Greyhounds
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
11 Mar 13
11:26
Joined:
Date Joined:
13 Jun 06
All welcome
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 177
|
By:
Morning, Wonders. Morning, all. Do we shake hands at the start of these things now ?
 |
|
By:
morning
 |
|
By:
a delay
 why doesnt that surprise me |
|
By:
morning P, RC
had a 28/1 winner on saturday  only to a fiver though as I didn't fancy it |
|
By:
Let that be a lesson to you, young Wonders
|
|
By:
at ayr that is
don't bet dogs at them prices |
|
By:
Any thing at a non-working man's price for Chelters ?
|
|
By:
no racing yet
 |
|
By:
what's the lesson RC?
|
|
By:
Just kidding but a bit of kelly is sometimes a good idea
|
|
By:
right whats the odds either gets abandonded or both
 |
|
By:
tbh RC for many many reasons that isn't my thing
|
|
By:
Have faith, P
|
|
By:
Delays galore
|
|
By:
Yup. I reckon you need a big bank for kelly but for someone who has a price in their head I'd have thought some modified kelyy would be good.
|
|
By:
i have no faith its all goneeeeeeeeeeee
|
|
By:
slobber chops would call it wrong anyway p
|
|
By:
If this 11:11 gets run I reckon 5 has a nice chance at t abig price ... beat t2 on Feb4 fair and square
|
|
By:
monmore has a good card
|
|
By:
it has its merits RC but is flawed imo when applied to real life betting
|
|
By:
Out of interest Wonders if you didnt fancy it why bet it?Im guessing it was to do with price/value but if that was the case then why diminish your stake?
Not having a go,im genuinelly interested. |
|
By:
By the way i agree.Kelly suites some types of betting but for example betting IR you dont exactly have time to calculate the exact value of every bet etc.
|
|
By:
Isn't it part of the psychology of betting that big prices put people off ?
|
|
By:
I do think it takes either strength of character or stupidity not to be influenced
|
|
By:
if i gave a mate ashort price tip he has a score on it if its a 33-1 shot a fiver
why |
|
By:
its a lower variance approach beebs, not put off by big prices but losing runs kill most people if they are just betting long prices, old favourite longshot bias is an outdated argument imo since betfair came along
|
|
By:
No RC,i dissagree.What it takes not to be influinced is hard facts and if you do something long enough and realise that if you dont let your stake be affected by price you will win more longterm then it becomes easy not to let your stake be influinced.
Obviously for those who lose longterm then this is irrelevant. |
|
By:
MM, Experience then ?
|
|
By:
hall green is gunna be off the track is frozen and it aint getting no warmer
|
|
By:
hall green less than 50-50, as i said in my main post, cheltenham has 45 acres of frost covers, hall green has none it seems, always a monday if ever called off, no one fancies doing any work early monday or on a sunday it seems. frozen down back
|
|
By:
You're not wrong, P. Certainly getting no warmer.
|
|
By:
Yes RC.The one regret i have up until now is the inability to work excel and do spreadsheets because the amount i have learned simply by documenting things and a piece of paper is amazing.Its that bad that i have even considered doing a course to learn excel.
|
|
By:
you are right bookie, that is 1 of the pitfalls of kelly
re the horse, imo the jockey is the best kid to come through northern jumps racing since I've been into racing *cough* going back to the 90s, I follow the northern stuff quite closely and it is an opinion based on both visual impression and a number of stats I have compiled which won't be put on here but I would discuss in brief via PM if you were that interestedin a word he is brilliant and almost everything ridden by him is overpriced imo, I bet the first winner strongly but it was pretty obvious tbh, lumping on 28/1 shots isn't my thing at all but nor is passing up on the bet either horse got a lovely ride, as did all his 5 winners last week tbh |
|
By:
Yes, MM. Excel imo a great tool. I download the form into it and do all sorts.
|
|
By:
heatwave strikes brum
|
|
By:
Opening show at Sheff
|
|
By:
on 6 at 5/2 in the first.
|
|
By:
4/6 here
|
|
By:
5 sav 3&6 casts 5/2 6/2
|