Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
vegasdreams
30 Jun 14 21:23
Joined:
Date Joined: 17 Jun 01
| Topic/replies: 2,649 | Blogger: vegasdreams's blog
THE COURSE

Have never seen this event so am going by what i've read.

its a  lengthy 7,350 yards par 71 track

proper hazards by the looks u can get caught by water on 1, 2, 13, 15, 16 and 18- could make for a great finish!!

links style bunkers should be avoided as well,but aparently they are positioned really well to cause the most problems.

so all in all a tough course.

right have done a little early work and the blatant facts are -  most important thing is GREENS IN REGULATION again!! but as important is ACCURACY,you will get no-where on here without BOTH.

BUT - imo distance is pretty much irrelavent,so i'll be looking hard at the short drivers who need these opertunities for a win!

also i believe putting is alot clearer/easier here,so if u like the look of someone but there a little shaky greenside HAVE A GO - just could be their week!!

i'm having a couple of early plays even tho i think the prices are tight enuff ,cant see em drifting.

F.Molinari @ 18/1 - prob a obvious choice but thats for a reason,just peaking formwise imo and loves it here.

M.Foster @ 150/1 - not as big as i'd have liked but as said i dont see him shortening,glimses of form anf again loves the track

and two  who will get the locals onside - bourdy @ 55 and havret @110 (365 best value i see so far.)

have others in mind but waiting to see what the prices do...
Pause Switch to Standard View OPEN DE FRANCE 2014.....
Show More
Loading...
Report Mighty Whites 2008 June 30, 2014 10:04 PM BST
one of the best courses on the european tour and the finish is superb plenty of water!
Report the muppet moans July 2, 2014 10:49 AM BST
I am glad Larrazabal has pulled out as I would have been sorely tempted to put him up for the French Open but as it is we are left with a very difficult field to pick from. There are plenty of horses for courses players but none of them really appeal as actual winners - Richard Green being a prime example. I am going to put up a speculative play on someone who I think should be well suited to the stadium course at Le Golf National and that is Kevin Stadler. This is the first time he has played back on the European tour for years having won co-sanctioned events in Brazil and Australia much like his father had done before him. He travelled the world long before the present crop of young American players and achieved great success but that success took a longer time to happen on the PGA tour. He finally made his breakthrough at the stadium course at Scottsdale and that was what got me thinking as Brendan Steele has a stellar record there and he has been 7th twice here. As I say it is a speculative play but his 8th in the Masters shows he is a really good player and better than most on show this week 0.4 ew 80/1
Report Craig The Speculator July 2, 2014 11:05 AM BST
i never back anyone much under $100's

my team is mainly G Stal $95 (in his home tournament) and Oliver Fisher $160 altho thought maybe he needed a week off?

will also have coin on Maximillian, Rock and Lewis and my perennial favourite Levet altho I did expect to be getting more like $800's rather than $250
Report vegasdreams July 2, 2014 2:14 PM BST
Well my teams picked, not sure why, but did not come easy this week, i've ended up with one shortie,3 more below 100 middling, and a few longer ones, keeping a track of my selections from this week, but only those before the first tee-off, am gunna use points as its just easier, impossible to keep track of my in-running madness, so it is strictly before the off,these are just my picks, u wont be hearing me turning into a wannabe tipster.

F.Molinari @ 18/1 - main bet, everything to like this week for franco, form just peaking , in fact playing as well as he ever has done in his career right now imo, loves the course, results and himself verify this by all accounts. 4 points win

A.Hanson @ 50/1 - just so consistent of late, has the attributes for this course, last 5 years has a 4th an 11th,  the other 3 all top 50, but key for me is, he has'nt been playing as well previous years so could be his turn. 1 point win, 1 place 11/1

G.Bourdy @ 55 - to be fair his course form here is'nt the best, a 6th his best a few years ago, but he's hitting the ball better now than ever, esp in the parts he needs, his accuracy and GIR are quite alot higher than ever in his european career, with that in mind he's going to be keen to impress his home nation. 1 point win, 1 place 11/1

R.Sterne @ 70/1 - 2nd last year so we know he likes it, and the fact is IF he's fully fit and playing well, this is probably the best price you will see on him all season, great player allways been a fan. 1 point WIN - 1 place 14/1

Ed Del La Riva - F.Aguilar - G.Storm - all around 125/1 - varying reasons but main on all being a liking fo the course. - all 1/2 point WIN 1/2 place 20/1 + 2 points top 10 all @ 10/1

S.Khan - M.Foster - - C.Lee - G.Maybin - all around 250/1 - Foster has  course form, the other two are just runners i have been a little impressed with over the last month 1/2 point WIN - 1/2 place 25/33/1 + 1 point top ten @ 14/11/18/14/1 in my written order.

R.Bland - C.Del.Moral @ 400/1 - again not much more than an inkling, and imo signs their games are good at the moment. - 1/2 point win 1/2 place 50/66/1 + 1 point top ten @ 22/1 / 18/1 + 1 point top 20 @ 15/2 10/1

A.Gee @ 610 - Just a player i've become a little attached too, made me good money a few weeks ago and i see him overpriced week in week out, esp this week with the shorter course,driving not essential, actually have high hopes! 1/2 point win - 1/2 place 66/1 - 1 point top 10 28/1 - 1 point top 20 11/1

Thats 36 points - in all the years in this game, have never used a system like this, or any sort, so if you see something dumb, or its just out of whack ,let me know, dont mind advice, wont learn nowt without it.

Good Luck All...
Report three_for_it July 2, 2014 4:49 PM BST
Anders Hansen - Top 5 @11s with one of the bookies and win only @50 on here.

Graeme Storm - Top 5 @25s with one of the bookies and win only @140 on here.

Paul Waring - E/W @150s with Laddies.

Andy Sullivan - E/W @150s with Paddy(Top six).

Matthew Nixon - Top 5 @36 and win only @280 on here.


Good luck!
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 8:59 AM BST
36 points is so uneven, 40 points would be much better :)

Julien Guerrier - 1/2 point win 1 Top 10 1/2 t20
Carlos Del Moral -1/2 point win 1 Top 10 1/2 t20

just long shots
Report therhino July 3, 2014 9:03 AM BST
Quiros win and top for me. Reckon he will get a win soon.
Report donny osmond July 3, 2014 9:08 AM BST
first 9 for jeong

who will be lucky enough to crack double figures this year ?

usually a few decent disasters round here !!
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 9:56 AM BST
well , gunna try 1st little trade - backed gallacher 8.4, easy par 5 next maybe out at 7 - can but try worst case he's -5 anyway
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 10:07 AM BST
some BIG name casualties early in this!!

bjrn - joost - jaidee - coetzee - pretty much dead
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 10:08 AM BST
last weeks winner zanotti failing, mind, suppose that was expected
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 10:26 AM BST
he birdied Happy out at 6.8, easy 1.6 ,10 mins - i'll go to work now Laugh
Report donny osmond July 3, 2014 10:29 AM BST
too easy vegas !!!
Report par July 3, 2014 10:51 AM BST
big Stevie is loving this, never seen him as happy through the ball as this today
Report par July 3, 2014 10:57 AM BST
lol, making this course look like the local muni just now
Report donny osmond July 3, 2014 12:07 PM BST
frames will be pleased with your work par ......
Report Tom July 3, 2014 12:48 PM BST
Going to be interesting. Shows VD as a triple and Kaymer as a double on the first. Would be fairly incredible given only two other doubles rest of the day so far. Either that or the mkt leaders are playing like they did in the US last week.
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 12:51 PM BST
yeah i'm not trusting that just yet
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 12:53 PM BST
aparently both just bogeyed 2nd aswell???
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 12:54 PM BST
wow confirmed on the live blog!!
Report par July 3, 2014 12:58 PM BST
never mind that, the double bogey machine broberg has surpassed even his normal level of stupidity today if scores are right
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 1:01 PM BST
lol - madness
Report Tom July 3, 2014 1:06 PM BST
That's almost as crazy as the ET site being correct
Report Back High Lay Low July 3, 2014 1:08 PM BST
live blog - 'McDowell and co. stride away from the par five third tee'
ffs how bout telling us where they hit their ball
Report throwthetellyoutawindow July 3, 2014 1:49 PM BST
Checking to see wot id win on 1st rnd leader K.Broberg with three to play was a schoolboy error the bottler finishes bogey,quad bogey Angry
Report throwthetellyoutawindow July 3, 2014 2:03 PM BST
Had to laugh at Roe this morn after Donaldson hits one close on a par3 "now u wont see a better shot than that all day" he coughs playing partner Levy steps up and u guessed it hits a better shot. Laugh
Report Can't Catch Me July 3, 2014 2:06 PM BST
Jaidee seemed to respond quite well to you saying he was nearly dead vegas Silly
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 2:18 PM BST
lol ,yeah did notice - was just keeping quiet Blush
Report par July 3, 2014 2:44 PM BST
that chip n putt by Kaymer on 9 was so bad it was scary
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 2:51 PM BST
stadler flying -muppet NOT  a muppet in this case!!
Report frames July 3, 2014 4:46 PM BST
Jacq 4 putts from 3 feet.Fair play.
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 5:01 PM BST
dont think i've ever seen so mant doubles/trebles/quadruples!! ffs - u think someone in the running next minute nio tailed off!!
Report frames July 3, 2014 5:47 PM BST
Best course on tour Vegas ,you should see the scores if we get a bit of wind.
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 6:16 PM BST
am actually contemplating having the day off tommorow so i can watch it!
Report donny osmond July 3, 2014 6:48 PM BST
60 euros for a season ticket vegas

not cheap to stay in paris though
Report orzabal July 3, 2014 7:20 PM BST
Good stuff again Muppet wish everyone would post their picks before the off!!!!
Report ccmac1975 July 3, 2014 7:35 PM BST
Thats whats great about the forum .we have our own fancys but can bounce them of other peeps thoughts .had 2quid on stadler at 100.took a 5r back and still returns 150.muppet alwsys talks good sense .my other runners all about level par though (.
Report vegasdreams July 3, 2014 10:05 PM BST
F.Aguilar -4...thank fook for u, steady round and liked the metal he showed after bogey,bogey on 16 and 17 then to birdie 18.
M.Foster -2...good enough, just needs to keep it.
F.Molinari,R.Sterne -1...only 3 birdies each,seems bogeys are going to happen any which way, so need to up their tallys.
A.Hanson level...was 3 under thru 7,back 9 troubles as alot of players did, down but not out.
A.Gee,C.Lee + 1...bah, triple on the last for c.lee,adam 4 bogeys, needs help - but they are only 3 shots off tied 9th, so well in it for main bet.
G.Bourdy, G.Maybin, Ed Del La Riva +2...Bourdy, Goner - the others, rubbish, but i sometimes forget, these are top 10 bets essentially,and 4 shots behind that,so bets are alive Shocked   
R.Bland,C.Del.Moral,G.Storm +4...erm,only 5 off top 20! Blush
S.Khan +9...OK! even i cant positive spin that one!!!

all in all = sh!t but not out!!!
Report ccmac1975 July 4, 2014 7:31 AM BST
Iv got Craig lee never knew hed dropped them all on 1hole the fud .also took khan only for the fact been taking him for ages and hes got to come good eventually
Report ccmac1975 July 4, 2014 7:32 AM BST
Liked the boy pepperell for ages hel win 1eventually
Report frames July 4, 2014 8:28 AM BST
Ominous.
Report frames July 4, 2014 8:38 AM BST
Make that very ominous.
Report ccmac1975 July 4, 2014 8:47 AM BST
lol.go on the walrus .ripping the course upTongue Out
Report frames July 4, 2014 10:19 AM BST
I was starting to think this lad was unbokkable.
Report frames July 4, 2014 10:24 AM BST
Perhaps he is ,great bogey.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 10:25 AM BST
That's about the best bogey you will ever see. Makes you wonder if its going to be his week given the long par putt at 18 last night as well.
Report par July 4, 2014 10:25 AM BST
frames, I have always had him down as poor under pressure, he hasn't hit a good shot since the tv came on
Report frames July 4, 2014 10:30 AM BST
Yes Par but as Tom said could be his week.Scandalous bogey that ,the approach on 3 got lucky but he missed the putt.
Report par July 4, 2014 10:36 AM BST
does he ever miss
Report frames July 4, 2014 10:46 AM BST
Gimmie ?
Report Tom July 4, 2014 10:48 AM BST
The encouraging thing for the chasing pack is that it is a course that is really easy to make mistakes on. He is clearly putting fantastically but the most impressive element is probably his distance control with his irons. Giving himself so many good looks.
Report frames July 4, 2014 10:51 AM BST
Thought it was.
Report par July 4, 2014 10:51 AM BST
never misses, that was in from the moment it left the putter,
Report Tom July 4, 2014 10:53 AM BST
The thing is it is not like that is a 10ft putt he has just holed!! Would be very worried if i was a layer. Noone from the morning groups is going to get within 7/8 shots. All depends on Gallacher and Donaldson.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 10:54 AM BST
3rd tournament in recent weeks which has been over almost before the cut (Kaymer & Crane).
Report frames July 4, 2014 10:55 AM BST
Add Ilonen.If an afternoon starter leads on Day 1 lookout.Don't know if Crane was.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 11:00 AM BST
Yep Crane had an afternoon tee time in Rd 1 and shot a 63 to lead by 1. Followed up with a 65...
Report frames July 4, 2014 11:04 AM BST
Will he just retire when the long putter gets binned ?
Report Can't Catch Me July 4, 2014 11:09 AM BST
Wouldnt say this is over yet Tom. Donaldson, Siem, Gallagher could easily get to within a shot or two by the end of today imo.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 11:13 AM BST
With where he is hitting his irons to I think anyone of us could see him break par!! One of these times I would love to see shotlink and just what length of putts he has holed.

What I would say is that he has been fairly lucky when he has missed the fairway bar his miraculous bogey hole. I think back to the 4th hole where he was able to get very close to the flag from the rough from about 190 yds away. Others like Kaymer had much harder shots from around the green. They are the types of things that make you think it will be his week.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 11:15 AM BST
CCM,

Will be interesting to see what happens with the weather. Just started raining. Will it soften up the greens? Make the rough tougher? Will the wind pick up?
Report frames July 4, 2014 11:17 AM BST
6 on the spin for Goya.
Report frames July 4, 2014 11:18 AM BST
Jesus.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 11:18 AM BST
Lol the good old fashioned shank. Will probably get up and down for par!!
Report frames July 4, 2014 11:19 AM BST
Won't chip in ?
Report frames July 4, 2014 11:21 AM BST
6 it is then.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 11:21 AM BST
Haha. Was thinking that. maybe a 1.1 shot:)
Report frames July 4, 2014 11:23 AM BST
Shame he can't carry on to the back 9.Doubt he would break 40.
Report Tom July 4, 2014 11:24 AM BST
Amazing only 1 over on that last 9 given the shots he hit..
Report Can't Catch Me July 4, 2014 11:49 AM BST
Yep, he should be tucking into a triple decker burger thinking he is very lucky to have finished where he is I reckon. Although he must be spewing to have doubled a par 5 to finish.
Report Can't Catch Me July 4, 2014 11:49 AM BST
Has given the chasing pack a major boost.
Report vegasdreams July 4, 2014 2:06 PM BST
well just back from playing 18,knackered lol as are my golfers!! Sad

franky - gone / hanson - gone / bourdy - gone / sterne - gone / del la riva - gone Shocked

maybin/a.gee/c.lee/g maybin - all still playing....BADLY! all over par, so very nearly - gone!

have Aguilar left, but only for top ten, maybe place after a carp round today!

oh - have havret aswell! top ten, little win, don't know why iv'e missed him off my bet list, but bet is in my opening post, prob why i forgot, its with 365.

Been a while since such a bad showing, had to be the week i decided to count! lol

def need some bubba magic tonight now!!
Report Only-the-Brave July 4, 2014 2:08 PM BST
gallacher playing some very solid golf - could be the one to beat.
Report vegasdreams July 4, 2014 2:12 PM BST
hope so! he loses me less,little trade early doors
Report Quincy July 4, 2014 3:57 PM BST
Looks like you're getting your magic, vegas.  -3 today after 12, 5 under overall.  Not doing me much good though.Sad
Report Catch Me ifyoucan July 4, 2014 5:25 PM BST
orzabal  • July 3, 2014 7:20 PM BST 
Good stuff again Muppet wish everyone would post their picks before the off!!!!



Just backed Gmac 10/Hoey 40 with Kirk/Chappell both 12's - 'cross the water doubles. Devil
Report vegasdreams July 4, 2014 6:26 PM BST
mention havret, he karks it - mention gallacher, yep screwed, ffs!!!

i did say in my original picks post ,that i wasen't "feeling it" think i need to take heed in future!

have outside hopes for top ten but essentially....see u on the pga thread lol .
Report Quincy July 4, 2014 6:53 PM BST
I did post my picks before the off, Catch Me ifyoucan. There were none as I haven't had a bet in this.  I'm in enough trouble in the Greenbrier.SadSadSad  Have just added Patrick Rodgers.

Wouldn't have been on Stadler, McDowell or Kaymer.  Might have been on Siem and Hoey and about ten others.

Good luck with yours.
Report vegasdreams July 5, 2014 1:34 AM BST
Right thats it, i'm forming a new team Excited

Michael Hoey @ 38
Ross Fisher @ 65
Matteo Manassero @ 100
Rafa Cabrera-Bello @ 100? i'm up, early think it'll be 120 + by then
wanted kaymer aswell, but cant bring myself to do it at such a ridiculas price 14.5 on here!!

obviously big gamble, but i think stadler shoots over tomorrow,maybe finsh 8 under, these 4 have been playing well, well enough to shoot a 3,4,5, even 6 under round.
RIU, Victor - superb scrambling round but u simply cant maintain it.

would be intresting then!!
Report Back High Lay Low July 5, 2014 11:07 AM BST
Graeme McDowell @Graeme_McDowell  ·  16m

'Perfect conditions for the chasing pack here at @AlstomODF today. Tough breeze blowing. Anything around par will be a good effort. #grind'
Report frames July 5, 2014 11:35 AM BST
Fair bit of carnage on the opening two holes today.I hope our American friend has got rid of those shanks.
Report ccmac1975 July 5, 2014 12:33 PM BST
Mon the walrus
Report dlarssonf July 5, 2014 1:13 PM BST
You can see/hear already how Mark Roe is dying to slaughter the poor American that has the audacity to be leading.  The anti american stance by most at sky is deplorableCryCry
Report aberdonia July 5, 2014 1:20 PM BST
Roe always picks his targets carefully when slaughtering a player.

this is going to be fun, carnage on the front 9, the last 4 holes are going to be a massacre.
Report aberdonia July 5, 2014 1:29 PM BST
Are SKY contracted to show every shot that GMAC plays?.
Report Catch Me ifyoucan July 5, 2014 1:48 PM BST
Three players, who have not already qualified (and who finish in the top ten at the Alstom Open de France) will secure places in The Open.

The CLARET JUG was on the 1st tee as a gentle reminder for HOEY !
Report Catch Me ifyoucan July 5, 2014 1:51 PM BST
AS IT STAND ATM...

RIU, HOEY & MCGRANE are the players that would secure their place.
Report vegasdreams July 5, 2014 2:53 PM BST
ahh fek - triple for foster :( was plodding along so well
Report Catch Me ifyoucan July 5, 2014 2:58 PM BST
Quincy,

Kindly address you posts to orzabal (not me) in regards to "picks before the off"
Report vegasdreams July 5, 2014 3:11 PM BST
LOL...I'M INNOCENT GODDAMIT INNOCENT I TELL YOU!!!!!!!  Grin Grin Grin
Report frames July 5, 2014 3:22 PM BST
Brilliant scrambling from our American friend.
Report vegasdreams July 5, 2014 3:24 PM BST
yep, sadly for my pocket very very good golf from stads, and with the weather change,  they think its all over...Sad
Report Catch Me ifyoucan July 5, 2014 3:40 PM BST
KARLSSON & FOSTER now in the picture for a place in Hoylake.
Report frames July 5, 2014 4:25 PM BST
How Stadler only has one bogey today is amazing.Superb scrambling and with a dodgy back.
Report frames July 5, 2014 4:39 PM BST
Riu 9 holes without a par.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com