Horse Antepost
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Betting movements over the last 24 hours:
8 from 20 (C)
10 from 16 (L)
9 from 16 (WH)
9 from 12 (VC)
8 from 20 (SJ)
8 from 12 (PP)
8 from 14 (Sky)
8 from 16 (T)
The price has been collapsing this morning. At this rate she could even start favourite. With the forfeit stage today, bookmakers will take the opportunity to cut prices across the board. But does anyone seriously think that this filly can win the Guineas? I guess it's possible, but she's terrible value now. She probably needs to find another 10lbs or so improvement on her Feilden win, but is she likely to improve by that amount for a drop in trip against much speedier fillies? I understand why they've decided to run her in the Guineas, but I think she's up against it and she makes no appeal at the odds.
8 from 20 (C)
10 from 16 (L)
9 from 16 (WH)
9 from 12 (VC)
8 from 20 (SJ)
8 from 12 (PP)
8 from 14 (Sky)
8 from 16 (T)
The price has been collapsing this morning. At this rate she could even start favourite. With the forfeit stage today, bookmakers will take the opportunity to cut prices across the board. But does anyone seriously think that this filly can win the Guineas? I guess it's possible, but she's terrible value now. She probably needs to find another 10lbs or so improvement on her Feilden win, but is she likely to improve by that amount for a drop in trip against much speedier fillies? I understand why they've decided to run her in the Guineas, but I think she's up against it and she makes no appeal at the odds.
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I thought Tregoning said he would have her pretty fit first time up, in his 2010 follower book.
Of course she wont Jamesp.
She was an attractive proposition yesterday @ 20s after it was announced she was an intended runner, but inreality the price has gone to far know.
Just cant see her shortening much further if all the other protagonists stand their ground
Given ground on the fast side of good Special Duty will go off a clear fav would only be if it turned on the soft side(unlikely) wwould her position be under threat.
She was an attractive proposition yesterday @ 20s after it was announced she was an intended runner, but inreality the price has gone to far know.
Just cant see her shortening much further if all the other protagonists stand their ground
Given ground on the fast side of good Special Duty will go off a clear fav would only be if it turned on the soft side(unlikely) wwould her position be under threat.
Shes just the price she should be now she is a confirmed runner.
She was double the price purely because she was expected to contest the Oaks.
She was double the price purely because she was expected to contest the Oaks.
think she was a great each way bet at 14s considering there isn't a lot of depth to the race. I had a speculative win bet at 20s straight after the race. My concern would be that she may be a lot better on fast ground and if it were on the easy side I would be worried/would they run her. The favourite has the best form but the trip has to be a concern.
I think the reason they are running Rumoush is simply because they don't feel she will stay the Oaks trip. Therefore they may as well have a crack at a 1000 Guineas while she is in form. And the race doesn't look to have many credible contenders.
She looks a smart filly, but surely will need to be something special to drop back in trip and win a Classic?
She looks a smart filly, but surely will need to be something special to drop back in trip and win a Classic?
Was slightly kicking myself for missing the 20's when backing it yesterday at 16's but pleased by today's market developments.
We are all guessing as to what will happen on the day but reason I backed it was because I was looking for something with form outside the, what I regard, as average formlines which link so much of the rest of the field.
Dropping back in distance not a concern as Fielden win showed enough speed, plus no doubts about acting on the course or getting the trip.
Imagine what price Special Duty would currently be trading if she had won the Fielden in identical fashion!
We are all guessing as to what will happen on the day but reason I backed it was because I was looking for something with form outside the, what I regard, as average formlines which link so much of the rest of the field.
Dropping back in distance not a concern as Fielden win showed enough speed, plus no doubts about acting on the course or getting the trip.
Imagine what price Special Duty would currently be trading if she had won the Fielden in identical fashion!
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