Blades Nosey! 

Smallish plays on Prompter and Rasmy here for me, gl.

cheers ammers

Dancing David for me...gd luck

Doc Dav - Age of Aq - double

Dance David i meant lol

Nosey - I emailed him again last night, and got a smart reply - they're very busy!!

Azmeel win and then exactas to win from Tamaathul and Party Doctor.

good mad down

tamaathul @4

afters lads
wd nosey with autumn blades and any other winners

WD Redal...and any others with Azmeel good stuff

Played Redal.

Sure Gunny was keen on this one the other day, not sure if it was this race or the Derby itself tho......   

Cheers, don't think he'a a Classics winner by any means but nice horse. Tamaathul has a problem it seems.

Only a couple of bets today for me

8.30 - Ripon - Terenzium

Key thing i think is he also needs to go right handed.

LH - 08807048035995786627
RH - 1263004731

Favourite and third favourite are Jack Day and Spider Star at 3s at 11/2.

He split these two over C+D last year... He finished 3/4l behind Jackday and is now 1lb better off, but also crucially Jackday was racefit that day and he isn't today yet Terenzium is 5x his price.

Third was Spiders Star who has won a couple since. That day Terenzium beat SS by 2 1/2l but he was getting 2lbs, today he gets even more 8lbs!

He then finished behind them both when 6th but that was going Left Handed, and i'd give him a good chance of beating them as he's race fit from hurdles and they are not.

He then won at Hamilton at the end of last season on his last run RH, John Forbes was 2nd who has won since and is now rated 10lbs higher than he was that day.

Unawtuna - seems to be held by Jackday, but couldn't put you off.

Dimashq - trainer in cack form, 27 runs in last 14 days, only one third from it, only 5/27 have finished in the top half of their field (4th, 4, 5, 4, 3)

Cool Dodger - Stepping up massively in trip

Ursis - possibly a lot of weight though.

Others - no chance.

Also often in the write ups its said he needs a faster pace - ursis is in the field today and that should assure that.

8.40 Aintree - Extreme Conviction

We were hoping for a bit of a bigger price, but will have as good a chance as anything in the race, would be disappointed if he still isn't a fair bit better than his current mark.

1.5pt Win Terenzium 16-1
1pt EW Double Terenzium + Extreme Conviction
Estimated 6pt EW Extreme Conviction - Depending on price

Gl EC

great stuff as always EC and best of luck tonight mate

Superb as always EC. Thanks for sharing.

Good luck EC.

C2 - how are you mate?

GL with your horse.

Diman Waters for me here

Yeah good thanks Das. You OK? Never do well at Chester so have just about avoided the whole meet this year. The election was fukking mental last night though!!! Some ludicrous prices on quite a few markets.

small win on diman waters too

C2 - not really betting this week, on the worst run of my life. But always do well at York, so just taking it easy until then. Looking fwd to the big meetings and the WC.

OK. That's very disciplined. TT would be impressed. IS York before Royal Ascot? Surely you must be having a go at Ascot? and the Derby/Oaks? I also tend to concentrate on those, purely because I have no time to study for general racing.

I backed confessional there, I think he might be a fruitcake.

Not sure if I'm losing it too, but having already backed una pelota and inter diamonds win only in the last I've now had an ew nibble at 50 on here on manshoor. He pulled too hard last time but that was his first run for 9 months, will go on the ground, stays and will enjoy a fast pace. Not sure whether Hayley will be able to settle him any better than Buick last time, but I know who I'd rather have sat on my saddle.

Moor!

Like Dance And Dance but it's trappy - thinking he will make all from stall 2 and has a couple of races in him this year so chanced the 12s on first start...

Stricly Dancing for a few quid in the next but only playing

Somehow I forgot to back Archers Road

Leverage EW
6, 11 and 13 for the placepot

Fukkk

rough race, wd nosey.

cheeers chaps

must keep following this Judge geezer!!! GGEEEET IIIN...

Jedi for a very nice day in the last...fingers crossed

WD nosey. Where were you when I filled my Placepot in?  :-)

ta Redal - it was on the site this morning but saying that you got further in it than me!

Louisville Lip at Wexford

Dear o dear

Missed that post nosey. Damn.
With you on Jedi.

Get in. Great ride

JEDI

Redal good man, it's the website rather than a post on here mate....just add .com to my name..

will be looking. Thanks mate