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TOP3MAN
14 Aug 20 18:08
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Date Joined: 08 Jan 12
| Topic/replies: 5,616 | Blogger: TOP3MAN's blog
I've just rated the 18.19 Nottingham - Using an excel spreadsheet it takes into account timeform adjusted times, forcasts by both RP and Timeform, Recent performance, handicap rating on recent previous races, class, age, amount of runs, How the bookies saw it in recent runs (oods), Best times on recent places & wins, strike rate, kennel form and best recent TF time over distance.

Using the % of how those factors each pair up to an nominal value - it then calculates the chance and converts to odds using 100%.

Therefore after I had spent 20 minutes recording the data into the correct cells (human error can happen) - it compiles using the forumla's.

So the 18.19 Nottingham has come out as the following :-

Trap - Price
5 = 3.31
1 = 4.79
4 = 5.03
6 = 5.95
2 = 15.01
3 = 18.08

Timeform go 4 & 1/5 JT 2nd fav RP goes 5 - 1 - 4

In fact Racingpost go along the same lines as myself on odds.

Early signs are that the market run along the same lines.

How do you rate the race or maybe you want to swap ratings on a few races each day
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Report TOP3MAN August 15, 2020 2:50 AM BST
Harlow.

8.27
my tricast 1-5-4 RP 3-1-4 TF 5-4-1 ( 1 & 4 is in all 3)

9.02
my tricast 6-2-5 RP 1-6-2 TF 2-6-3 (2 & 6 is in all 3)

9.34
my tricast 5-2-3 RP 3-6-5 TF 5-3-2 ( 5 & 3 is in all 3)

9.52
my tricast 4-2-5 RP 4-5-6 TF 2-1-4 (Only 4 in all 3)

10.07
my Tricast 2-1-6 RP 6-1-4 TF 1-4-3 (Only 1 in all 3)
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