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03 Sep 12
19:10
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17 Jul 08
obvious place to start is dyson 25/1 has won this 3 times in the last 5 years.
gb and irish players have a remarkable record in this in recent times......last year 5 players from the top 7 were english.........2009 6 players from the top 7 were gb or ire........in 2008 4 players from the top 5 were gb or irish......
gb and irish players have a remarkable record in this in recent times......last year 5 players from the top 7 were english.........2009 6 players from the top 7 were gb or ire........in 2008 4 players from the top 5 were gb or irish......
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ross fisher 40/1 has a better than average record for the tournament with a 6th and 11th for the last 2 years.....is relatively fresh with only 17 tournaments played and in recent years has finished off the season strongly in particular 2010 and 2009....might be ready to strike
Jose Manuel Lara E/W @125s, only bet so far.
6th here last year, but has a nasty habit of chucking in a horror round. Hopefully that won't happen this week.
6th here last year, but has a nasty habit of chucking in a horror round. Hopefully that won't happen this week.
also on lara at same price was 4th in this the year before aswell
Very surprised at the 18.0 available for Colsaerts, I had him down as around 12.0 ? He was under so much pressure in the Johnny Walker he never got going, but to be honest I think if he had been lucky that week he would still have won ! He is what I call a heavywight golfer nowadays and with the pressure off this week I could see him go out and win the KLM. Definately a few in there capable of winning but nothing anywhere near value, other than Kaymer of course, trading at around the 20s mark at the moment and that could look huge on Thursday night, I never bet on golfers who havent shown recent form but with Kaymer I wouldnt be surprised in the slightest if he won in a hat canter, to me there are only two heavywieghts in the field Kaymer and Colsaerts. Of the long shots playing I see Simon Khan is around the 500 mark, this is why I love Betfair golf markets, some people just dont have a clue about the game, if Kaymer and Cosaerts are off this week this is just the sort of thing he would sneak into and win, unlikely I agree but certainly nowhere near 500/1 against !
gmt - Simon Khan is injured - wd from Gleneagles - I think people do have a clue! and hmm Kaymer is so out of sorts and a man like Colsaerts is so unsuited to this venue - OK he shot a 62 once but otherwise is poor round here. PS I believe the phrase is hack canter!
The KLM Open comes from Hilversumche for the third straight year since the course was modified and returned as much as possible to Harry Colts original design. Plenty at the top end of the market are short enough given their win ratio so I have looked further down the field for a touch of value.
Dvid Horsey was an obvious pick with finishes of 4th and 6th in the last two years - he also won at Limburg on the Challenge tour on a very similar course. His current form is not great but he often pops up from nowhere and has a win in each of the last two years. He actually struck the ball really well in Crans hitting 17 and 14 greens but a poor putting display let him down - he admitted on Twitter he can't read the greens at Crans but he certainly can at this weeks venue 0.4 ew 80/1
Marcus Fraser was the first bet I put up this week mainly due to the number of top five finishes he racks up - four already this season including a brace of seconds - one which came last week. He doesn't have any great course form to speak of but has a good record at one of Colts other similar courses - Wentworth - all in all worth a play at 70/1 - 0.3 ew
Two time tour winner Jose Manuel Lara often seems to save his best for tree lined courses including his victory in Hong Kong and has been 4th and 6th here the last two years. Those two good finishes came on the back of some pretty poor form so the fact that this time around he is in equally poor form doesn't put me off and he is definitely a value price at a venue that will bring out the best in his game 0.2 ew 150/1
Oliver Fisher is a bit from left field but English players have a good record here in recent years and I think he could be a suprise package this week. His recent form reminds me of what he was doing last year before he claimed his first European tour title. He was on a long series of missed cuts but then made two cuts and won the Czech Open. Roll forward twelve months and we have the same scenario again and his 19th place finish last week really caught my eye as he had previously missed all three cuts at Crans so his opening 65 and closing 66 are worthy of note 0.2 ew 200/1
Last but not least I will have a small first round leader bet on Shiv Kapur who seems to like the early rounds here. In 2010 he opened 64/68 to lie 2nd and then 1st after the Thursday and Friiday and then last year went 66/66 to lie 3rd each day - at 200/1 he is worth a 0.1 ew bet.
I have had a few small savers on Betfair on Kapur 600, Levet 75, Fred Hed 70 and Morrison 170.
Dvid Horsey was an obvious pick with finishes of 4th and 6th in the last two years - he also won at Limburg on the Challenge tour on a very similar course. His current form is not great but he often pops up from nowhere and has a win in each of the last two years. He actually struck the ball really well in Crans hitting 17 and 14 greens but a poor putting display let him down - he admitted on Twitter he can't read the greens at Crans but he certainly can at this weeks venue 0.4 ew 80/1
Marcus Fraser was the first bet I put up this week mainly due to the number of top five finishes he racks up - four already this season including a brace of seconds - one which came last week. He doesn't have any great course form to speak of but has a good record at one of Colts other similar courses - Wentworth - all in all worth a play at 70/1 - 0.3 ew
Two time tour winner Jose Manuel Lara often seems to save his best for tree lined courses including his victory in Hong Kong and has been 4th and 6th here the last two years. Those two good finishes came on the back of some pretty poor form so the fact that this time around he is in equally poor form doesn't put me off and he is definitely a value price at a venue that will bring out the best in his game 0.2 ew 150/1
Oliver Fisher is a bit from left field but English players have a good record here in recent years and I think he could be a suprise package this week. His recent form reminds me of what he was doing last year before he claimed his first European tour title. He was on a long series of missed cuts but then made two cuts and won the Czech Open. Roll forward twelve months and we have the same scenario again and his 19th place finish last week really caught my eye as he had previously missed all three cuts at Crans so his opening 65 and closing 66 are worthy of note 0.2 ew 200/1
Last but not least I will have a small first round leader bet on Shiv Kapur who seems to like the early rounds here. In 2010 he opened 64/68 to lie 2nd and then 1st after the Thursday and Friiday and then last year went 66/66 to lie 3rd each day - at 200/1 he is worth a 0.1 ew bet.
I have had a few small savers on Betfair on Kapur 600, Levet 75, Fred Hed 70 and Morrison 170.
His record at Hilversumsche is shocking but i think Lee Slattery is worth backing at 100-1 e/w.
He fininshed 8th at the Bridgestone, a course he has never played, opening with a 64 and closing with a 68 and was 14th last week, closing with a bogeyless 64 with only 35 putts in the 2nd round stopping him finishing higher on a course hat he's never had much success on.
His record in the Dutch Open isn't to bad but all the finishes have been over at Kennemer, there just seems to be something about Hilversumsche that doesn't suit him although he's never come into the event showing the form he has.
Players like David Horsey would be 300/1 this week if they had Slattery's form here but he's being priced on past performances. I think he's only made 7 cuts this year in about 20 events only finishing in the top 20 twice. Id much rather back Slattery who is coming into good form than Horsey who is a shorter price.
He fininshed 8th at the Bridgestone, a course he has never played, opening with a 64 and closing with a 68 and was 14th last week, closing with a bogeyless 64 with only 35 putts in the 2nd round stopping him finishing higher on a course hat he's never had much success on.
His record in the Dutch Open isn't to bad but all the finishes have been over at Kennemer, there just seems to be something about Hilversumsche that doesn't suit him although he's never come into the event showing the form he has.
Players like David Horsey would be 300/1 this week if they had Slattery's form here but he's being priced on past performances. I think he's only made 7 cuts this year in about 20 events only finishing in the top 20 twice. Id much rather back Slattery who is coming into good form than Horsey who is a shorter price.
I read some of the experts comments on Lynns price this week.
lol'ing at people taking prices around the low to mid 20's .
That price is looking ok after 4 holes to be honest.
lol'ing at people taking prices around the low to mid 20's .
That price is looking ok after 4 holes to be honest.
a prompt bogey, I thought I had lost my touch, but it seems I have not, lol.
Obviously he had a very nosebleed having seen a leaderboard whilst stood on the 13th tee!!
dyson and hed.
sounds like a vacuum cleaner.
maybe they can hoover up some birdies for me this week.
$50 each.
sounds like a vacuum cleaner.
maybe they can hoover up some birdies for me this week.
$50 each.
Helllooooo?? Anybody out there?? Here's hoping that Colsaerts can pay back Ollie's faith with a late surge...
This lot are so poor it's like watching a different game to American stuff.
Jumped ship to GFC...hopefully he can hold his nerve better than leaders
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