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there are 5-6 genuine contenders so Frankel's current price is ridculous. he is the most likely winner and if he was 4-5 I will steam in but not at these odds. anyone remember Rainbow view last season?
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Rainbow View hated fast ground; Frankel loves it. The only concern is his draw in 1 with the Hills pacemaker drawn on the other side, with the 2nd and 3rd fav inside him, potentially making it trick for Queally to move across and get a nice tow off Rerouted.
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is draw 1 on the rail or middle of the course?
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ive a strong feeling hes not going to win!
pathfork all day fo me. gl |
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I have nice ante post bets on Cassemento, Pathfork and Native Khan all at very big prices nothing substantial.
Frankels price is way too short the only thing it beat of note was Roderic O'Connoer and Cassmento and Pathfork have a line through that as well Having said that I would be surprised if it does not win, its a pity strong suit ran so bad a few weeks ago otherwise we would know how good Frankels recent form is |
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pathfork's form is arguably stronger but can he improve. Frankel seems to have a lot left in the tank.
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problem with Cassamento and RC is that they need further than a mile. the unexposed one is Fury although I believe Frankel wins this.
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It will be interesting to see what tactics they use on Saturday as they cant be happy that the pacemaker is right at the other end of the draw. Id think that Hills will try and keep them in the centre if possible as if he comes stand side Queally will have to switch back in as you ideally wouldnt want a colt who shifts right at the end of his races isolated on the outside whilst it would be some feat to get them to go far side.
Stall 1 is far side |
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his price at around 4/7 in the shops is way too short he may win but this will be run at a furious pace and he has 5-6 realistic challengers this is the guineas everything will be trying for its life ,as ive said before at the price hes a lay for me ,ive seen a good few so called guineas good things beat ,appalache, st,nick ,to name a few that said if he wins well i will be happy for henry .
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the faster the better.
he will just settle better. even if he doesnt settle he will still win. if Henry says this is the best horse he has ever trained then its got to be a superstar. only something going wrong stops it winning imo |
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Yeah as Diktak says his price is ridiculous he should be 1/8. All this crap I read about no value!! what the heck does no value mean. If Frankel WINS and you back him he's great value at any price if he gets beat then he's crap value.
If one thinks he's the wrong price and should be longer then let's be having you. Put him up at evens and you'll get matched for every penny you have. That's the great thing about Betfair is you can do more than talk if you think a horse is priced wrong, you can change that price albeit for the blink of an eye if that long. Realistically speaking Frankel should be around 1/8 to win but the only reason he isn't is that the stats say he's beatable so the layers will always take the chance. I just happen to think Frankel is no ordinary "superstar", I think he's the best we've seen in the last 40 years and only a miracle or a freak accident can stop him winning by a considerable margin. |
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"Having said that I would be surprised if it does not win, its a pity strong suit ran so bad a few weeks ago otherwise we would know how good Frankels recent form is "
agree totally why he was cut after his reappearance run remains a total mystery, Harrington's horse is the value. |
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i think he'll win too but too and will back him big at 8/11 or bigger. to say he is the best ever is too early, he has only beaten one horse of any note and that is RC.
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By: This user is online. G1 Jockey 4
Date Joined: 17 Sep 02 Add contact | Send message When: 28 Apr 11 23:10 Joined: Date Joined: 17 Sep 02 | Topic/replies: 2,948 | Blogger: G1 Jockey 4's blog if Henry says this is the best horse he has ever trained then its got to be a superstar. I we had a quid everytime Henry said this we'd be laughing. Sabrehill anyone? |
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I laid him, so not happy. But even I have to admit, that was quite an impressive performance...
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i backed him awesome
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