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the muppet moans
26 Mar 13 16:26
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Date Joined: 07 Nov 00
| Topic/replies: 1,835 | Blogger: the muppet moans's blog
Well we finally got one to fall over the line in the shape of Aphibarnrat @ 50/1 in Malaysia so starting with the Hassan II Trophy lets see if we can add another. This is the fourth rendition of the event and the third at the immaculate Royal Palais course - there will be no gripes about the state of the course this week! Looking at the results basically we are looking for players who like links golf, breezy coastal courses (Hilversumche, East london etc) which are quite short but where trees are definitely in play and quite probably a liking for golf in Morocco as Hoey had won here on the Challenge tour previously at the El Jadida course.
Mikko Ilonen looks like a strong contender to me this week as the course plays to his strengths as he seems at home on linksy type courses. He is a former British amateur champion and twice has finished in the top ten at the Open. His form here reads 7th and 17th and he was 3rd at the course used in 2010. With a top ten already under his belt in Qatar and a nice warmup in Malaysia last week when 17th I really think he will be challenging come Sunday 0.4 ew 80/1
Robert Coles seems to love his golf in Morocco having won on the European Challenge tour at El Jadida back in 2008 and he had his best result of the year here last year when 3rd. Don't get me wrong but at the sharp end on Sunday he will be more nervous than most if he is up there so be prepared to lay back and lock in a profit! Since returning to the main tour in 2010 he has tried his best to lock up his card early - in 2010 he was 4th in March in Andalucia, 2011 saw him collapse on the 72nd in the Avantha Masters but he still finished 2nd and last year his 3rd here basically protected his playing rights. Despite his big price because of his poor form he is still worth a play 0.15 ew 200/1
Julien Quesne caught my eye this week because of his Challenge tour form in Morocco where he was 2nd and 3rd at El Jadida in 2008/9. His 37th here last year wasn't a bad effort especially when you consider it came the week after his maiden win on the European tour. His form wasn't great the rest of the year but he had a couple of nice finishes in 2013 with 5th in the Volvo Golf Champions in January and then was 9th in India a couple of weeks ago 0.25 ew 80/1
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Report Biscar Two from a mile back March 26, 2013 3:59 PM GMT
nice work gl
Report Violencia Fantastico Retardo March 26, 2013 4:26 PM GMT
anyone fancy Alvaro Quiros @ 55's. On his 3rd straight start after wrist surgery and shot 75,65,67 last week at the Malaysian Open.
I dont think he has played here before but there are five par 5's for him to smash into (320 yds average off the tee)!!!
Report the muppet moans March 26, 2013 4:28 PM GMT
Sorely tempted by Alvaro at the price - just not convinced the course will suit
Report Violencia Fantastico Retardo March 26, 2013 4:35 PM GMT
i know what you mean muppet....if he misses big, there is 5 metres of maintained rough either side of the fairway then its into the ice plants and bundai
Report pokeron March 26, 2013 11:58 PM GMT
$30 on molinari @ 30's. this time the edoardo variety. gl.
Report stonecold- March 27, 2013 12:02 PM GMT
few of my selectionts mentioned in few post in  here.hope thats good

gone for julien quesne 75/1
         miko ilonen 70
smaller wins on david horsey 32
                alvaro quiros 60
Report maggot March 27, 2013 12:16 PM GMT
Julien Quesne  75/1
Matthew Baldwin  110/1
Jorge Campillo  125/1
Alejandro Canizares  125/1

All E/W

Good luck.
Report DONEMYLOT March 28, 2013 9:24 AM GMT
Conditions tough now, this pm could be murrrder
Report Biscar Two from a mile back March 28, 2013 9:47 AM GMT
+16 thru 5 holes 77977 Jakub Svoboda

If this is right this could be a struggle to break 100 LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report Biscar Two from a mile back March 28, 2013 9:49 AM GMT
Jakub 6 rounds on tour last year combined 80 over par Laugh
Report Biscar Two from a mile back March 28, 2013 9:56 AM GMT
another 9 +21 after 6 Laugh
Report Biscar Two from a mile back March 28, 2013 9:58 AM GMT
RETIRED Sad
Report Biscar Two from a mile back March 28, 2013 10:00 AM GMT
Was on course for a round of 135- 63 over par
Report DONEMYLOT March 28, 2013 10:05 AM GMT
still would have been 40th by the end of play
Report stonecold- March 28, 2013 10:11 AM GMT
looks like gonna be windier as day goes on
Report Can't Catch Me March 28, 2013 10:39 AM GMT
Larrazabal still 22/1 with Corals. Seems decent enough to me with 9 holes out of the way and -1.
Report padlock March 28, 2013 11:09 AM GMT
looks v windy,great looking undulating course
Report stonecold- March 28, 2013 11:23 AM GMT
yeah i much prefer watching a tourney when conditions tough
Report crystalhunt March 28, 2013 12:01 PM GMT
Me too - anything can happen.
Report DONEMYLOT March 28, 2013 12:26 PM GMT
Tell Mr Foley to book a lesson on Saturday morning please - name is E.MOLINARICry
Report donny osmond March 28, 2013 12:51 PM GMT
has the wind dropped ?
Report stonecold- March 28, 2013 2:04 PM GMT
whats happening ? no updates on leaderboard
Report golfnut March 28, 2013 4:04 PM GMT
Not backed Bello but what a ridiculous penalty....
Report JamieB77 March 28, 2013 6:54 PM GMT
Could Mikko Ilonen actually win? Hope so!Plain
Report stonecold- March 28, 2013 7:11 PM GMT
bit bugged bogeyed last hole
Report JamieB77 March 28, 2013 7:12 PM GMT
Must have been an incredible round for Marcel Siem
Report JamieB77 March 28, 2013 7:21 PM GMT
Back to Ilonen, he won the amateur championship at Royal Liverpool back in the year 2000, albeit a considerable amount of time has gone by since, but you dont win there if you dont have something about you. Here's hoping..
Report pantsonfire March 29, 2013 10:40 AM GMT
Odds on on a friday morning? Don't see that very often.
Report towcester judge March 29, 2013 1:18 PM GMT
shame about illonen 7 .....was all going so well.....surely to god marcel is a sitting duck....with the added pressure of a place in the masters at stake
Report BJG March 29, 2013 1:29 PM GMT
David Horsey appears to be on the 2nd for the last hour


Fkin leaderboard Angry
Report stonecold- March 29, 2013 1:48 PM GMT
done this yesterday. good recovery from ilonen though birdie then eagle
Report Millionaire_Morse March 29, 2013 1:50 PM GMT
siem is a certainty mugs .
Report stonecold- March 29, 2013 1:55 PM GMT
glad you think soHappy
Report kwoodo March 29, 2013 3:40 PM GMT
Siem price ludacris, known bottler 3 clear 2 rounds to play
Report bustino March 30, 2013 12:06 PM GMT
only bet from start was illonen at 75s for small cash.......tooped up today albeit for small stakes on joost lieuten @ 35 and bernd wissenberger @ 20s........feel that if any of this trio r within 3 of the lead sunday morn i have realistic chance.....gd luck if ur playing
Report stonecold- March 30, 2013 1:07 PM GMT
siem bogeys the 1st
Report BJG March 30, 2013 1:21 PM GMT
Horsey in the bushes on 3 Angry
Report stonecold- March 30, 2013 1:31 PM GMT
done well to get a bogeyHappy lovely putt from ilonen to go 1 behindHappy
Report Millionaire_Morse March 30, 2013 2:59 PM GMT
siem is a 100 % cert here , that's a fact . no way these mugs beat him from here
Report Millionaire_Morse March 30, 2013 3:27 PM GMT
NO ONE CAN STOP SIEM
Report Millionaire_Morse March 30, 2013 3:45 PM GMT
GSM SIEM
running away with it . i'm showing u mugs how it's done
Report Mighty Whites 2008 March 30, 2013 4:42 PM GMT
betfair crashes as siem enters the much anticipated meltdown
Report stonecold- March 30, 2013 4:44 PM GMT
betfair become uselessSad
Report Mighty Whites 2008 March 30, 2013 4:45 PM GMT
cant believe he got out of that with a 6
Report stonecold- March 30, 2013 4:47 PM GMT
yeah really bugged me.
Report Humbert The Priest March 30, 2013 4:47 PM GMT
Another suspicious 'crash' just when the market is volatile.
Report Kelly March 30, 2013 5:03 PM GMT
Probably discounts applied to the soccer markets . But not the golf , its not in the top echelon any more .
Report toberaheena March 31, 2013 4:11 PM BST
Very late in the day but I have had €160 @1.29 Marcel Siem to win. Looks like I timed it well.
Report norman March 31, 2013 9:15 PM BST
Well done tmm for llonen.....shame he got poorly on the last round, but happy with the place.....cheers
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