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Kwijibo
19 Nov 09 07:23
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Date Joined: 13 Apr 07
| Topic/replies: 712 | Blogger: Kwijibo's blog
Traps 1 and 2 both slow starters both should be a couple of lths down off the pace by the first band with not enough overall pace to make up the gap after the 2nd bend.

Trap 3 to get a nice run off the rail , back on 08/10 and 15/10 and 10/11 had the early on the inside but only managed 28.44 , 28.64 and 28.89 so maybe up with it but watch out on the outer.

Traps 4 , 5 and 6 all start within a length of each other so is a danger of messing it up for each other but providing they don't knock each other over the pick looks to be the 5 with an improving 28.25 last time out could be 'thrown in' after coming back from a trial on the 10th.

LAY : Either 1 or 2 (why not both ??)

In Running (why not) : Lay off the 3 at evens after backing it at 6.0 pre off.

BACK : The 5 , give it a 40% chance of winning - not clever enough to work out the odds expected it in a 6 runner race what the odds should be if opinion suggests wins 4 times out of ten given the same race conditions ???

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Replies: 7
By:
ROMFORD-EXILE
When: 19 Nov 09 07:27
Kwijibo

in running?

Am I missing something here
By:
Kwijibo
When: 19 Nov 09 07:30
Ey up- Rom,

Yeah i know - it doesn't exist - but seemed a good thing to put based on how i think that dog will run !
By:
ROMFORD-EXILE
When: 19 Nov 09 07:32
ok mate. :-)
By:
loilyloo
When: 19 Nov 09 08:33
40% chance of winning = 6/4
By:
Kwijibo
When: 19 Nov 09 10:17
T.5 is 2.7
By:
Kwijibo
When: 19 Nov 09 10:21
well T.3 'odds on' in running 2 lengths clear off the 2nd bend beaten - winner from the outside traps with 6 and 4 in the frame
By:
DirteeHarry
When: 19 Nov 09 10:28
Not from any planet I know of
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