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therhino
23 Feb 15 22:04
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Date Joined: 12 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 22,548 | Blogger: therhino's blog
Nice price on Rose, 3rd, 5th, 4th his last three attempts at the Honda, giddy up Excited

Will go good to see Rory make his stateside debut for the year.

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Replies: 592
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 23 Feb 15 23:23
Rory boy won't like the 'gusts'
By:
shinedog
When: 24 Feb 15 00:00
Went for Horschel here at 80-1. Couple of missed cuts here in recent years, but was in contention couple years ago until a weekend capitulation. Was in contention again on his last outing 2 weeks back before faltering and may well just be a matter of time before he puts it all in over the 4 days.
By:
pokeron
When: 24 Feb 15 01:26
if i had a one and done its keegan bradley.

he has unfinished business with this course and after his sunday charge is totally prime time.

been in contention a whole bunch of times only to shoot +3, +3 and +1 in three final rounds.

this time he turns it around.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 24 Feb 15 13:26
Having my first look at the market, and yet to have a back or a lay, but can safely say I won't end up cheering on Westwood this week.
By:
furrelli
When: 24 Feb 15 14:36
Down to the luck of the draw with the weather prospects beign what they are....?

Kaymer maybe worth a chancer at 40, despite his lack of form here has had a good start to the year. Wait n see otherwise.
By:
dazmacccccc
When: 24 Feb 15 15:22
whats the better draw?early thursday late friday
By:
maggot
When: 24 Feb 15 15:55
From what I've heard, daz, it's the other way round. Late Thursday, early Friday.... But guessing along with Michael Fish and the weather gurus.
By:
callitasucit
When: 24 Feb 15 15:55
Anyone here use Mike Millers Smartgolfbets data pages? Any idea how to gain access now?
By:
Geesyerdosh
When: 24 Feb 15 16:08
This has the makings of a right upset. The 2011 Honda Classic was the one that was really windy. The final leaderboard was:

1 R Sabbatini -9
2 Y E Yang -8
3 J Kelly -7
4 R Barnes -4
5 T Gainey -3
6 G McDowell -2
6 J Overton -2
6 M Bettencourt -2
6 G Woodland -2
10 L Donald -1
10 H Fujita -1
10 S Appleby -1
10 C Howell III -1

McIlroy finished 16 over and Adam Scott missed the cut shooting 19 over!


Of the ones at the top of the market G-Mac is the only one I'd be interested in. Conditions should be ideal for him.

But there looks to be potentially massive value further down. Just going by the 2011 leaderboard there are players who could do well. Jerry Kelly @400 for instance - before a missed cut last time out was 5th and 6th before that. Overton @700 plays well in the wind, hasn't been great this season but worth a go at the price.

Other players I like who can play the conditions, Leishman has to be up there for sure, Chad Campbell looks massive at 700,800 - plays well in wind and at the farmers his second last event he was 1 off the lead going into the final round. Also like Summerhays, Vijay, Glover and a few others who will handle the weather.

The main one I like though is Spencer Levin@400+. Hasn't been in great form although another who was 1 off the lead going into the final round of the Farmers, the thing I like the most is how good he is when the breeze is blowing. Was tied 14th in 2011 and has been in contention quite a few times especially when conditions are tough. Yet to win though and has been in good positions to win so if he goes well I'll be looking to lay off. Will back him top 5/10 and also 1st round leader granted a decent tee time. He was leading after round 1 in 2011.
By:
sandsave
When: 24 Feb 15 16:09

Feb 24, 2015 -- 3:55PM, callitasucit wrote:


Anyone here use Mike Millers Smartgolfbets data pages? Any idea how to gain access now?


Yes it was very good but now I understand PGA info will be made available for a monthly fee from pgadfs.com Cry

By:
callitasucit
When: 24 Feb 15 16:13
Yeah, I seen the quote from him. Have you been able to log on to pgadfs.com?? Page refuses to load for me. Any idea of the fee? Very handy spreadsheet he produced.
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 24 Feb 15 16:17

Feb 24, 2015 -- 1:26PM, Total Bosman wrote:


Having my first look at the market, and yet to have a back or a lay, but can safely say I won't end up cheering on Westwood this week.


Basically you've been wasting your time cheering on Westie in the previous weeks?

By:
Total Bosman
When: 24 Feb 15 16:27
Not sure I've ever found myself cheering him on, but the way the market is shaping up it's increasingly likely I'll be strongly rooting against him at some point this week.
By:
sandsave
When: 24 Feb 15 19:54
callitasucit-- page loads direct from his link on twitter. Fee 9.95 dollars per week or 24.95 pm or 149.95 annual. Strange site not sure whats included but I am not going to pay! Agree brilliant handy info.
By:
callitasucit
When: 24 Feb 15 20:47
Ya, I tried that a few times earlier SS, and again just now, but wont load for me. Strange.
By:
bigH
When: 24 Feb 15 22:22
some decent wind players  at attractive prices

Gallacher 270

oosthuizen 100

kaymer 40

mcdowell 36

villegas 200

leishman 230

cabrera 260

rose 27

fowler 34
By:
pokeron
When: 25 Feb 15 01:31
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14K0wyM8fidObBSRq-1kv2rb5P0qFrJjJwOKb0oihwZ8/pubhtml

heres an example of the spreadsheet for joburg from mike miller.

i been delving into this sh1t last few mins :)
By:
Si-K
When: 25 Feb 15 02:07
SStroud 175 ew
Berger 125 ew
Weekeley 150 ew
yul noh 125 ew

Will add a few players on here tmoro
By:
toberaheena
When: 25 Feb 15 17:38
Taking small profits here on golf for a few weks and not trading high liability. I was impressed by Paul Casey last week and see him trading currently @ 60/65. Have taken a little of that. Feeling Rory will play well and he may be a bet to lead after round 1. Have not placed that bet as yet. Trading a big amount on an ante post horse market at present. Patience is of the essence here. Best of luck to all. Att Quincy.............. I have been told there is a package for me in post office. Thank you so much.
By:
pokeron
When: 25 Feb 15 22:19
your package sounds dodgy Crazy.
By:
pokeron
When: 25 Feb 15 23:45
so who gets the pokeron free bet special this week?

my one and done - keegan bradley. the fecker is due!

$50 freebet @ 29's william hill.

donald and rosey too on here to back that keegan up.

also have little fun size bets on keegan and rose for low round tourney @ 29 and 31 respectively
By:
pokeron
When: 25 Feb 15 23:48
low round tourney is a hard to find market. a lot of sites do not have it.

i am on with centrebet.
By:
stonecold-
When: 26 Feb 15 11:39
picked a fair few for this mainly outsiders

main fancies billy horschel 55
graeme mcdowell 44
keegan bradley 30(smaller win)

outsiders all ew

camillo villegas 150/1
lucas glover 300/1
eric compton 300/1
angel cabrerra 150/1
will mackenzie 150/1

also done v ery small bets first round leaders all ew for outsiders
By:
stonecold-
When: 26 Feb 15 11:46
missed one off chris stroud win and top 5
By:
donny osmond
When: 26 Feb 15 11:46
rory 5.2-5.3 at market turned in play
By:
Si-K
When: 26 Feb 15 12:02
Apparently Westwood found the water 213 yards of the tee on the first. The water is way way way left.Crazy
By:
miss anomaly
When: 26 Feb 15 12:08
Looks like Oostie has withdrawn. Again.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 26 Feb 15 12:39
Tough going already and the wind's not really up yet.  If the afternoon boys catch some storms they'll get a huge break.
By:
padlock
When: 26 Feb 15 12:58
How much wind 3mph or 15 ?
By:
Total Bosman
When: 26 Feb 15 13:04
Looks at least 15 already.
By:
THEMONEYSHOT
When: 26 Feb 15 13:13
TB alright mate, who are you implying will get the break because of the the storms and what's your reasoning behind it ? T.I.A
By:
sandsave
When: 26 Feb 15 13:28
Storms probably mean no play so they will not have to play in wind today. But forecast tomorrow?
By:
SamH_123
When: 26 Feb 15 13:29
forecast tomorrow look a little calmer, but still windy
By:
dazmacccccc
When: 26 Feb 15 13:35
coverage could have started earlier than 7,most of the day will be oveer
By:
Total Bosman
When: 26 Feb 15 13:35
Exactly, the highest wind is due this afternoon so the late starters will be hoping to get off the course if possible and play in the morning.  That said, the worst wind usually comes just before a storm so they'll have to take the rough with the smooth.
By:
toberaheena
When: 26 Feb 15 13:46
Traded a €57 green Rory, no liability on him.
By:
stonecold-
When: 26 Feb 15 13:53
shottracker messing about bradley birdie then taking away now says he did
By:
toberaheena
When: 26 Feb 15 13:54
Think Rory tees off at 5.45 GMT. Forecasting weather is behond me. Anybody on the ground overthere. Good field coming together for the Irish Open in Golf, being played on McIlroys local course. Sergio and Els will draw a nice crowd as will Rory. Tickets online now. Beautiful scenic area of Ireland. Beats me why there is not a line waiting to sponsor. And Darren, who is our next Ryder Cup Captain will be there. Best Magners cider around as well as a whiskey distillery and Belfast is near enough for some retail therapy for the ladies.
By:
sandsave
When: 26 Feb 15 13:57
you work for the tourist board? Grin
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