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therhino
10 Dec 12 06:41
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Date Joined: 12 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 22,548 | Blogger: therhino's blog
Last of the big 3 Aussie tournaments and our final chance at paying for xmas. Surely nothing of note on next weekend? Would think the winner will come from the usual list of local notables and Sabbatini must be a sure thing for top 10, seems every Aussie event has a well known international in the mix who usually comes up short, and since it is just he this week then it must be him Wink Get on for places.

Reports are that since Clive Palmer took over the property from the Hyatt the place has gone to absolute sh1t so it will be interesting to see what condition the course is in and whether it's been properly maintained for a championship.
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Report toberaheena December 12, 2012 11:27 PM GMT
Laid Ogilvy @ 10.50 for €137 and boy was it hard work. Just cancelled the remainder. And I have my 3 ball bet on Clarke to lose his 3 ball. Laid €126 @5.2.
Report Joel December 12, 2012 11:30 PM GMT
Anyone hit the dinosaur yet?
Report pokeron December 12, 2012 11:54 PM GMT
what's your plan with the ogilvy lay tobe? you topping up or u think he's got zero chance?
so you are:
-1301 ogilvy
+131 field?

is this correct?

mine is:
senior  + 2780
rumford +  706
other   -   20
Report pokeron December 13, 2012 12:00 AM GMT
oh wait. i'm retarded. totally forgot i had $100 on b jones on luxbet @ 26.
hope he leads after any round. if not whatever. not all is lost. will lay him off at mid teens if possible.

so:
senior  +2680
b jones +2480
rumford + 606
other   - 120

feeling like $30 more on rumford would make a a nice $150 liability to start.
Report pokeron December 13, 2012 12:05 AM GMT
roster, that is awesome man.
money for jam.
maybe norman hates palmer and it was a big feck you to palmer Crazy
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 12:24 AM GMT
@poke....Just now

The Field + €126.45

Ogilvy   - €1187.28.

An interesting aside to this bet is that I am probably depending on Ogilvy to beat Clarke tonight for my match bet. I like the look of your book of bets.  Jones played ok last week. Senior may still be on a high and I would be inclined to trade him if you can.
Report pokeron December 13, 2012 12:36 AM GMT
yeah for sure. since senior is a free bet, any lay becomes 'profit' should i lay. but i always do manouvres with that 'profit' so we'll see.
and i figure jones can easily lead and not win.
you're ok. ogilvy could prob shoot +2 and still be good Laugh. that would be gold you.
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 12:51 AM GMT
I am going to bed for a sleep. Will get  up in a few hours if I wake early. Are you any good to walk greyhounds poke...
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 12:52 AM GMT
lol ....goodnight
Report Back High Lay Low December 13, 2012 2:06 AM GMT
Wayne Grady looking snappy in that tight fitting polo shirt.
Report pokeron December 13, 2012 2:23 AM GMT
tobe sleeping is prob good for him. clarke birdie first hole Cry
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 5:09 AM GMT
Lol.................good morning mates. Good round by Peter Senior.68.
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 5:09 AM GMT
Darren, take it handy.
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 8:39 AM GMT
Upajo 13.05 Gowran Park    @ 1.65 ish.Well schooled and proven stayer under the care of Irish Champion trained and top jockey. Only for hardened punters.
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 5:38 PM GMT
Beaten into 2nd by a Michael O'Leary expensive purchase who was gambled on into joint favouritism with my selection. Writing on the wall when Mullin's charge drifted from 1.6 to more than double that.
Report Merlin7 December 13, 2012 6:24 PM GMT
My motley crew at the moment are Geary,Scrivener and Steven Jones(-2) who looks good value @200+.Only heard of him last week but seems a solid player and trustworthy.
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 7:45 PM GMT
Personally delighted that Tom Watson has been nominated for the captaincy of the next U.S. Ryder Cup team. He was my first golf idol and I suppose that never changes. Clarke or McGinley now for Europe.
Report toberaheena December 13, 2012 11:39 PM GMT
If the current scores of Ogilvy and Popovic were reversed, what price Ogilvy now ?
Report pokeron December 14, 2012 8:38 AM GMT
tobe what you gonna do re ogilvy? is there anything you CAN do to get out of the hole? lay some more Crazy?
Report pokeron December 14, 2012 9:22 AM GMT
actually, i think i see where you're going with that last question tobe.
are you pondering backing ogilvy for lots but at an avg odds of say 2.1 or something like that, with the rationale being that ogilvy will prob get to that price since he is ogilvy and popovic is popovic and zhang is zhang...

then your exposure would be reduced as well to say -300 instead of the current ogilvy 1k+

that's certainly a play.
Report toberaheena December 14, 2012 4:22 PM GMT
@poke...... I am not sure I want to punt Ogilvy again until at least mid 3rd round. There are just so many players lined up directly behind him and I feel certain that he will be passed tonight by at least 2 or 3 solid players. I certainly do not think that he should be the price he is. A lot of players put themselves into contention during round 2. The greens will also become slicker and harder.To be honest Poke, I do not fancy Ogilvy. Saw a few things last week that put me off him a bit. He has a habit of scoring the odd bogey or 2 and would be 3 shots farther back here if it was not for 2 chip ins on round one here. One particular chip was motoring towards a double bogey. That is how I feel currently. No bet on the other tournaments.
Report Merlin7 December 14, 2012 7:35 PM GMT
Dont know about you good people but i think Zhang could be the man this week ?
Report toberaheena December 14, 2012 9:22 PM GMT
@Merlin7... I DO like the way he walks so confidently between shots. And he can putt. As can Popovic but he may cave in at any time if thoughts of his Dad start playing on his mind. I really hope it does not.
Report mengmeng December 14, 2012 9:34 PM GMT
i have to say i think ogilvy will tear them apart over the weekend -14 wins it..  heres hoping anyway :)
Report pokeron December 14, 2012 10:54 PM GMT
-8 from b jones would be awesome today Crazy
Report toberaheena December 14, 2012 11:19 PM GMT
Hope you get that score from Jones Poke....
Report toberaheena December 14, 2012 11:20 PM GMT
Have probably made more trouble formyself...laid the English cricketers.. lol.
Report Merlin7 December 15, 2012 1:53 AM GMT
Given the kiss of death to Zhangy. Expect Josh to mess up soon probably the 12th.
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 2:02 AM GMT
jones is making me hard
Report therhino December 15, 2012 2:07 AM GMT
Laugh Letting it ride or poke or getting out of dodge?
Report therhino December 15, 2012 2:08 AM GMT
* letting it ride poke that should say...
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 2:17 AM GMT
undecided. feeling a bit adventurous tho....
Report therhino December 15, 2012 2:21 AM GMT
Just had my first bet proper here am i'm still a little shocked I actually said the words 'yes mate, back Darren Clarke'
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 2:24 AM GMT
$600 up at 10's for jones. has he hole in oned or something?
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 2:25 AM GMT
i got on d clarke day one when he was -3 thru feck all for $30 @ 34's. been seething since but he's doing a jones isn't he?
Report therhino December 15, 2012 2:40 AM GMT
Not sure why Jones leaderboard now says -8
Report therhino December 15, 2012 2:47 AM GMT
Keep your eye on Sabba, got it to -3 thru 9 but has played the back, easier front 9 to come could be in contention by the end of the day.
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 3:01 AM GMT
there is huge conflict of information or lag with bookies. sportsbet had jones @ 11's whilst b365 had him at 21's.

could be some real hoovering gold with big bank and quick phone calls Cool


ogilvy making you hard tobes?
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 4:25 AM GMT
jones missed two birdie putts on 16 and 17. could have been that -8 Cry
Report toberaheena December 15, 2012 6:10 AM GMT
Just up and saw the end there. What happened to Ogilvy? This bloody greyhound is better fed than I am. Amazing what happened while I was asleep. An all nighter later today. Darren Clarke ??
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 8:25 AM GMT
yeah man. darren clarke. he was -8 and 34's with plenty to play - and leaders were -11 and looking to crumble. i would have got on when rhino did which was about then, but i was already on.
two double bogeys from darren then killed that.
he was groovin. then he wasn't.....

ogilvy. my god. he was seething real bad today. was pulling all his long irons. was lucky on the first hole actually. should have made bogey but a squirrel in a tree knocked it back into somewhere reasonable. i was seriously stressed for you tobe. wasn't even my money. seemed you went the bloody hard route to grinding $120.

for those who watch the telecast, what odds ogilvy gets some spag bol and vanilla icecream tonight Wink?
i have muppeted one play this tourney and that is backing popovic for $25 @ 27's after round one and laying him for $20 @ 14's this round when he looked like crumbling. but alas he sunk EVERYTHING after that with the flat stick.
Report therhino December 15, 2012 8:55 AM GMT
Thanks for bringing up the DC bet Poke, much appreciated Sad $70 down the drain here, O'Nowhere, Sabba and now DC but just landed a nice little College bball/A League multi so up on the weekend, weighing up whether to go in again. Popovic putted beautifully which made the round look better than it was, a few nervy shots so it won't be him. I fancy another Watney type Sunday with Allenby to play the hero perhaps but need more than the current 27s to commit to that, should be nearer to 40s.
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 9:28 AM GMT
i think popovic has played a great tourney thus far. he knows that if he gives himself enough birdie putts, he'll roll enough in to win the way he is putting.
and he is putting like a god. you have to have watched the telecast to understand. its ridiculous.
i really didn't like the commentators saying its wimpish for people to hit iron off first tee. thats total BS.
if he is laying up he's laying up. that's just smart. commentator = dumb.
iron off the first does eliminate danger and as peter senior says, 'its not the birdies you make, it's the bogey's you DON'T make'

if it makes you feel better rhino, i'm in a $120 hole for johor after touching marcus fraser and thitiphun. i should be more careful which thitis i touch.
i need a miracle from super super player chowrasia to dig me out of the hole. if he even resembles a spade this weekend i'll be happy.
Report toberaheena December 15, 2012 9:45 AM GMT
Now , happy with my lay of Ogilvy, English cricketers and have laid a horse and backed one for later. Backed Conegree 1.55pm Cheltenham @ 2.22 and laid Rock on Ruby 3.05 Cheltenham @ 3.45
Report therhino December 15, 2012 9:47 AM GMT
All good poke, the bank of Sydney FC is open for business, 1 down at the half Excited You can't really go wrong these days laying Sydney FC Cool

Still not sure myself re Popovic simply cos I never heard of him before this week, but there were a few dodgy swings today. Sunday pressure does things to players. Would be nice to see him win for his old man but I'm not sure, won't lay him but can't back him either. $70 is ok, no stress and for interest sake might just dabble a little bit if I'm home watching.
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 9:59 AM GMT
nice one tobe. what a day the indians have had.
Report pokeron December 15, 2012 10:27 AM GMT
bank of sydney fc paying out yet again....
Report DONEMYLOT December 15, 2012 1:38 PM GMT
pick one of 6 or 7 from off the pace - same as last week. taken a chance on Jones but really could probbaly bet a handful and manage to lay most off at some point.
Report toberaheena December 15, 2012 3:32 PM GMT
Got paid on my 2 horsey bets. A lay and a win as backed. Good day here in Tipperary.
Report toberaheena December 15, 2012 3:36 PM GMT
@the rhino..... I hope you enjoy the golf and no pressure. That is the life.
Report NorwichRob December 15, 2012 7:13 PM GMT
Original selection (Flanagan) way back so going for a classy player to deliver the goods Sunday...Ogilvy.
Report Merlin7 December 15, 2012 9:34 PM GMT
Robert Allenby 25/1 ew 1-3
Zhangy 66/1 ew 1-3

Are my hopeful final day selections.
Report toberaheena December 15, 2012 11:49 PM GMT
Shrewd move by Zhang. He has hired a fellow Chinese who missed the cut to caddy for him. Can't blame him with what is at stake for him. Hard luck on the other guy but I am sure he will be looked after if things go well for Zhang.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 12:24 AM GMT
damn you clarkey. -4 thru 4 today. rueing those back to back doubles yesterday. one was on a par 5!AngryAngryAngry
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 12:33 AM GMT
i'm quite certain pops will have a birdie putt on the first. he will hit iron off tee which takes out the possibility of water you would think. and since the second shot is a layup, it is not a long iron and that takes out the chances of pulling it into the woods like ogilvy yesterday. so all things being equal he should be inside 20 foot for bird on the first.

i think if he chokes it will come later. lets see.

wonder what zhang will hit off one today? i think he goes driver again Scared
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 12:37 AM GMT
@poke....did you get a chance to punt the 2 horses or have you given up on me ?
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 12:39 AM GMT
-5 thru 5!!

maybe he can post 14 or 15 under and make rhino and me both hard?
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 12:45 AM GMT
nah i don't do horses generally. nothing personal tobe. i just had a fun poke at the first one you gave couple weeks back. but that's cool coz i got that $20 back on that golf tourney i think.

however i did have a cheeky tenner on carribean blaster @ 31's in the harness last night for no reason. it saluted and beat the highly rated (so i have heard). I'm the Mighty Quinn.

total fluke. more @ss than class picking that one. the commentator was talking it up and i bit. lol.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
well done mate...am delighted for you. How are you fixed here now.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 12:56 AM GMT
The Mighty Quinn was Niall Quinn who played soccer for Arsenal and Ireland. The horse raced on the flat I think. What age was he.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 12:58 AM GMT
Never been to a harness race meeting. A must do sometime.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 1:01 AM GMT
Changing to the golf streaming site now at 1.00am here. Best of luck to all.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 1:14 AM GMT
no idea about any horses. sorry tobes. total rookie.

popovic +278
senior  +1302
bjones  +1799 (plus $100 bonus if he gets up)
brown   +15
clarkey +927
other   -61

layed some senior at 16's to switch onto popovic very early on. regretting that slightly, but i had a plan to lay a little of senior and mentally i was happy to win over a k for senior and jones with minimal exposure. laid some jones @ 10's third round which i mentioned on here.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 1:15 AM GMT
forgot kennedy +242
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 1:17 AM GMT
pops with 12-15 feet for birdie Cool
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 1:29 AM GMT
pops missed the one on the first but makes bird on second
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 1:34 AM GMT
super parfor Senior on 2.   I notice a significent timelag on my stream of the Aussie tv. European punters beware on Betfair and an opportunity to punt in real time for live tv viewers.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 2:05 AM GMT
just added pamps $50 @ 5's
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 2:09 AM GMT
Good move to keep Popovic on side.....and you always had plenty Senior shares to deal.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 2:19 AM GMT
laid $50 b jones @ 8's . so essentially switched some jones onto pamps....
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 2:23 AM GMT
defining moment here. popovic to lay up on second shot or go for gold on par 5?
that is the question.
aggression yesterday didn't work well for him.
i hope he lays up. stick to your game son.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 2:29 AM GMT
dammit. that b jones lay wasnt entirely taken. ffs.
Report therhino December 16, 2012 3:14 AM GMT
Popovic meltdown.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 3:27 AM GMT
@therhino.....if he can come away with a 3 on this par 3 he will settle again...
Report therhino December 16, 2012 3:34 AM GMT
Keep the updates coming tobe, flicking between golf and the Gonzaga/Kansas State game, priority to the basketball, it is being kind to me again today.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 3:41 AM GMT
Popovic in sand for 2 on par 4. Adrenaline causing an overclub
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 3:43 AM GMT
I really have to get some study into the NBA. Any bet you recommend just now.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 3:45 AM GMT
Daniel slots it in for par from about 13 ft. Kennedy a putt of 6 ft for 13 under on par 5 12th.
Report therhino December 16, 2012 3:51 AM GMT
NBA harder than college in my opinion Tobe, the fact they play an 82 game season means they're not just up for it every night and picking when they have a letdown is tough. Short price faves in college are pretty safe, having said that Indiana went down today (top ranked team). Combine selections in sensible multis is my thing, todays was Michigan/Kansas/Gonzaga and Adelaide in the A League. Michigan and Kansas won big and Gonzaga now dominating.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 3:53 AM GMT
Poor 9 iron to par 3 11 th for Popovic. Lies at bottom of slipaway and a hard chip to stop within 10 feet. Pampling on verge of his green. Still that 1 ahead. 12th is a par 5 coming up.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 3:54 AM GMT
Good luck.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 4:01 AM GMT
Another up and down with a 10 footer this time for Daniel. Kennedy and Goggin both miss birdie chances.
Report therhino December 16, 2012 4:03 AM GMT
Putting machine Popovic
Report therhino December 16, 2012 4:17 AM GMT
Back on the golf, go Popovic, not betting just cheering for the kid.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 4:28 AM GMT
just back dogs in nba pre match and during match and trade out for profit whenever possible because swings are often crazy. simples.
don;t even need to study. just do it. back dogs and follow a few games. money for jam Cool.
Report therhino December 16, 2012 5:24 AM GMT
Pamps giving it away
Report therhino December 16, 2012 5:57 AM GMT
1251 in OWGR Shocked Last official player ranked Shocked Starting price 1000/1 Shocked and for the layer Cry

Well done Daniel very happy for you and your old man, great win.
Report siralex December 16, 2012 9:18 AM GMT
Anyone know how short pampering went in running please? Cheers
Report siralex December 16, 2012 9:18 AM GMT
Pampling
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 9:30 AM GMT
1.4'sish
Report siralex December 16, 2012 9:43 AM GMT
Cheers poker on. Backed him e/w but didn't do any extra bets thru the night. Costly mistake!!
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 9:50 AM GMT
maybe a tad lower than what i said if someone is willing to correct me?
i get the feeling maybe its something like 1.33 during the popovic par 3 'meltdown'.
anyways, tobe do u reckon laying the draw in the ind v eng match @ 1.25 right now has merit? i do.
Report PChad December 16, 2012 12:00 PM GMT
Any idea what Popovic was at the start of the 4th round gents?
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 1:22 PM GMT
Superlative golf and profits fo some of us. Thank you for the interaction lads.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 7:39 PM GMT
@poke....as I am not qualified enough to answer your cricket question, I made it my business to ask an expert in the field of cricket. He said that if England can bat for 3 hours more, then it is a draw. Hope this helps.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 7:42 PM GMT
Now 1.11. You are probably on already.
Report DONEMYLOT December 16, 2012 8:07 PM GMT
Pampling hilarious. The same ones do it time and time again.
Report toberaheena December 16, 2012 8:47 PM GMT
@DONEMYLOT.......that is why golf is a good betting proposition. Leopards do not change their spots.
Report DONEMYLOT December 16, 2012 9:00 PM GMT
Yeah, I must try to start betting on it.
Report pokeron December 16, 2012 10:51 PM GMT
pamps was about 13's or 11's???

no golf this week sux balls.
i hate xmas Angry
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