Classics 2016
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Should like the ground and form at newmarket looks good. Well drawn to.
Looks the most likely winner , but surely on value grounds he has to be taken on at 2/1.
He may not see the trip out on soft and its a handicap.
I'd have backed a horse like this 10 years ago when you'd have got 7/2 , but it looks time to switch position as the market
looks to have overreacted. Betting is all about value and its difficult to argue 2/1 is value.
Looks the most likely winner , but surely on value grounds he has to be taken on at 2/1.
He may not see the trip out on soft and its a handicap.
I'd have backed a horse like this 10 years ago when you'd have got 7/2 , but it looks time to switch position as the market
looks to have overreacted. Betting is all about value and its difficult to argue 2/1 is value.
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bizarre decision by Haggas to pull him out of Hunt Cup when ground was riding 'like a carpet', no jar... now, over 10f the question is, will he stay on rain-softened ground? Has to be a question mark there.
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have backed CIRCUMVENT at 35s on here.
goes well fresh, good form and goes on ground. have a feeling theyve been waiting for this race. green dest right fav but not playin big bucks and like my selection. gl lads. |
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People just seem to be backing the horse they think will win irrespective of value.
If there was more horses like Green Destiny to lay I think I'd totally switch to laying only. If you backed it at 2/1 or less the chance of you winning long term is remote- plenty did meaning there is good money to be made laying horses of this type. |