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Chopper76
29 May 13 09:25
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Date Joined: 09 May 10
| Topic/replies: 296 | Blogger: Chopper76's blog
Maybe this topic is a bit premature as we should maybe wait until most firms go up in case we are educating their traders but I'm just throwing it out there

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Replies: 37
By:
BJG
When: 29 May 13 10:23
Cannot believe Droopys Jet isnt odds on drawn one
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 29 May 13 10:38
lay Eske win and place
By:
AWOOGA
When: 29 May 13 10:41
Airlie impact heat1
By:
woodmanchester
When: 29 May 13 13:41
Liking 2/1 Slick Santiago. Ran 28.40s off a 4.78 split on his debut here and was a silly 270 antepost on the exchanges for outright honours very recently. Looks a very weak heat to me
By:
Zach_Thomas54
When: 29 May 13 16:07
Agree Woody... also 4/6 Eden Star in that poor heat looks a cracking price to me
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 29 May 13 18:32
OUT OF 26 HEATS YOU FIND 4/6 POKE AS VALUE

I COULD SAY FARLOE CHICO WIN 8/11 BUT MY BLIND NAN POINT THAT ONE OUT TO MELaugh
By:
woodmanchester
When: 29 May 13 19:20
Think 4/6 is value about a 2/5 shot Wink
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 29 May 13 19:30
YOU WOULD!
By:
Zach_Thomas54
When: 29 May 13 22:57
I think it should be 1/3 which = value at 4/6... I could pick a 20/1 loser if you want?
By:
irishone
When: 29 May 13 23:24
Heat 4 Silverview Pinky 10-1
Heat 5 Jolly Bullseye 9-2
Heat 13 Be Real 8-1
Heat 14 Smiler Jack 10-1
Heat 17 Blanco 4-1
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 30 May 13 07:19
4-6 - 20-1 bit of diffence
4-6 not a working mans bet its a footballers bet
£600 or £6000 bet I'm pretty sure coral wont lay that type
Even with that we lay £10k bollox !!

Value there be bits about but when a good firm
Like hills go first its card been marked by some !

value Friday bets not many IMO think Saturday better punting card myself

think Jaytee hell cat win great draw 6 go ping he pick it up 1-2 do each other early
backed clavin but I'm on what hills pays me out its a total match with 6
see how I feel what else's I back
Saturday like lots but main bets fire height spec think it clear one be good night
And best Irish thing stonepark crash!

4 just about working mans prices !
By:
irishone
When: 30 May 13 07:33
I can see where fattie is coming from though
To win a ton would cost you 150 Zach
At 10/1 the same ton is going to cost you just 10.

You cant beat that for value can you ?

now whether or not the dog wins is a different matter .
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 30 May 13 07:53
If he believes Eden Star is a 2/5 shot and he's priced up at 4/6 it is value in his eyes

For the same 10/1 shot to be as much value he'd have to have made him a 4/1 shot
By:
Zach_Thomas54
When: 31 May 13 01:42
I get where you are coming from that it is a short price but PF summed it up perfect.

If I had to give a big price which I think is value, then Bridge Honcho at 10/1 is too big. In that race I am also all over 5 and 6 reverse forecast at 40 & 50/1 (365) as I think Rodge will ruin Eske and Tango's race.
By:
irishone
When: 31 May 13 02:15
absolute drivel p f, its a 6% difference compared to a 55% difference, what the feck you on about ?

these ferry crossings are fecking boring Laugh
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 31 May 13 07:52
If you believe it is a 2/5 shot you believe it has a 71.43% chance of winning - If the bookmakers price it 4/6 they're saying it has a 60% chance of winning so you believe they are wrong by 11.43%


If you believe it is a 4/1 shot you believe it has a 20% chance of winning - If the bookmakers price it 10/1 they're saying it has a 9.09% chance of winning so you believe they are wrong by 10.91%
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 31 May 13 07:54
by your theory the books pricing up a 50/1 shot at 100/1 is a bigger rick than them pricing up a 2/1 shot at 7/2 - now who's talking drivel??
By:
woodmanchester
When: 31 May 13 08:00
Zach, you can get 14/1 Bridge Honcho with Baldfred
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 31 May 13 08:02
Baldy obviously has no intentions of taking on Eske during the competition judging by how they've priced tonights heat
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 31 May 13 09:02
Have backed both Isabels and Honcho. Can see bottom shooting clear but 5 picking him up if getting a run just behind. Just cant see how Eske avoids a crash.
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 31 May 13 09:03
that happens DML and my laptop will probably be fckd out the window Sad
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 31 May 13 09:07
mine was last night. Cry
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 31 May 13 09:11
Sad hopefully all back tonight
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 31 May 13 09:20
will do if Honcho wins

You wouldnt believe what I meant to back and then actually laid. Unbelievable. Sometimes, occassionally, one can act like a right knut
By:
supchal1ce
When: 31 May 13 09:30
Anyone here get any Honcho 14s at Baldfred? I got the usual carve on a small ew bet. Why do they bother pricing if they won't lay?
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 31 May 13 09:33
no but got a bit on the 5s Isabels and in a few doubles with some horses

will the Derby Final night standing dish be going for the British Bred again this year Sup? just incase we need a get out of jail card Silly
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 31 May 13 09:41
I want Platinumlancelot back.
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 31 May 13 09:51
14s was huge but again did tipex Fred lay any!!
By:
supchal1ce
When: 31 May 13 10:27
Fattie - Fred cut me to 25 ew at 14s so I got a little on but not what I wanted. (Hoping for the Hove Olympic sectional 4.09 in hope more than anything).

PF - I certainly hope so, as long as the old boy is fit and well. It would be rude not to go for the hat trick. Trap 2 with a slug inside, please!
By:
woodmanchester
When: 31 May 13 12:30
Done, are you sure you can see Bridge Honcho picking up Isabels Boy if that "shoots clear". Always thought Honcho needed to lead to be at best, also Isabels has winning form over 549m
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 31 May 13 13:34
Sure? No. Think? Yes. Thats why Ive backed both! Honcho for more tho, and it is possible he can lead. Plenty of money for him last time and completely missed the up. Just me, tho. GL
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 31 May 13 13:36
Could only dream £25 ew with Fred

And when I ring sp only dog cut!
14 huge price its a race I'm not playing
We all think rodge do eske another thing doing it !

Just wsnt honcho go though !
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 31 May 13 13:39
watch Eske win at 11-10 and a lot of moaning! Laugh
By:
gwladys street
When: 31 May 13 13:42
decent value tonight

aero tobias at 12's
knockglass billy at odds against
paradise martini at 3's

good luck all
By:
noflapleft
When: 31 May 13 19:35
Easy 3 miss it 5 got smashed happy to lay next time  w d winners
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 31 May 13 20:46
best value was 4-5 Eske
By:
woodmanchester
When: 02 Jun 13 09:23
...but nobody on here wanted him Done. They were too busy trying to get him eliminated!
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