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the muppet moans
05 Mar 13 18:14
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Date Joined: 07 Nov 00
| Topic/replies: 1,835 | Blogger: the muppet moans's blog
This will be the sixth rendition of the Puerto Rico Open and was one of the events that has made me concentrate this year on profiling events and their winners especially on the PGA tour. Last year I picked out George McNeill @ 55/1 having noticed that all four winners before him had very strong ties to Florida and all winners have stated that the course is very typical of Florida resort courses. All four winners (Bradley has won it twice) have met at least two of the criteria of having been born in Florida, attended college there or presently live there. I found out after the event last year that George McNeill had actually bought past winner Derek Lamelys' house - sadly I haven't been able to ascertain if he has sold it on! Taking this on board I came up with a short list of ten and have whittled that down to three including the biggest bet I have had so far this year.
Boo Weekley is Floridian through and through and also has a good course record a bit like George McNeill last year he was top five in his previous visit. That third place finish last year came on the back of some very poor form yet this year he has actually been playing quite well. He rounded off last year with a 5th in Florida which secured his card and has made his last four cuts and was third at the half way stage last week before struggling in the cold windy conditions over the weekend. All of his best finishes have come on coastal courses including his two wins at Harbour Town so I am expecting a big week 1 point ew 50/1
Matt Every like McNeill was born, educated and lives in Florida and whilst he has yet to win on the main tour he did have four top six finishes last season. One of these was in Florida (ahead of Weekley) and then he was 6th in Hawaii and 3rd in the Mayakoba, throw in an 8th at Harbour Town and it is obvious where he plays his best golf. He does have a top ten to his name this season in the much stronger Phoenix Open so is worth a punt in this weeks weaker field 0.3 ew 66/1
Last man in is Erik Compton who was born and lives in Florida and who had his best ever PGA tour finish when tied for fourth in his home state last week surrounded by some of the best players in the world. I expected his odds to be slashed this week but they have held up remarkably well. This could be down to some indifferent course form although he has more experience of this PGA tour stop than any other and has improved in each of his four starts going mc/61/55/42 and it is interesting that he was also progressive at last weeks venue 44/26/4. He seems to be at home in this neck of the woods having had a couple of wins in Mexico in his career and with a good start to the season he could add to that tally this week 0.4 ew 66/1

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Replies: 21
By:
maggot
When: 05 Mar 13 18:20
Nice write up muppet.

I hope the Floridian theme rings true. I have gone for Justin Hicks, and Nicholas Thompson.
By:
sundogmonkey
When: 05 Mar 13 19:31
I'm very much on the same lines this week guys and have also gone for N Thompson, Boo, and Hicks along with Darren Stiles. [Prior to reading this thread I hasten to add!] I also thought long & hard about Every & Compton when deciding, which Florida men to go with.

I am particularly keen on Thompson who has solid form this year, was 12th here in 2010 & had his best ever PGA Tour finish at the old Gin sur Mer classic, which was played on a similar type Florida course.

Good luck guys!
By:
lowfields69
When: 06 Mar 13 00:48
I didn't think of a Florida theme but have gone with Matteson at 90/1 who likes it here - 2nd in 2011 after 3 missed cuts before. In a field this weak the price looks big on someone who knows how to win when the top boys aren't showing up.

I also got 50/1 on Weekley and was surprised to get the same price on Bae and Jones.
By:
therhino
When: 06 Mar 13 10:28
Just a little nibble on Hahn for me
By:
mp06
When: 06 Mar 13 11:53
ishikawa and kj choi for me
By:
jackdebden
When: 06 Mar 13 17:49
Boo weekley Bobby Gates and Anders Romero for me
By:
dessys
When: 06 Mar 13 22:31
Not sure about course form and all the rest of it, but if you want one of the form golfers in the field at 125/1, look no further than Doug La Belle. Big player for me, biggest fancy of the weekend for both events.
By:
pokeron
When: 07 Mar 13 09:16
$10 each on:

weekley
karlsson
hahn
rollins
yang

gl folks
By:
three_for_it
When: 07 Mar 13 09:39
Just one pick in this for me,Andres Romero.Only made one cut all season when even then he finished out with the washing.Missed the cut again last week on a tough course at The Honda but did manage to go out on a decent second round 67 which caught my eye a little.Plays in an interesting 3 ball as well with Cabrera and Villegas the first two days and i'm hoping that might spark him into life.Has previously shown that he can produce top finishes when in shocking form and you least expect it.

Took some 30s for the top 5 on here and 190s win only.
By:
the muppet moans
When: 07 Mar 13 15:44
cant win on a Thursday but a cracking start for you with Romero
By:
million1
When: 08 Mar 13 22:35
done my brains lately--smallest bet all year 2 pounds at 180s romeroand 2 pounds at 32s top 5
By:
therhino
When: 08 Mar 13 22:40
Great work three for it.
By:
DONEMYLOT
When: 09 Mar 13 10:18
gl three, nice pick. Romero's first lead in 115 starts...best of luck
By:
wilco
When: 09 Mar 13 15:20
Anyone know if play suspended ?
By:
First 59
When: 09 Mar 13 16:46
They is no suspension, they are playing.
The leaderboard did not update for about 6 holes.
It has updated now but think it has stopped again.
Also i think BF crashed/got hacked, so market lays and backs have been taken off
By:
First 59
When: 09 Mar 13 16:48
pga tour leaderboard looks like its working now
By:
Super Hans
When: 10 Mar 13 11:58
Any value in the pack?

Could see -19 -20 winning it if front 2 get a bit shaky.
By:
Super Hans
When: 10 Mar 13 14:47
With the WGC a done deal. Backing a couple at big prices in the Puerto Rico.

Fancy the pressure to slow the top 2 down. So a couple from the pack for me.

Steve LeBrun @ 44

Morgan Hoffmann @ 55
By:
Super Hans
When: 10 Mar 13 21:57
Either a choke of all chokes. Or the scorers cashing in.
By:
Super Hans
When: 10 Mar 13 22:09
Anyone know the shot by shot for the last hole?

How did the choking dog manage throw that one away.Sad
By:
westfour4
When: 10 Mar 13 22:14
Wow And when it was all over i still managed to lay some of my Spieth money @ 3.0

Think some people were confused to what was happening.
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