Over the course of the last fifteen years I have tended to do well in certain events - often where certain unique venues are used and the Madeira Islands Open is certainly one of them as I have twice tipped the winner here with Hanell 200/1 and Hoey 45/1. This week I had a very long list of players to consider but have narrowed it down to four. Alvaro Velasco is a young Spanish player who I think is capable of more than he tends to show. If he was to win his first European tour event it could well come on a course where he has excelled before. He was 5th on his debut at Santo da Serra in 2008 and on his only other appearance last year led by two after round one before fading to 28th. In 2010 one of his Challenge Tour wins came on Il Gomera at the similar Tecina golf course - so perhaps he has a penchant for island golf. He is in solid form having not missed a cut all year and his 5th in Morocco was in a much stronger field 0.3 ew 66/1 Sticking with the Spanish contingent Eduardo de la Riva seems to have been around for a long time but is actually only thirty. All of his best from is saved for events close to home with a pair of 3rd placed finishes in main tour events in Spain and his last win came on the Tecina course as well. He has won many small tour events in the past and this could be the kind of low key event where he eventually records a decent win 0.3 ew 70/1 When looking for similar spectacular coastal courses the other one that is on my list was Pleneuf Val Andre on the Brittany coast where Eddie Pepperell was successful exactly a year ago. He has had a solid if unspectacular start to his first full season on tour capped by an 8th place in the Spanish Open last month. Maybe he has an affinity for this part of the world because he won the Portuguese Amateur in 2011 0.4 ew 60/1 Last man in is Joakim Lagergren who played really solid to finish 4th here last year. He followed that up with a 6th at the Nordea Masters but then went off the boil and has struggled in his travels around the world so far this year. He showed a return to form back in Spain last time out so maybe a return to familiar surroundings will see him kick on 0.2 ew 100/1
Over the course of the last fifteen years I have tended to do well in certain events - often where certain unique venues are used and the Madeira Islands Open is certainly one of them as I have twice tipped the winner here with Hanell 200/1 and Hoey