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Just basics for now, haven't started yet, but thought i'd get it started as i do like one player for this GEORGE COETZEE @ 40/1 with a few of the bookies is a fine price for a guy showing signs of form going onto a track he likes and has two top tens out of 2.
OCEÅNICO VICTORIA GC
7209 par 71
arnold palmer design
very forgiving your looking for putting 1st and foremost this week, little concern for accuracy
Flat open course so would suggest could be difficult if wind up
It has 4 lakes which come into play on 7 holes
Day or two b4 my others go up, but dont suppoose it matters with PGA back on....
OCEÅNICO VICTORIA GC
7209 par 71
arnold palmer design
very forgiving your looking for putting 1st and foremost this week, little concern for accuracy
Flat open course so would suggest could be difficult if wind up
It has 4 lakes which come into play on 7 holes
Day or two b4 my others go up, but dont suppoose it matters with PGA back on....
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Hope i don't regret going in too early but with colsearts new found putting, he's now average at it lol but will win one soon and think the 40/1 with bookies again is big
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i thought coetzee was a good price,
i also like ross fisher, who has good course form, and might just get a lift from mr wilsons win last week, as hes another that has had a spell in the doldrums heres hoping anyway |
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Have added Quiros @ 80/1 - I used to really like his game but been out of it a while.
Backing because he's on "home turf" as far as he lives on the resort and is a sponsored pro for this event, mainly putting woe's so hoping e knows there grens well... |
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Well then...Bleedin hard this week, dunno why but done - ended up following a similar route to last week in that i have a team of 6, then a team of rags.
Going to carry on the pre start p/l so will put point values alongide... I really did try and ignore LOWRY @ 16 3PTS but everywhere i looked he met my requirements, price is terrible, he'll likely just cover the red. George Coetzee @ 40 3pts Richie Ramsey @ 38 1 pt Ross Fisher @ 55 1pt/1 top ten Alvaro Quiros @ 80 1pt/1pt tp ten Paul Lawrie @ 140 1w/1tt RAGS half point win half top ten Felipe Aguilar 130 Tyrrell Hatton 180 Maximilian Kieffer 200 Steve Webster 260 Soren Kjeldsen 360 Graeme Storm 270 David Horsey 350 Julien Quesne 260 Darren Fichardt 270 Lee Slattery 360 John Hahn 550 Jamie McLeary 750 Carlos Del Moral 850 all in = 26 points current = +1282 |
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Forgot about one i backed in the middle of the night lol - Has lots of possitives slightly hit and miss tho ROBERT-JAN-DERKSON @ 75 1W/1TT
Makes for a nice round 20 runners lol - This is main area i need to work on, need to whittle them down to around ten runners going forward i think... Good Luck Anyone PLAYING tHIS.  |
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Thought i better say, this points staking plan is not good for what i do, i have too many runners at too varied a price for it.
like this one - my rags i'm just backing more to a level profit of £500 ish, obviously more on the 3 or 4 above 250. And the P/l is just on paper, if anyone knows a staking plan which could cater for such varied bets i would be grateful for the advice - you would think i'd know some after 13 years but it's never been a me thing to do lol  |
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Going for 3 players in this one...
Derksen - Playing his last season on tour and he's running out of events if he wants to go out with the fairytale win.Been a consistent final season,especially of late and if he is to go out with a win,here might just be the place.Yet to miss a cut here in 7 attempts,a run that includes 1 top 10 and 5 top 20s.A 63 in his 3rd round at the Alfred Dunhill last week also catches the eye.Went E/W @ 80s with the bookies. Green - Past winner here and also yet to miss a cut in 5 goes around this track and has had a few other decent finishes in Portugal over the years.Decent comeback last week at the Dunhill as well with a top 20 after a break.Went E/W @ 100s with the bookies. Paul Lawrie - More a gut feeling with this one as he is coming off a poor season.Was 2nd here way back in 2008 but I'm more drawn to a good weekend last week which resulted in a top 20 and some good GIR stats over the last handful of events.If he could just hole a few more putts.The weather forecast I seen for the first day or 2 of the event was also suggesting some wind and rain and Lawrie is quite comfortable in those conditions if they do come to fruition.Took 20 for a top 5 and 140 win only,both on here. Good luck |
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Oliver Wilson did say he could be drunk for days.Looking at his graph I suggest he still might be.
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Not really a staking plan, but last week after the second round I think it was, you said there was not much you could do with your bet on Oliver Wilson as his odds had not dropped enough.
After you said that I had a quick look at his graph, if you had backed £2 at the off at l000 and then put up a lay bet for £4 at 500, then continue at £4, you could have repeated that back lay sequence 7 times, you would never have more than £2 at risk and be 12k in potential profit on Wilson starting the 3rd round. I know it all to easy to back fit this, but in reality his odds where not actually dropping just to 500 they went through 150 a few times, and even into double figures before hitting 1000 again. Just a thought as you like backing the long shots. |
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Another thing with the lawrie punt, one of the tipsters mentioned a link, mirroring alot of the same players with the commercial quatar which he's won twice and came 11th at the beginning of the year.
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ski or rhino are the men for the do's and dont's in trading, I'm more of a punter, saying that if a big bet of mine hits 9/1 down-over i'd be thinking of green :)
Actually i dunno where my heads at?!? Points are perfect and fit with what i class as my regular staking. £10 = 1 point so - £0.1 = £1 perfect so this week 28 points = £280 So i'm going to post my opening post again - and start using the actual points from now. Only sad part is i'm going to have to dump my +1282 points!!!  only just got them |
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Shane Lowry @ 16 5pts win only
George Coetzee @ 40 5pts W/2pts T5 Richie Ramsey @ 38 2pt W/T5 Ross Fisher @ 55 1pt W/T10 Alvaro Quiros @ 80 1pt W/T10 Paul Lawrie @ 140 1pt W/T5 Rob-Jan-Derkson @ 80 1pt W/T10 = 24 RAGS Felipe Aguilar 130 0.4 pts Tyrrell Hatton 180 - 0.3 Maximilian Kieffer 200 - .3 Steve Webster 260 - .2 Soren Kjeldsen 360 - .2 Graeme Storm 270- .2 David Horsey 350 .2 Julien Quesne 260 .2 Darren Fichardt 270 - .2 Lee Slattery 360 - .2 John Hahn 550 .2 Jamie McLeary 750 .2 Carlos Del Moral 850 .2 = 3.0 pts x W/T10 = 6 pts All in = 30 points current P/l = 0  |
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Backed a few needy ones near the 110 cut off position,
0.5 pts Del Moral,Crespi,Campillo,Drysdale,Bjerregard,J.Carlsson,Maybin,Clarke,Lee,Gonzalez,Walters, 0.75pts Broberg,Lewis,Santos,RCB. good luck all. |
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Rags did not win enough so have added 6 points and doubled the amounts showing so del moral was 0.2 (£2) to 0.4.
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Need that man jaidee to slow down, he's one who can go proper low if he gets in the zone....
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boll@cks - THAT'S IT I'M CLOSING THE MARKET UNTILL SATURDAY!!
Just threw a point @ jadie @ 19 just to cover the red - it's a terrible play but he was always a shortlist for the team or that's what I'm telling myself!!!! NO MORE!!!! |
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Broberg double bogey watch lasts 3 holes this week.
What is wrong with that boy. |
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seems the back 9 is the scoring 9 - meaning Doak doing very well at the moment , only him in the top 12 players started at hole one
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annoying website - twice they've changed del moral's score - went from -2 to -1, now changed a birdie to a bogey and he's +1
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ffs , I looked good 10 minutes ago - there all imploding :((
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vegas, there are comments each week about the accuracy of eurotour website
its sadly not to be trusted |
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I know mate - was about to post - 1 min ago slatery went from -4 to -2 with a par!! :(
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rafa bello and levy off to flyers 4 under each and playing front 9
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erm I did say that's it....but took a point of Bourdy @ 75 two under on the front so far is why.
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^^ that'll teach mee^^ done it twice jadiee and bourdy - both dropped shots after
numpty I am |
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59 alert.
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Great drive.
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15ft for it.
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Course is made for big Colss.
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he is so cool it is frightening
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Harsh.
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Shaved the edge.
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big dumpling only shot a 60 then
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Coltart sticking up for Moli.3ft uphill slight swing.I'd fancy making it.
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This coverage is almost as bad as the Ryder Cup.
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Course flooded.Looked ok 30 minutes ago.
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Suspended for the day.
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very un Algarve weather
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