U.S.P.G.A early thoughts

DJ & Dufner for me :)

http://www.bettinginvestor.blogspot.se/

If there is to be any draw advantage it looks like Thursday morning will be the 'scoring' part of the week. Very calm early, increasing as the day goes on. Friday seems to be steady wind all day.

So is it better to start on the 1st and get some early birdies or start on the 10th and tackle the back 9 in benign conditions?

The gatling gun has been loaded up ! 

Watney @80
Stallings @290
Colsearts @75
Stanley @140
Cauley @280
Palmer @350
Larrazabal @870 traded @ 770.
Piercy @130
Harrington @50
Mcdowell @40
Pettersson @170
Noh @220

Hopefully one of those hits the target

G.L ALL.

ulf - just read your blog...

i fancied garrigus until i saw he has missed all 3 cuts at majors this year!

saying that i have backed him at 100/1 and also on handicap market (work comp) -11

Rhino, i'd prefer to be on the players who have an early start on the back 9. From what i gather its the wind that makes 13-18 so tough. Get through that stretch in par and should be in decent shape.

Kaymer + Poulter very big prices.

As are Tiger + Rory

faldo reckoned he couldnt handle the greens at kiawah, so they must be tricky


i read that all bunkers are now sandy areas so they can ground their club


should be fun !!!

Donny

HOLE    1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    TOTAL
YARDS    396    557    390    458    188    480    579    198    494    447    593    412    497    238    444    581    223    501    7676
PAR            4    5    4    4    3    4    5    3    4    4    5    4    4    3    4    5    3    4    72

458, 480, 494, 497 and 501 yard par 4s

par 5s: 557, 579, 593, 581

Garrigus avergaes 4.6 on par 5s, k.bradley 4.55

tigers price better on the purple site,i find that strange,could there be a shift in power soon

Given the comparatively paltry amounts available I can't see it happening any time soon.

That said competition is a good thing, so here's hoping the purple place keeps improving.

Keeps improving? If it had any desire to improve at all, it would have done so long ago. We're stuck here

Purple are a joke, when it comes to managing their golf markets.

They don't put the market up until at least 24 hours after Betfair.

They don't have a clue which players are actually taking part in any tournie, including majors, which is just staggering.

There is virtually no market in running.

Having said that, I use them a lot, as there are often far better prices over there, but you need a big bank if you want to play one off against the other.

They have had many opportunities to challenge Betfair in the golf markets, but so far have failed miserably.

Can't see that changing.

For what its worth, Keegan Bradley broke his putter head. He has had a new head put on the old shaft and in theory it is identical.

That explains the drift to 48.

This weeks ones to avoid:

Snedeker 120
Kuchar 42
Wagner 590
Cink 610
Michelson 50
Stricker 42
Ogilvy 150
Watney 85
O'Hair 380

Crane bows out, replaced by Chris Stroud.

Trevor Immelman. A pretty cr@p season so far, but round this track, and at these prices, I just have to get him on board.

Same applies to Bernd Wiesberger.

I didn't mean that Bernd's season was cr@p, by the way...

okay fired the bullet on Tiger, also backed siem first round leader and more money on olesen, will work out exactly what i got on everyone and post it on here in a minute (not sure myself, which is a bit worrying)!!

yes i have some thoughts...

The odds on this site are very poor at the moment imo

Tiger Woods - £2400 to win at 10/1

Kyle Stanley - £325 each way 150/1

Scott Piercy - £400 each way 125/1

Thorbjorn Olesen -£125 each way at 200/1 and £200 each way at 150/1

First Round Leader
John Daly £100 each way at 200/1
Marcel Siem £150 each way at 200/1

Take My Money, I Don't Want It


it looks like you are trying to live upto your forum name...

£4275 pre off.

Big hitting by Linda.

Even bigger hitting.

Didn't spot 2nd two where e/w.

I make it 5 grand.

You need maths lessons, Linda.

its 5 grand isn't it? how much do you make it then

Have you had a big win lately TMMIDWI? That's some serious hard-earned laid down pre-tourney.

yeah won just over 7k last week on keegan

I won't be putting any on in play, thats all I can afford to punt, just gotta hope Siem or Daly can grab a top 5 first round so I can watch the rest of the tournament a bit easier...

I was pulling your leg. Yes 5K, and the best of luck to you.

Easy come easy go...

Easy come easy go... and hopefully easy come back again (with interest!)

at 920: I got to have some Joost. From his Twitter "Practice day at the USPGA. Great place and its in awesome conditions." Improved his driving distance too

Order matched on Louis at 44s, realy expect a big showing. His tendency to put together performances in bunches is a big tick, paspalum grass will be foreign to many starters but very common in South Africa and he seems very much on the verge of winning something big in the States. Throw his length in and he has all the weapons he needs to win this thing. He is backed up by a small wager on Points, free greens on Davis and O'Hair and a small top 10 wager on Two Gloves - hoping some home cooking, local knowledge and his own bed might inspire a good showing. May add one or two others but intend on saving the rest for in running. Good luck all.

Not going to out lay much cash until i've seen the course,but Stricker gets the nod from me at 40's...this event comes under the heading of "WIDE Open"...should be a cracking week..

Starting with a few big-priced players pre-tourney before getting involved in-play.

Ryan Moore +£31.5k
Robert Karlsson +£8.5k
Y.E Yang +£11.5k
William Mcgirt +£8.5k

Good luck all.

Going for two old timers!

Vijay Singh    200    €100.00    €19,900.00
Davis Love III    360    €108.89    €39,091.51
    €208.89

Westwood at 36s... Have the English lost faith?

noh only 125/1 with bookies for this . cant see how hed be 250 with them for masters when last week was moderate

bill haas, nick watney and jason dufner

15os now noh even

i am on shrek and stricker watch for outrights. no bet on them yet. just lurking. still sticking with my four of ponce, kuch, goose and Timmay!! otherwise i'll go berzerk backing every muppet under the sun.....

$10 goose  low1rd @160's (not each way. going for gold. not wuite TMMIDWI gold but...)
$30 timmay!top 20 @ 2.50
$30 ponce  top 20 @ 2.25
$30 oosty  top 20 @ 2.37

ok. bet365 just gave me a free $20 bucks coz they feel sorry for me. muppets. even though i cleaned them out of 1300 on keegan bradley last week (i layed off 900 on betfair )

so i've gone for gold and gone for the SS Mr stricker for 1st rd lead
$20 @ 46's

could be gold. or full retard. we'll see.

Stricker into 36s here now...

Tiger 9.4s is a little hard to believe. Those on at 11.5 must be smiling (maybe twice in Bubba/TigerGreen's case).

just had another £20 on Padraig @ 80's,

Two gloves at 950. Now I'm done. For real. Bring it on.

The Tiger train has departed early this week

if two gloves makes the cut i'll be v surprised

westy and pod for me.

hey rhino, i'll have five bucks on gainey. i wear two gloves when i play sometimes....

shake and bake!!!

dufner
bubba
garrigus

is my team

new to golf.. backing for something to watch

rory
lee westwood
pod
furik
colsearts
bo van
garriges
kj choi

-70 the field

what you reckon, any chance?

Get ur fiver on Poke, with Tommy's picture perfect swing and flawless record of closing out tournaments, we can't lose mate.

Here,after much deliberation,are my selections for the USPGA Championship...

L.Westwood £20 @ 36.
J.Furyk £20 @ 65.
B.Haas £50 @ 120/110/100.
R.Palmer £5 @ 300.
R.Moore £5 @ 380.
G.Coetzee £35 @ 550/440/420/410/400.
John Huh £12 @ 450/440/410.
John Rollins £5 @ 700.
K.T.Kim £20 @ 890/880/850.

A scorching day here in Northern Ireland,don't you know,and I am now off to stock up on copious amounts of Magners Pear Cider,expensive Scotch Whiskey,and a hat with corks around it.
* Westwood was a last minute inclusion. No way I could let him go off at that price.

Stake back on Two Gloves - sorry poke, kept him green though and for top 10, used the stake to get DL3 on side, 470 is massive for the player that has won more tournaments on Pete Dye courses than any other.

Badds
Watney
Senden
Noh
Stanley

all 25 ew top 6
all 5 first round leaders

just for that rhino, tommy is gonna smash DL3 in a mythical 2 ball today

if this starts now.. why not on sky until 6?

ok gonna have balls of steel this tourney. no laying off unless they hit like $3 in rd 2 or something.....

added the octopus to my team of bellys with a $20 free bet @ 51. so gay 51's centrebet but i really think the guy can lead, hit $3 and choke again!

so final team:
kuch
ponce
goose
timmay!
octopus
two gloves lol
allenby lol (total dodo but @1000's may as well lose 5 bucks)

the big guns don't start their rounds till later Kinger

heres a useful link for uspga info
http://www.pga.com/pgachampionship/

What time will it potentially finish Sunday? Hopefully not another U.S open middle of the night job..

this leader boards pretty useful as well , cos you don't have to keep scrolling down to see where ur picks are , u can select them to follow them individually ...
http://www.pga.com/pgachampionship/scoring/leaderboard

christy , Uk time is 5 hours ahead to could be a late one on sunday , especially if theres a 4 way play off ...LOL

Does any one know if Sky are, like in the U.S Open, showing the early marquee 3 ball on red button? It will be over about midnight on Sunday, granted no trouble with weather, and if no play off.

wow , just seen tiger's out at 8.30am local , which is 1.30 pm uk time

10 mins to off, should be exciting but the weather forecast appears more like a british open event & this might drag on till monday,, hope they are like the british forecasters though.

I am going to war with:

Dustybin
Garrigus
Oosty
Stricker

Top Irish Pod & a lay of Tigger at 10.5

GL all.

David Toms
Cameron Tringale
Trevor Immelman
Sang-Moon Bae
Bernd Wiesberger
Blake Adams
Jimmy Walker

Best of luck.

cheers nicky, kills it for me if it goes much past midnight.

Looking foward to this
Gone for

Scott       32
Bradley     40
Colsaerts   75
Watney      90
Garrigus    95
Stanley    148
Ogilvy     110
Stallings  300
Huh        410

Good Luck everyone...

Going with Pettersson, Wi, Thompson, Duke, Howell III and Walker. GL everyone.

Oosty
DL3
Manassero
Davis
Two Gloves & top 10
O'Hair
Points

No outright bet on Pod DP? What price was top Irish?
Went with: Tiger 10s
           Dusty 28s
           Louis Oost 35s
           Ricky 50s...all e.w top 6
Funds low, so left out the usual array of rags! Cue John Huh winning by 7!
Just reading the Post, does J Chapman just copy and paste his selections for every major?? Justin F*ckin Rose again!!

ffs. five bucks on the hoff as well. every time i look at him he just cracks me up.

for the record:
scott + 1436
kuch  + 1817
timmay+ 2057
octo  + 810
goose + 4867
gainey+ 3866
dodo  + 4581
hoff  + 2913
other -190

gl all!!!!

Anders Hansen 420s...way way too high i think...no mug in wind for sure,frustrating player just like lots more but could figure on this track...

Martin Kaymer

or

Lee Westwood   
                       please ....  :)

Dufner win 25/1, Poulter 80/1 and A.Scott 33/1 e/w's top 6.

No Callit, can't have his putting at the minute, but is driving it as well as he ever has, if he can putt this week he is a danger. 3's top irish with the books, was hoping Heinz would have layed me 4.5 against Boy Wonder

Yeah, Pod putting really lettin him down. I still think its a pure confidence thing, if he had a few rounds where he is consistently knockin in his share of ten footers, he could turn it around very quickly. And considering he better tee to green now, than when he won the 3 majors,...the glory days might not be far away!! Or i could just be dreaming again!

hoff

Handles 07 Aug 12 21:26 Joined: 06 Apr 04 | Topic/replies: 192 | Blogger: Handles's blog
One at a big Price, Hoffman. 21st total driving stats this year. Also recently finished 8th at the Heratage (Harbour town links) and 2nd at the travellers - both Dye courses. Out very early from Tee 1 on the thursday, 600+ seems very fair.

work cut out now

cheers Harry! come on Charlie boy, it aint over yet..

Never say never...don't worry i expect my cameron tringale 550/1 tip to be bumped and mocked

This will probably give a few people a laugh but I am sticking with my two main bets from the Open.  Full list of bets:

T Woods @ 10.77 - I think this is a better bet than he was 3 weeks ago.  Back in the States, on a long par 72 with 4 par 5s and another 4 par 4s that will play like easy par 5s.  Traditionally these are the courses he does well on.  And I just think you will never go far wrong backing Tiger Woods to win golf tournaments.

A Scott @ 34 - Still think this guy is a class act since hiring Williams and rededicating himself.  Knows how to win, despite collapse at Lytham.  I am keeping the faith.

B Watson @ 34.5 - in my mind, I just find it hard to NOT see him contending this week.  The course looks similar to Whistling Straits and players have said as much.  Length will be a huge advantage.

J Day @ 85 - Just big enough for me to get involved as he's still a player I like despite a very disappointing 2012.  Was in contention at Whistling Straits before a couple of whiffs in the thick rough derailed his round.  Still only 24 and has contended at 3 Majors.

S Garcia @ 90 - Not much to back up this pick other than I still have faith in Garcia coming back and winning a Major at some point.  Class is permanent and we've seen from many other players how they can come back from a mid-career slump.

G Ogilvy @ 130 - Surprisingly big price for a guy whose been playing some OK golf this year and has a history of popping up in the bigger events.  Unfortunately I was not able to get much on at this price, all week someone was obviously hoovering any decent amount that became available.

S O'Hair @ 451 - Not a player I back very often but I think at a price this big it's worth a punt for a player that has won 4 times and seems capable of popping up and winning out of nowhere.

J Huh @ 341 - Possible star of the future, already won on Tour, worth a go at a big price.

C Tringale @ 401 - Young, hits it miles, why not.

R Karlsson @ 468 - Knows how to win and has been in contention a few times in the States in the last couple of years.


Best of luck everybody, hope it's an exciting tournament with few weather delays.  And no 72nd hole collapse/DQ to scupper my bets

^ TRINGALE  fan   massive price.

hoff on the comeback trail

But Knight Rider what we all want to know is how much do you stand to win? !!!

yeah KR ...how much u bet on Woods ??u had 100k on this time ? ... barzalona will probably want to know as well

what an absolute meg that fella is , dear me , wonder if he will ever show up again

Lol no amounts this time fellas

we KNOW u gone LARGE , probably staked 30 to 50 K knowing u

i've backed Rory this time , not much , but I can see him trading single figures over the next few days

Made a bit of a mess of this, missed Rory and DJ.  Substituted K. T. Kim and Ernie for smaller stakes.  Team of about 30 altogether.  Good luck, should be a bit of fun for four days anyway.

looks like tringale has this won