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noflapleft
17 Dec 12 17:07
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Date Joined: 04 Dec 10
| Topic/replies: 2,429 | Blogger: noflapleft's blog
Looks hard draw for Molly addy Capoley ash looks a bet

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By:
Addy_D
When: 17 Dec 12 17:27
just done a 2hr punch bag/weights work out flaps and to be honest, im absolutely crispy ducked, will do the card tomorrow i imagine. glancing at the entries i do want to be with something quite strong in one of the races price dependant. suppose i will just wait for woody to point me in the right direction Laugh
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 17 Dec 12 17:51
'price dependent'

that should be everybodys mantra

gl all, even if we dont know what we are backing yet
By:
patrick starr
When: 17 Dec 12 17:56
Race 1 at 19:25 (Open RACE)

Benkaat Blue    2-3-1-1-2
Salacres Vision    1-3-3-4-5
Hugo You Go    4-3-1-5-3
Paulees Stevie    1-T-5-4-5
Malbay Phanter    1-1-T-T-T
Alterra    4-1-T-6-T

Race 2 at 19:40 (Open Race 480M Flat)             
   
Hollyoak Laelaps5-1-T-T-1
Longwood Warrior1-1-1-T-4
Islas Scolari    4-5-2-3-1
Dinner Hunter    2-4-6-1-3
Lenson Champ    1-1-1-5-T
Forest Will    5-1-T-3-3

Race 3 at 20:00 (Open Race 480M Hurdles)             

Westmead Melanie3-2-T-T-4
Billis Renegade    1-T-T-4-2
Victoria Falls    1-4-1-T-6
Airforce Spirit    4-1-5-4-4
Lenson Teddy    2-1-2-4-T
Farloe Bowser    3-2-2-1-4

Race 4 at 20:15 (Open Race 480M Flat)             
   
Forest Dot    4-1-2-T-2
Westmead Diva    2-1-6-4-4
Cavan Dancer    6-1-1-3-T
Sherrys Rebound    6-3-2-1-T
Jaytee Cuba    1-4-3-3-T
Ballintine Molly1-5-1-5-1

Race 5 at 20:35 (Open Race 273M Flat)             

Lil Risky    2-1-1-T-5
Drumcove Lad    3-3-T-T-6
Airforce Shadow    3-T-3-4-4
Comeragh King    2-1-3-2-T
Oscars Cobra    3-4-1-2-3
Guinness Smokie    1-5-4-1-2

Race 6 at 20:50 (Open Race 894M Flat)             

Aero Rebel    1-4-2-3-2
Storm Pockets    3-1-T-3-T
Avite Beauty    T-4-T-3-T
Grazeley June    T-1-2-2-4
Bridge Diva    2-4-3-1-5
Capoley Ash    T-5-1-T-T

Race 7 at 21:10 (Open Race 687M Flat)             

Airforce Harlem    2-2-1-1-1
Coolavanny Fairy6-4-3-2-2
Bubbly Swallow    4-1-5-5-1
Express Trend    3-4-1-6-2
Ding Hero    1-1-4-4-2
Peggys Style    6-4-1-1-1

Race 8 at 21:25 (Open Race 480M Flat)             
   
Star Cash Simon    1-2-2-2-5
Roses Rockin    2-1-T-T-T
Longwood Bound    1-4-1-T-3
Jaytee Hellcat    T-3-T-1-T
Loughteen BlancoT-2-2-T-T
King Bradley    1-2-6-4-T

Race 9 at 21:45 ***OAKS FINAL 2012***             
   
Droopys Loner    1-1-2-2-T
Forest Mollie    2-3-2-T-T
Aero Scramble    3-2-1-T-T
Lemon Velvet    1-3-3-T-2
Skate On    3-2-1-T-T
Droopys Hope    2-1-1-1-T
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 17 Dec 12 18:35
at first glance apart from the final, there seems one bet in one of the stayers races. may well be overpriced.
By:
Addy_D
When: 17 Dec 12 19:01
thats the race im looking at Plain
By:
Hove_Park_Upper_School
When: 17 Dec 12 19:55
O/T, but unlucky with your Big Bucks bet Addy_D. Sad
By:
Addy_D
When: 17 Dec 12 20:07
ah f*ck what an absolute kick in the cunjo that is!! i could cry Cry

just hope he comes back and does a kicking king, but thats rank Sad
By:
Hove_Park_Upper_School
When: 17 Dec 12 21:49
I really hope that Mark Wallis can get Lil Risky home in the sprint as, like many, I've backed it to be Sky Top Dog, and a win would make it a triple dead heat, which is better than a loss!

Also surprised that Bridge Ruth is not on the card in a supporting race as must have been trained to peak this Thursday, expecting to be in the final?
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 17 Dec 12 23:50
looked at few races
9.25 think roses be a price
On the inside of bound this time, a better break too
My worry is hellcat which I think is badly drawn! getting a run
why blanco came back god knows from so called winter rest well that what I thought 416 monmore mad
than that spin 29sec puts me off too!
so roses to ping   
star cash in red stepping back in trip not for me

Also looked at 8.35
think risky took the 416 at monmore had good draw IMO think he's not a short sprinter anymore
Drum think he's not what he was either
The dog in 3 not a sprinter beat easy at crayford Saturday
4 dog notts times are ok but I'm not going to take any notice of them also think
Oscars in 5 as a bad draw will move middle
So smokie is the bet run well last sky at wimbo behind jess
By:
noflapleft
When: 19 Dec 12 18:50
Fancy Peggy.  In six
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 19 Dec 12 19:10
Wang to have a big bet tomorrow but its raining cats and dogs tomorrow in London!!
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 19 Dec 12 19:11
Wang ffs do fancy a chinkie tonight
By:
Addy_D
When: 19 Dec 12 19:50
flaps peggys was what i fancied in that race, got on the 3/1 with 365 now anyway, they are 5/2 now, hopefully someone goes 3/1+ tomorrow again, hills are only 2s though
By:
track record
When: 19 Dec 12 20:34
addy
dont know how u manage to keep a 365 a/c
mine long since gone Sad
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 19 Dec 12 20:39
Like jaytee Cuba in five she got nice ep and showed guts last week at hove
got to out trap Cavan in 3 who move wide but that bitch run no sort of race for my Antepost money Saturday
Molly in six is a danger but I think she inbeteewner myself 4-6 bender with ep but think jaytee has more pace 480m
By:
Addy_D
When: 19 Dec 12 20:39
they're not mine Wink
By:
track record
When: 19 Dec 12 20:47
ShockedLaugh
By:
track record
When: 19 Dec 12 20:48
ive got a few bets in mind but with all the rain predicted tonight/tommorrow
worried bout the going
By:
Addy_D
When: 19 Dec 12 20:51
havent got any accounts left TR but half a hills account. just got a spreadsheet with all the firms across and underneath names of people i know that can bet with each firm, so will always be able to get on, thats why i dont understand the firms, if they played ball and let someone have a bet that was remotely fair people wouldnt get on subtly and they would know where the money is coming from and choose whether to lay it or use the bet as a mark.

actually got a few opinions tomorrow but im not betting them until the morning so will put everything else up tomorrow. you fancy much?
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 19 Dec 12 20:54
lol addy, guess what I wanted to back?

Im on large at 5-2, the only one I want to be with bar the final.

GL
By:
Addy_D
When: 19 Dec 12 20:58
lol sorry DML Scared

put her in at 7/4 think she got a lovely make up and runs the track exceptionally.
By:
Addy_D
When: 19 Dec 12 20:59
lol sorry DML Scared

put her in at 7/4 think she got a lovely make up and runs the track exceptionally.

sent you a message TR
By:
track record
When: 19 Dec 12 21:02
i get on with a few independants
or by running around like a headless chicken at 8am  Laugh

going to take a chance with one that has been beaten at short prices of late
but cud well pop out just when people desert / subject to price but looks
fair value already
also looking at 2 others but will either be v small bets for interest or
decent plays if theyre a bit of value

had a nice bet at 11/4 d loner before semis but not sure about t1 although
my main concern was being drawn outside skate on so cant complain bout draw
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 19 Dec 12 21:03
tr, I know that one! I thought the same but wont take the chance
By:
gwladys street
When: 19 Dec 12 21:32
Lenson champ value at 9/2.   Comeragh  king in the sprint and grazeley June in the marathon interesting and will play depending on price and track conditions.  Gd luck all
By:
VALUEMAN
When: 20 Dec 12 08:11
One bet on this card, the books have priced up the 894 totally wrong IMO.

It will be chicken or feathers for christmas dinner , will know at 20.51 Excited
By:
FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK
When: 20 Dec 12 08:16
Last sky meet going to try go out with a bang

Main bet smokie 7/2 7.1 win wanted a ton on but that do
Cuba 5 points win
Roses 4 points win
Skate on 2 points 6/1 2.4 points 8/1
VITO at hove 4 points 4/1

got £5 win doubles too

gl all hope the rain don't **** us
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 20 Dec 12 08:26
Gone in again on Hope, am totally confident.

Wish that Malbay Phanter was in 6 at Hove tonight, would be a 1-3 shot!

Watch out for Henlow, it WILL be all outside
By:
noflapleft
When: 20 Dec 12 08:35
Sick hope the going is nice and fast tonight:]CryCry
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 20 Dec 12 08:50
Should i worry about a possible bias at Hove?
By:
Addy_D
When: 20 Dec 12 10:13
not sure about hove but i definitely am about wimbledon, fair bit of rain overnight and rain forecast from 11am all the way through the day. http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2633866

in terms of bets;

7.40 half a bet on longwood warrior at the minute. think it leads up red to the bend and islas isnt trapping for whatever reason. because of my fears of going ive had less than i wanted and will assess it later.

8.00 no bet hurdles

8.15 gave forest dot a good chance, good enough draw and think cuba might hold us up out wide. 3 dog is fairly priced and wouldnt be surprised to see sherrys rebound run a race at a price. if going is fine will bet forest dot, 10/3 and 7/2 seems more than fair.

8.35 no bet yet, lil risky is always punted sky nights and if it goes short i might lay him but not desperate to play in the race.

8.50 very much respect aero rebel now drawn along the fence here, but with the going a possible factor i think 5/2 capoley ash is big, especially as likely to get first run. probably want to be against storm pockets, not sure it would pick rebel and ash up.

9.10 very strong bet peggys style at 3/1. great draw, possibly see a bit of inside scrimmaging between 2-5 on the run up. should get a clear around the bend anyway. respect swallow or trend if either blast out and lead like they did first round of st leger.

9.25 blanco the class in the race and really wanted to play at 5/2 but was just put off by what seemed an average trial. dont recall ever seeing him run around here and if i knew for certain he ran the place ok id have played but i just have a few reservations. can see why some money for him anyway.

9.45 siding with DML here and droopys hope, just hope she gets a clear around the bend, but loner was going to have to do everything right anyway, but drawn in red at wimbledon with going concerns the 2/1 hope is looking appealing.

good luck everyone in whatever you play especially if you bet what im on lol
By:
Addy_D
When: 20 Dec 12 10:16
and had a £5 lucky 31 on molly, smokie, ash, peggys and hope, all in 6, gonna start a rain dance lol
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 20 Dec 12 10:21
Blanco ran Juvenile night, McKenna brought him over. He didn't come away and finished down the field behind Boher Paddy and Jayfkay.

Only played 3 tonight:

Ballintine Molly @ 4/1
Bridge Diva @ 10/1
Peggys Style @ 3/1
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 20 Dec 12 10:22
Thought Ardkill Star was a fair price @ 13/8 at Hove
By:
Addy_D
When: 20 Dec 12 10:39
good luck mate especially your first one Grin
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 20 Dec 12 10:43
Hoping she will follow 5 around and pick her up.

Wish they'd hurry up with this bloody Champions League draw so i can go for a few hours kip.

GL tonight
By:
Bishy
When: 20 Dec 12 10:59
Aero Scramble n/r kennel sickness
By:
YDNA_got_it_right_now
When: 20 Dec 12 12:36
so the general consensus here is that even if loner can make the bend in front and hope is handy she will pick her up?
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 20 Dec 12 12:55
I believe so. Will be very close but off the last and especially with the going, I take her to win. I also think she may well lead off the 2nd as there is a chance there will be grief amongst the floods.

Very interesting as Loner is 480max whereas I reckon Hope will be the Leger winner next year 

Ive never liked Ash but if this rain gets in, as it must do, I make the runner a 11-10 chance they have no chance of picking the dog up in front imo
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