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raspberrybottom
26 Jan 22 17:43
Joined:
Date Joined: 24 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 53,577 | Blogger: raspberrybottom's blog
Did okay last year - posted my picks on General Betting under dib dob's thread. (Have a look if you like Happy)

Thought I'd come over here and see how it goes....Happy

Usually back 5 or 6 and look to lay a bit back here and there.

Farmers Insurance

J Thomas 19
S Burns 25
M Leishman 42
J Spieth 55
C Conners 55
M Wolff 70

Good luck all Happy
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Report TameTheTiger March 17, 2024 10:43 PM GMT
You can't say you weren't entertained loui.
Report themightymac March 17, 2024 11:09 PM GMT
Unlucky loui with Clark. Should have made it a play-off.
Report Platini March 17, 2024 11:33 PM GMT
Getting a bit fed up with Scheffler now. Injury my ****  Wink
Report raspberrybottom March 18, 2024 9:08 AM GMT
Players Championship

L Aberg 44 8th
S Burns 50
W Clark 65 tied 2nd
Byeong Un Han 95
Cam Davis 130
K Mitchell 150
Kevin Yu 320
L List 350
Report loui March 18, 2024 10:34 AM GMT
Was painful watching Clark Saturday, he was all over the show, scrambling saves a total collapse, then Harman joined the top 3, but Scheffler came strong and done it again. Clarkey went erratic last week too when it mattered.
Report Platini March 18, 2024 11:40 AM GMT
Painful is def the word, Loui. A painful lesson learned there regarding trading and taking profit in running.
After Day 2 was over, Clark was 4 clear and priced as short as 7/4 on here.  I could have greened up, and taken around £150 profit, but instead I just took my £50 stake back (on all my selections) by laying at 7/4 and letting the rest run.  £450 profit was the prize, if he won, so I gave up £150 for the chance of winning 3 times that.

But looking back now, that was a poor strategy. It was only halfway, 4 shots is not that much at half way, esp with Scheffler, Schauffele and a few others lurking. It might have been the right move after Day 3 maybe, but not after Day 2.

I think the lesson is green up early if the profit is decent enough (I think 3x your total stake is decent). Even if your selection goes on to win, there's every chance he trades at a much bigger price before the end, and you can use a little of your green profit to back him again and boost your profit.

How did you get on, Loui ?  Did you trade any of it ?  What about you Rasp ?  I know you like to trade a bit. How did you play it ?
Report loui March 18, 2024 1:33 PM GMT
I didn’t trade out platini, but I had a bit on scheffler at 5/1 on another betting site that was doing freebies for new customers, but agree with you with getting out when Clark was wobbling. Thing was I also had Harman who come through the field to 2 shots behind Shauffelle on Saturday so my cash held up despite Clark struggling. Bit annoying they both finished 1 shot behind, but that’s golf betting, highly volatile.
Report england_v_south_afri March 18, 2024 4:37 PM GMT
Good effort with Clark. That final putt just had to drop in and it would have been a playoff.
Report Senyatta March 20, 2024 5:23 PM GMT
That's two short priced favs in a row - the same player. I was waiting for the sequence of 100+ winners to come to an abrupt end and it's happened in spectacular fashion! Hard to back against the chef in augusta even as short as 9/2 - when he plays well he wins. MW Lee @ 42 this week for me lads. GL
Report raspberrybottom March 20, 2024 5:31 PM GMT
Good luck, senyatta!

My "octet" will be up in a mo....Happy
Report raspberrybottom March 20, 2024 5:39 PM GMT
Valspar Championship

My form of the last 2/3 years seems to have deserted me at the moment - although I've been close a few times this season.

Looking forward to seeing Doug Ghim and Aaron Rai do well here!
(Along with one of my favourites - Andy Putnam).
One or two longshots included as per...

B Harman 25
S Straka 42
D Ghim 46
A Rai 55
A Putnam 80
Carson Young 230
T Duncan 280
B Garnett 370

Good luck all.Happy
Report loui March 21, 2024 10:32 AM GMT
Having a go with

N Taylor 42

Straka 42

M Mcnealy 60

A Schenk 70

J Stanger 260

Good luck with yours lads
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl March 21, 2024 11:06 AM GMT
Schenk is an interesting pick loui. Have him e/w for this, as he has been consistent, (kind of!), with a -9 last week and level with Rory. Will also chance 2 of the raspberry mans with putnam + harman. Good to all. The lads were unlucky on here last week as Scottie roared home when he 25/1 Sunday morning I have been told.
Report loui March 21, 2024 11:31 AM GMT
Done Schenk &Mcnealy for the same reason Jay, showing some form I hope, always do a couple of small trixies across the tournaments hoping that one day get one or close
Report TameTheTiger March 22, 2024 11:24 AM GMT
Did Harman miss the cut here last year ? I cant see beyond Shauffele, Speith or Thomas, admittedly knowing first round scores helps
Report Senyatta March 23, 2024 2:01 AM GMT
think it's a bit of a lottery lads. had thomas last week and he plays like a weekend hacker misses the cut. probably hoses up this week when i've chosen Min Woo Lee who was 2 under last week but this week i'd have probbaly beaten him myself!

we're seeing more and more 300-1000 shots going into 50/1 and lower a lot this season. this week has been littered with them. the more i watch the more i don't think anyone will get near scheffler at augusta. nobody seems to have his killer instinct at all
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl March 23, 2024 9:45 AM GMT
Senyatta I would agree with that summing up of the current situation. The cut line this week is -1. With 22 players on level par, and a further 17 or so on +1 plenty good players gone, including Spieth, Burns, Putnam and Harman (+2). Schenk was lobbing along nicely enough till he gave away two shots at the last. Probably ruling him out of reaching a top 10 finish bar a miracle. Seems anyone can win these tournaments now. Leona Maguire in with a shout in the LPGA. at -6.
Report england_v_south_afri March 23, 2024 1:57 PM GMT
I think that technology has leveled the playing feel no end. I'm on Lucas Glover this week.
Report TameTheTiger March 24, 2024 4:45 PM GMT
I'll be laying Mitchell at around 2/1 final round. Only won once in 169 starts. He's very solid tee to green, but doesnt hole many putts. To win a tournament you usually have to hole putts in the final round.
Report loui March 24, 2024 8:37 PM GMT
Peter Malnati would be a popular winner, ttt go and collect
Report Senyatta March 24, 2024 8:50 PM GMT
some collapse mitchell. good call T
Report loui March 24, 2024 9:03 PM GMT
Been a lot of players losing about 4 or 5 shots in as many holes in this comp. Course is the  boss here
Report casemoney March 24, 2024 9:28 PM GMT
Leader been matched at 1000
Report Senyatta March 24, 2024 9:37 PM GMT
think malnati starting price was about 750 on here. think we stick to the outsiders lads unless the chef is in the field! the two shorties were scheffler otherwise the winners have been monster prices all year bar maybe one(knapp around 50/1)
Report TameTheTiger March 24, 2024 9:43 PM GMT
I laid Shauffelle at 4.3 after he had played just 8 holes in the first round. Madness price. Traded a fair % back since though. Superb final round from him to be fair.
Report england_v_south_afri March 25, 2024 6:10 PM GMT
Great call on the lay of Mitchell. He had an absolute shocker of a final round.
Report TameTheTiger March 25, 2024 8:51 PM GMT
Was the free drop Malnati took on the 16th(?) in the spirit of the game ? Was his stance really affected by the sprinkler ? Went from a really bad lie to chip from, to being able to putt from the fringe.
Report TameTheTiger March 25, 2024 8:57 PM GMT
And on to the Houston Open. Not exactly a star studded field, but at 3/1, Scheffler to win his 3rd straight tournament is a very layable price.
Report raspberrybottom March 26, 2024 6:24 PM GMT
Valspar Championship

B Harman 25
S Straka 42
D Ghim 46
A Rai 55
A Putnam 80
Carson Young 230
T Duncan 280
B Garnett 370

Sad 'Twas an absolute shocker for me....
Report alfee March 27, 2024 11:40 AM GMT
If Scottie don't win this week, it's Coz he's just bord !!!

Little Saver's on Clark N Zal


Easy this Game Silly
Report raspberrybottom March 27, 2024 4:11 PM GMT
Houston Open

Who knows what'll get thrown up this week! A crazy season - mostly.

S Theegala 20
A Noren 50
M Hughes 60
S Jaeger 70
K H Lee 110
T Montgomery 120
J Campilo 450
A Baddeley 660

Good luck all...Happy
Report Senyatta March 27, 2024 5:25 PM GMT
yes. i can't be backing scheffler at 11/4. i'd fancy him more in a stronger field at a bigger price. he might not be that bothered this week and might try things out on course that he usually wouldn't.

the rest of the field don't fill me with any confidence. when you see guys like mackenzie hughes(50/1) and mitchell(40/1) you know there's not much potential in the win only market. clark for me at 14/1 - he's about the only player in that field that would have the cojones if he was in the mix sunday.
Report loui March 28, 2024 10:51 AM GMT
Houston open

Scottie had a good few weeks last year then his putter went west for a while

Zalatoris 29

Woo Kim 32

C Yuan 120

R Hoey 140

R Moore 230

Good luck everyone
Report Senyatta March 28, 2024 12:48 PM GMT
gl all. let's hope scheffler has been out on the tear last night! would be very deflating if the tournament was over after round 1!
Report Senyatta March 28, 2024 4:36 PM GMT
walk in the park for scheffler. now into 4/1 for the masters and rightfully so. feels like the tournament is over even before half the field has teed off!
Report TameTheTiger March 28, 2024 5:43 PM GMT
Wonderful start for Scheffler. 54 holes still to go, alot can happen in golf.
7/4 after round 1, having touched 5/4.
Report Senyatta March 28, 2024 6:40 PM GMT
yep. a few other lads seem to making a go of it. if scheffler could win this and the masters he'll have won 4 in a row which puts him in a very small list of consecutive pga wins alongside 4 other players including woods, nelson and hogan. the record seems to be 11 but different times(1940s)!
Report TameTheTiger March 29, 2024 8:23 PM GMT
Scheffler goes odds on with 45 holes left to play. Shocked
Report Senyatta March 29, 2024 10:06 PM GMT
he's been taking some swimming lessons on the back nine. still made a par on one of those holes! at least a few have a chance now for the weekend. was looking all over not too long ago
Report Senyatta March 30, 2024 2:25 AM GMT
Scheffler entered the day on a streak of 28 consecutive rounds under par on the PGA TOUR, marking a modern-era record.

Awful way for the streak to end. 3 putt from 6 feet including a tap in that he just rushed. Can't take anything for granted out there. Game on for the weekend lads!
Report TameTheTiger March 30, 2024 8:39 PM GMT
As good as he is, i cant have Scheffler at 11/8 on a compacted leaderboard. 9 players within a shot of each other. Layed him again.
Report TameTheTiger March 30, 2024 10:13 PM GMT
He found water on the par 3, made double, soon after i posted. I was feeling quite smug with myself, be he's joint leader again now.
Report Senyatta March 31, 2024 2:50 PM BST
with 11 within 2 of the lead just can't be backing him at 11/8. he's been swimming a lot and making lots of errors too so i reckon if one of the other 11 players shoots a 65(and one of them surely will) then scheffler will need to cut out all the mistakes he's been making
Report Platini March 31, 2024 11:05 PM BST
Well done, Rasp.  It was only a matter of time Cool
Report raspberrybottom April 1, 2024 9:58 AM BST
Cheers, platini.

Been very tough so far this year - one or two near misses but nice to get one over the line!
Report raspberrybottom April 1, 2024 10:00 AM BST
Houston Open

S Theegala 20
A Noren 50
M Hughes 60
S Jaeger 70 WONCool
K H Lee 110
T Montgomery 120
J Campilo 450
A Baddeley 660
Report raspberrybottom April 1, 2024 10:14 AM BST
Here's a rundown ten tournaments in:

10 Tournaments
76 Selections

Wins: 1 (@ 70)
Placed 2nd-5th (inc. ties): 7
Placed 6th-10th (inc. ties): 6

P+L to level stakes: -6

One or two hard luck stories but got to keep my selection process "as is".
Certainly been the craziest season I can remember for a long time.
This week's result has certainly pulled it round for me. On to the next one...Happy
Report Senyatta April 1, 2024 1:16 PM BST
nice one rasp! probably the most eciting tournamnet to date. lots of players in the mix throghout right down to the 72nd where 6 players could have made a birdie to force a playoff and tosti even made bogey to lose a playoff chance!
Report loui April 1, 2024 3:53 PM BST
Well done razz, was half right when I said schefflers putter let him down after a good few weeks last term
Report raspberrybottom April 1, 2024 4:54 PM BST
Ta, chaps!

Tis hard work - ain't it....Happy
Report england_v_south_afri April 1, 2024 6:11 PM BST
Great stuff Rasp !! Cool
Report raspberrybottom April 2, 2024 7:01 PM BST
Cheers, e_v_s_a !
Report chewy11 April 3, 2024 7:52 AM BST
Class is permanent, Raspberry. VWD, brought me back to almost level for the season. Augusta & Aintree next week Excited
Report raspberrybottom April 3, 2024 9:30 AM BST
Cheers, chewy!

Good luck Happy
Report raspberrybottom April 3, 2024 5:14 PM BST
Valero Texas Open

Some of the same old suspects at the top of the betting and some of the same old suspects in my picks as well!

H Matsuyama 26
A Noren 36
H English 46
R Henley 55
M McNealy 70
A Putnam 120
A Baddeley 300
B Silverman 370

If his aches and pains hold off, Matsuyama could go well and
I also like Harris English. Putnam's his usual big price but needs to
play well for at least three rounds out of four instead of his usual two!
Mav McNealy could be a little over-priced, and Baddeley definitely is!
(Shame he struggles to put consistent rounds together these days)

Good luck all. Happy
Report Senyatta April 3, 2024 7:26 PM BST
Van rooyen 95s for me. seems a lottery. GLA
Report loui April 4, 2024 1:18 PM BST
Having a go with

Fitzpatrick 34

Horschel 44

Mcnealy 65

Greyserman 160

Shmidt 180

Good luck fellas
Report Platini April 7, 2024 11:14 PM BST
Not been watching, but what has happened to Bhatia here ??
Report TameTheTiger April 7, 2024 11:16 PM BST
McCarthy finished with 7 straight birdies to tie
Report TameTheTiger April 7, 2024 11:18 PM BST
Bhatia began with a 4 stroke lead, shot 5 under and finished tied. Play off ensues
Report Platini April 7, 2024 11:40 PM BST
1.01 backers got out of jail there.
Report raspberrybottom April 8, 2024 5:11 PM BST
valero Texas Open


H Matsuyama 26 tied 7th
A Noren 36
H English 46
R Henley 55 4th
M McNealy 70
A Putnam 120
A Baddeley 300
B Silverman 370

Onward to the big one, chaps.
Report brians April 9, 2024 9:24 AM BST
Russell Henley's 4 th in the Texas is a nice lead in to the masters. He was 4th at Augusta last year too so he has pedigree AND is in form. 75s on bf at the moment so I have had a little nibble ew.
Report 1st time poster April 9, 2024 12:08 PM BST
so have i
Report Senyatta April 9, 2024 5:56 PM BST
schauffela been backed from 25 to 18 seems mad for a guy that's shown he hasn't got the head for winning a major yet. he must be burning up the course in practice because i wouldn't touch him with a barge pole at that price - instead i'd be looking at a top 10 at 13/8 and maybe a top 5 at 7/2 as his limit. won't touch his win only price
Report alfee April 9, 2024 9:01 PM BST
Iv Given Schauffele the Timeform squiggle, See's the winning line to early, NEEDS THE TOILET,STAYS THERE Grin
Report 1st time poster April 10, 2024 11:22 AM BST
my slybet hot shot £5 on rory 11,s,should get your stake back if nothing else
my 2 main ew hopes 1st 12
alberg 20,s
matsu 14,s
my halfway down the cliff hopes ew 1st 12
morikowa 45,s
max homa 50,s
my fantasy island  and should/have scored  well here 1st 12 , BUT,,,,,,
meronk 175
tommy olsen 175
but as its masters probably early night sunday with nothing in the frame Laugh
Report 1st time poster April 10, 2024 11:27 AM BST
oops missed out HENLY at 60,s on the grounds everyone thinks he,s going to be around leaderboard and  rolls his potato well,especialy here
Report Senyatta April 10, 2024 12:32 PM BST
sure i'll hop on the henley bandwagon too lads at 80! hard to see past the favourite so just covered my stake with that. plenty of huge prices on offer hopefully one of us manages to pick a winner. GLA
Report 1st time poster April 10, 2024 1:00 PM BST
come sunday night,  masters and national favs winning might end up been the easiet ,masters/national double weve had for yrs , although corach touching 7,s on betfair now
Report raspberrybottom April 10, 2024 6:00 PM BST
Masters

Tried to find some prices. Not liking the odds of the top four or fivePlain

But it's always a good watch. Let's just hope for a great tournament!

L Aberg 38
M Fitzpatrick 42
W Clark 46
T Finau 50
R Henley 80
S Burns 110
Byeong Hun An 170
H English 250
S Jaeger 310
Taylor Moore 380

Good luck all! Happy
Let's get green! Crazy
Report Des Pond April 10, 2024 8:39 PM BST
I was thinking Shauffele a few days ago, just a hunch based on him being in the mix so often, then I see him coming in a few clicks, Probably a few other punters thinking along the same lines, although it's guesswork, tbh.
Report loui April 11, 2024 11:01 AM BST
Masters 2024

Going with

Matsuyama 23

Clark 48

Hovland 48

Homa 100

Straka 240

N Taylor 340

Good luck everyone
Report raspberrybottom April 11, 2024 12:19 PM BST
Good luck, loui Happy
Report TameTheTiger April 11, 2024 1:31 PM BST
I have backed Matsuyama, and confidently layed Scheffler. Shauffele is a good shout, should be top 10.
Report TameTheTiger April 11, 2024 11:47 PM BST
I think its going to be a long weekend for me Laugh
Report 1st time poster April 14, 2024 12:02 PM BST
alberg 20,s
maxi 50,s
morikowa 45,s
all ew top 12 giving me some sunday entertainment,had va few £ at scheff before 3rd round so could be a good nights viewing
Report Senyatta April 14, 2024 1:27 PM BST
good shout on homa...no birdies yesterday but only one bogey. 2 birdies and just 2 bogeys in the last 36 holes leads me to believe he's playing the best golf and holing one or two putts could be the difference. that's who i'd be backing at 9.2. think scheffler has it(so many bogeys and doubles yet he's still winning) but i'd much rather have a small bet on homa rather than someone at odds on
Report TameTheTiger April 14, 2024 1:41 PM BST
Im not so confident about Scheffler now Blush
Report HeinzGuderian April 14, 2024 2:27 PM BST

Apr 14, 2024 -- 12:02PM, 1st time poster wrote:


alberg 20,smaxi 50,smorikowa 45,s all ew top 12 giving me some sunday entertainment,had va few £ at scheff before 3rd round so could be a good nights viewing


Seriously? In the old days we used to call that AFTER-TIMING! LaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh

Report 1st time poster April 14, 2024 2:33 PM BST
would be if the homa,morikowa,ahberg bets wernt flagged up pre tourney with plenty of loser,s  earlier up the thread and if you think after putting up 1000,s of loser,some nice winners on golf forum for 10yrs,i,d aftertime about betting a 6 to 4 shot in running,
YOU MUST BE FOOKING BARKING
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 14, 2024 4:25 PM BST
TTT...I feel same. I don't know how he ended up ahead for today. Also doubtful about Mr. Schenk making the 10 for the each way payout. Hopefully Scottie can finish it off.
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 14, 2024 4:30 PM BST
Well done there 1st time hopefully you enjoy your late nite with some joy.
Report 1st time poster April 15, 2024 8:53 AM BST
decent nights viewing places landed.scheef in running for a nice week,looked like it might be better for 9 holes but mori and homa just havnt got their A game at moment along with plenty of others and your/their hoping for scheff mistakes
funniest moment of night was morlkowa on 13th when the comms team said he could  putt this off the green into the creek, THEIR FOOKING JOKING  WERNT  THEY THE WAY HE PUTTED ON THOSE 1ST 9 HOLES, MORIK COULDNT HAVE PUTT IT INTO AN OLYMPIC SIZED SWIMMING POOL FROM 8ft DOWNHILL LaughLaugh
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 15, 2024 11:46 AM BST
Laugh
Report raspberrybottom April 15, 2024 5:10 PM BST
Masters

L Aberg 38 2nd
M Fitzpatrick 42
W Clark 46
T Finau 50
R Henley 80
S Burns 110
Byeong Hun An 170
H English 250
S Jaeger 310
Taylor Moore 380
Report Senyatta April 15, 2024 5:28 PM BST
unlucky with aberg. we can forgive him for not winning with it being his first major. think scheffler is now a must back to cover stakes on all outright bets. that's 3 out of his last 4 events he's won and he almost won the other too. got my stake back this week by backing him and going forward it will be a mandatory bet for me.

nobody seems to have that killer instinct to get a win when he's near the leaderboard - and the scary thing is he's not even playing anywhere near 100% yet.
Report alfee April 15, 2024 8:10 PM BST
Yep!!!....Scheffler not @ his best, Class apart the from Wanna B'Zzz, BUT !..theirs a Baby on Way for the Scheffler Family, = Big Handicap, il be watching for a While.
Report dave1357 April 16, 2024 12:51 PM BST
It will be interesting to see if he has longevity. His swing requires tremendous co-ordination that tends to fade with age, but his short game might cover for that, as it did for almost all his mistakes last week.
Report Senyatta April 17, 2024 1:55 PM BST
RBC:T Kim 60.
CPC:Schmid 70.
GLA
Report raspberrybottom April 18, 2024 9:02 AM BST
RBC Heritage

L Aberg 18
C Conners 65
J T Poston 75
H English 80
S Straka 95
J Day 95
M Pavon 110
A Putnam 210

Good luck all. Happy
Let's get green, chaps!
Report loui April 18, 2024 11:45 AM BST
Rbc heritage

Accuracy big factor at this track

Having a go with

Fitzpatrick 34

Cantlay 19

T Kim 70

Connors 65

Straka 95

N Taylor 250

Good luck razz and all let’s see if we can get round Scheffler this weekend, there’s no cut
Report raspberrybottom April 18, 2024 2:13 PM BST
Good luck, loui...

Surely Scheffler can't go in again!
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 20, 2024 10:25 PM BST
Danger here raspberryB Wink
Report Senyatta April 20, 2024 10:53 PM BST
they need to start offering a "without scheffler" market. least i got my stake back again with scheffler insurance. that's 4 of his last 5 now and he should have won the other losing out by one stroke.
Report raspberrybottom April 21, 2024 10:31 AM BST
Fair play to the man, Senyatta!

He really is something else.

Surely he can't keep it up today - there are loads still in with a chance...Crazy
Report Platini April 21, 2024 4:02 PM BST
I've started doing the same thing, a modest cover bet on Scheffler just to return the stake for the tourney.

Annoying as hell, tho. Crazy
Report raspberrybottom April 23, 2024 8:18 AM BST
RBC Heritage

L Aberg 18 tied 10th
C Conners 65
J T Poston 75 tied 5th
H English 80
S Straka 95 tied 5th
J Day 95
M Pavon 110
A Putnam 210
Report raspberrybottom April 23, 2024 8:20 AM BST
Scheffler's really starting to get on my nerves....

But at least he's not playing this week!Plain
Report raspberrybottom April 24, 2024 4:30 PM BST
Zurich Classic

Theegala/Zalatoris 10
Fitzpatrick/Fitzpatrick 36
Conners/Pendrith 42
Garnett/Straka 46
Putnam/Highsmith 100
Rai/Lipsky 130
Berger/Perez 130
Streelman/Laird 330

Good luck all.Happy
Let's get green!
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